Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/15/2023

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Saturday, July 15, 2023

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  MASN2

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8 runs

Miami Marlins:  53-39 (2nd place, NL East)

Baltimore Orioles:  54-35 (2nd place, AL East)

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Miami Marlins:  5-5 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10

The Marlins are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-39 record overall and have a road record of 23-21. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .727 OPS. Sandy Alcantara is their starting pitcher on Friday while Braxton Garrett is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-2 with a 3.70 ERA this season. His team won their last 8 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Orioles are entering this series on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-35 record overall and have a home record of 26-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .747 OPS. Dean Kremer is their starting pitcher on Friday while Kyle Gibson is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 9-6 with a 4.60 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 11 strikeouts on 3 hits through 7 innings played against the Minnesota Twins.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins have been really hot over the last few weeks as they are now in 2nd place of the NL East and have had some of the best pitching in the league. The Orioles have also been really good all season with a really strong offense, but their pitching hasn't been that great and they will be at risk of giving up some runs to this hot Marlins offense. The Marlins have been putting up a lot of runs in their games lately and they will be able to match what the Orioles do with Gibson starting on the mound for the Orioles. Gibson hasn't been bad this season but he has been giving up a lot more runs in his starts lately and even the Orioles haven't had a lot of success with him now, losing 4 of their last 5 games. Meanwhile, the Marlins have been playing great with Garrett on the mound since they have won 8 games in a row with him starting and he has been pitching really well in those too, not really giving up more than 3 earned runs in any of his starts. The Marlins have been getting hot on offense now and they will be able to match the Orioles here while the Orioles offense struggles more to put up runs on Garrett and this solid Marlins bullpen. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game.

Marlins Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 15, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Marlins 5 Orioles 2.

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Miami Marlins: 7-23 (-16 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 26-46 (-14 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. BRAXTON GARRETT is 26-15 UNDER in all games and 18-9 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher.

Baltimore Orioles: 54-35 (+20.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 30-11 (+14.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 16-8 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. 35-19 UNDER in an inter-league game.

Miami Marlins:  J. Davis (CF) Mid Sept - Knee. J. Cueto (SP) Prob Fri - Bicep. T. Nance (RP) Late July - Shoulder. T. Rogers (SP) Late July - Bicep. E. Cabrera (RP) Late July - Shoulder. J. Chisholm Jr. (CF) Early Aug - Oblique. A. Nardi (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. A. Garcia (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Barnes (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  A. Voth (SP) Late July - Elbow. C. Perez (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

“It’s been fun to watch them grow. There is a lot of belief in that clubhouse that we’re ready to win, and they’ve proved it.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Sunday.

“We've been playing these last five games extremely well. Our starting pitching has been the key. We showed our power today. I feel like we were in a power drought a little bit there for a little while, but these guys showed you how much power they have.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Sunday.

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Jorge Soler (R) DH

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Jesus Sanchez (L) RF

Garrett Cooper (R) 1B

Jean Segura (R) 3B

Joey Wendle (L) SS

Nick Fortes (R) C

Dane Myers (R) CF

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B

Austin Hays (R) LF

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Aaron Hicks (S) DH

Jordan Westburg (R) 2B

Ramon Urias (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Dane Myers (.409)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (126)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (23)

RBI:  Jorge Soler (51)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (14)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (8)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (15)

ERA:  Eury Perez (2.36)

Batting Average:  Jordan Westburg (.325)

Hits:  Austin Hays (90)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (16)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (50)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (22)

Wins:  Dean Kremer (9)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (23)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)