Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/26/2025

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 26, 2025

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  FDSFL, FDSWI

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +140, Brewers -172; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +140, Brewers -170; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +140, Brewers -170; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Miami Marlins:  48-53 (3rd place, NL East)

Milwaukee Brewers:  61-41 (1st place, NL Central)

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Miami Marlins:  6-4 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  9-1 last 10

The Marlins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-53 record overall and have a road record of 24-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .707 OPS. Cal Quantrill is their starting pitcher on Friday while Janson Junk is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-2 with a 3.09 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 1 SO on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Brewers are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-41 record overall and have a home record of 33-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .708 OPS. Freddy Peralta is their starting pitcher on Friday while Jose Quintana is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-3 with a 3.49 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 0 walks with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked great in their games this season with their 61-41 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL Central with the best record in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 33-17 home record. Meanwhile, the Marlins haven't looked great in their games this season with their 48-53 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL East. They haven't been a great road team either with their 24-24 road record this season. The Marlins have been hot lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games and just beat the Padres in their last series, but the Brewers have been rolling lately as they are 9-1 in their last 10 games and have the more reliable starter here too. The Brewers are going with Quintana in this one and he has been a good option for them all season. He is 7-3 with a 3.49 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts. He did give up 4 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year and the team has still won 2 games in a row now with him starting so he will be looking to bounce back with a better start at home. The Marlins are going with Junk in this one and he hasn't looked bad this season. He is 4-2 with a 3.09 ERA and the team has had some success with him lately. They have won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he did give up 4 earned runs in his last start and this is a Brewers offense that has been putting up a ton of runs lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game. 

Marlins Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 26, 2025 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 4 Marlins 2.

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Miami Marlins: 194-232 (+6.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 94-117 (+19.7 units) on the moneyline in road games. 137-178 (+22.3 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 39-18 UNDER on the road against left-handed starters.

Milwaukee Brewers: 46-33 (-15.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. 68-52 (-8.7 units) on the moneyline vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season. 74-67 (-10.7 units) on the moneyline vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season. 20-10 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Miami Marlins:  D. Hill (LF) Ten Day IL - Finger. J. Tinoco (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. C. Norby (3B) Ten Day IL - Wrist. M. Meyer (SP) Sixty Day IL - Hip. R. Weathers (SP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. G. Conine (LF) Sixty Day IL - Arm. A. Nardi (RP) Sixty Day IL - Back. B. Garrett (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Bauers (LF) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. S. Frelick (RF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. R. Hoskins (1B) Ten Day IL - Thumb. G. Mitchell (CF) Sixty Day IL - Oblique. R. Zastryzny (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Ribs. N. Cortes (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Thomas (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Gasser (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“We all know it's been talked about a lot with the struggles this year. Sandy, what he's continued to do, is the resiliency [he] has shown through his competitiveness, and we enjoy and celebrate today, because that was a terrific outing. So very happy for Sandy. It's just how he's continued to stick with it. And then to come through today with a big start for us, hold them down, and for us to win a series here at home.” - Clayton McCullough after his team’s win against the Padres in their game on Wednesday.

“You can’t let it get in there. I’ll answer questions, I’ll openly talk about different things that they’re discussing, but that’s their job in the front office, and they do a great job of it. I’m just worried about this group in the clubhouse right now and what’s going on with them, and I don’t want them looking over their shoulder. These guys, you can plan on them responding. That’s the ‘who.’ When you put together these clubs, we’re conscious of the ‘who.’” - Pat Murphy after his team’s win against the Mariners in their game on Wednesday.

Xavier Edwards (S) 2B

Jesús Sánchez (L) RF

Agustín Ramírez (R) DH

Kyle Stowers (L) LF

Otto Lopez (R) SS

Liam Hicks (L) C

Eric Wagaman (R) 1B

Graham Pauley (L) 3B

Dane Myers (R) CF

Brice Turang (L) 2B

William Contreras (R) C

Christian Yelich (L) DH

Jackson Chourio (R) RF

Isaac Collins (S) LF

Andrew Vaughn (R) 1B

Blake Perkins (S) CF

Caleb Durbin (R) 3B

Joey Ortiz (R) SS

Batting Average:  Rob Brantly (.429)

Hits:  Xavier Edwards (100)

Home Runs:  Kyle Stowers (22)

RBI:  Kyle Stowers (61)

Stolen Bases:  Xavier Edwards (17)

Wins:  Ronny Henriquez (6)

Saves:  Calvin Faucher (9)

ERA:  Freddy Tarnok (0.00)

Batting Average:  Tyler Black (.400)

Hits:  Jackson Chourio (115)

Home Runs:  Christian Yelich (19)

RBI:  Christian Yelich (66)

Stolen Bases:  Jackson Chourio (18)

Wins:  Freddy Peralta (12)

Saves:  Trevor Megill (23)

ERA:  Brandon Woodruff (1.65)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Clayton McCullough (1st season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (2nd season)