Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/25/2025

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Friday, July 25, 2025

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  MLBN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +183, Brewers -227; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +180, Brewers -225; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +180, Brewers -225; Over/Under:  8 runs

Miami Marlins:  48-53 (3rd place, NL East)

Milwaukee Brewers:  61-41 (1st place, NL Central)

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Miami Marlins:  6-4 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  9-1 last 10

The Marlins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-53 record overall and have a road record of 24-24. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .707 OPS. Sandy Alcántara was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Cal Quantrill is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-8 with a 5.24 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 3 SO on 2 hits through 6 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Brewers are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-41 record overall and have a home record of 33-17. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .707 OPS. Quinn Priester was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Freddy Peralta is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 12-4 with a 2.85 ERA this season. His team won their last 7 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 walks with 4 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked great in their games this season with their 61-41 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL Central with the best record in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 33-17 home record. Meanwhile, the Marlins haven't looked great in their games this season with their 48-53 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL East. They haven't been a great road team either with their 24-24 road record this season. The Marlins have been hot lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games, but they still have a losing record this season while the Brewers have been red hot lately, going 9-1 in their last 10 games, and are one of the best teams in the MLB at the moment. The Brewers also have the much better pitching matchup here and they can take advantage of that with their hot offense. The Marlins are going with Quantrill in this one and he hasn't looked good this season. He is 3-8 with a 5.24 ERA and he has been giving up a ton of runs lately. He is coming off a good start in which he surprisingly gave up no runs and the team has even won 5 of their last 6 games with him starting, but that hasn't been a common theme for Quantrill this season and he isn't going to follow up with another great start here. The Brewers are going to have Peralta on the mound here and he has been their ace this season. He is 12-4 with a 2.85 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He did give up 4 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year so he will be looking to bounce back with a better start and the team has still had a ton of success with him lately, winning 7 games in a row now with him on the mound. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game and on the runline. 

Marlins Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 25, 2025 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 9 Marlins 3.

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Miami Marlins: 194-232 (+6.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 94-117 (+19.7 units) on the moneyline in road games. 137-178 (+22.3 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 41-26 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 to +200.

Milwaukee Brewers: 46-33 (-15.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. 4-9 (-11.9 units) on the moneyline vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%. 74-67 (-10.7 units) on the moneyline vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season. 41-28 UNDER after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent.

Miami Marlins:  D. Hill (LF) Ten Day IL - Finger. J. Tinoco (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. C. Norby (3B) Ten Day IL - Wrist. M. Meyer (SP) Sixty Day IL - Hip. R. Weathers (SP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. G. Conine (LF) Sixty Day IL - Arm. A. Nardi (RP) Sixty Day IL - Back. B. Garrett (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Bauers (LF) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. S. Frelick (RF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. R. Hoskins (1B) Ten Day IL - Thumb. G. Mitchell (CF) Sixty Day IL - Oblique. R. Zastryzny (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Ribs. N. Cortes (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Thomas (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Gasser (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“We all know it's been talked about a lot with the struggles this year. Sandy, what he's continued to do, is the resiliency [he] has shown through his competitiveness, and we enjoy and celebrate today, because that was a terrific outing. So very happy for Sandy. It's just how he's continued to stick with it. And then to come through today with a big start for us, hold them down, and for us to win a series here at home.” - Clayton McCullough after his team’s win against the Padres in their game on Wednesday.

“You can’t let it get in there. I’ll answer questions, I’ll openly talk about different things that they’re discussing, but that’s their job in the front office, and they do a great job of it. I’m just worried about this group in the clubhouse right now and what’s going on with them, and I don’t want them looking over their shoulder. These guys, you can plan on them responding. That’s the ‘who.’ When you put together these clubs, we’re conscious of the ‘who.’” - Pat Murphy after his team’s win against the Mariners in their game on Wednesday.

Xavier Edwards (S) 2B

Jesús Sánchez (L) RF

Otto Lopez (R) SS

Kyle Stowers (L) LF

Agustín Ramírez (R) DH

Liam Hicks (L) 1B

Nick Fortes (R) C

Graham Pauley (L) 3B

Javier Sanoja (R) CF

Brice Turang (L) 2B

William Contreras (R) C

Christian Yelich (L) DH

Jackson Chourio (R) RF

Isaac Collins (S) LF

Tyler Black (L) 1B

Blake Perkins (S) CF

Anthony Seigler (L) 3B

Joey Ortiz (R) SS

Batting Average:  Rob Brantly (.429)

Hits:  Xavier Edwards (100)

Home Runs:  Kyle Stowers (22)

RBI:  Kyle Stowers (61)

Stolen Bases:  Xavier Edwards (17)

Wins:  Ronny Henriquez (6)

Saves:  Calvin Faucher (9)

ERA:  Freddy Tarnok (0.00)

Batting Average:  Tyler Black (.400)

Hits:  Jackson Chourio (115)

Home Runs:  Christian Yelich (19)

RBI:  Christian Yelich (66)

Stolen Bases:  Jackson Chourio (18)

Wins:  Freddy Peralta (12)

Saves:  Trevor Megill (23)

ERA:  Brandon Woodruff (1.65)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Clayton McCullough (1st season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (2nd season)