Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/14/2023

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, July 14, 2023

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  MASN2

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +100, Orioles -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +100, Orioles -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +100, Orioles -120; Over/Under:  8 runs

Miami Marlins:  53-39 (2nd place, NL East)

Baltimore Orioles:  54-35 (2nd place, AL East)

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Miami Marlins:  5-5 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10

The Marlins are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-39 record overall and have a road record of 23-21. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Friday and they have had the week off for rest due to the All-Star break. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .727 OPS. Jesús Luzardo was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Sandy Alcantara is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-7 with a 4.72 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 5 Ks on 8 hits through 6.2 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Orioles are entering this series on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-35 record overall and have a home record of 26-18. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Friday and they have had the week off for rest due to the All-Star break. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .747 OPS. Kyle Gibson was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 9-4 with a 4.78 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 10 strikeouts on 4 hits through 7 innings played against the New York Yankees.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have been having a great season with a really good offense and a really good record that has them in 2nd place of the AL East right now. They weren't playing great in the week leading up to the All-Star break but they started to break out again in that last series against the Twins and they will be looking to keep their run going at home here. The Marlins have also been a really hot team lately with great pitching as they are in 2nd place of the NL East, but their offense was starting to cool off in that last series before the All-Star break and their starter on the mound here has also struggled this season. They have Alcantara starting and he hasn't been the ace he was for them last season since he has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts all year and hasn't been that good lately either. The Orioles have a really good offense that will take advantage of the way he has been pitching and put up some runs at home here. The Orioles have Kremer starting here and he hasn't been that great this season but he has been really good at home lately as he was a lot better in his last start too and he will be able to shut down this Marlins offense that hasn't been that hot lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game. 

Marlins Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 14, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 7 Marlins 3.

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Miami Marlins: 53-39 (+16.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 24-14 (+12.1 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. SANDY ALCANTARA is 25-12 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125 and 16-5 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10. 

Baltimore Orioles: 3-12 (-8.5 units) on the moneyline after batting .315 or better over a 5 game span. 7-24 (-16.4 units) on the moneyline after a game with a combined score of 17 runs or more. 16-8 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. 35-19 UNDER in an inter-league game.

Miami Marlins:  J. Davis (CF) Mid Sept - Knee. J. Cueto (SP) Prob Fri - Bicep. T. Nance (RP) Late July - Shoulder. T. Rogers (SP) Late July - Bicep. E. Cabrera (RP) Late July - Shoulder. J. Chisholm Jr. (CF) Early Aug - Oblique. A. Nardi (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. A. Garcia (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Barnes (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  A. Voth (SP) Late July - Elbow. C. Perez (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

“It’s been fun to watch them grow. There is a lot of belief in that clubhouse that we’re ready to win, and they’ve proved it.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Sunday.

“We've been playing these last five games extremely well. Our starting pitching has been the key. We showed our power today. I feel like we were in a power drought a little bit there for a little while, but these guys showed you how much power they have.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Sunday.

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Jorge Soler (R) DH

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Jesus Sanchez (L) RF

Garrett Cooper (R) 1B

Jean Segura (R) 3B

Joey Wendle (L) SS

Nick Fortes (R) C

Dane Myers (R) CF

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B

Austin Hays (R) LF

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Aaron Hicks (S) DH

Jordan Westburg (R) 2B

Ramon Urias (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Dane Myers (.409)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (126)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (23)

RBI:  Jorge Soler (51)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (14)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (8)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (15)

ERA:  Eury Perez (2.36)

Batting Average:  Jordan Westburg (.325)

Hits:  Austin Hays (90)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (16)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (50)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (22)

Wins:  Dean Kremer (9)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (23)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)