Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/02/2023

Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, July 2, 2023

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +160, Braves -190; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +160, Braves -190; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +160, Braves -190; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Miami Marlins:  48-35 (2nd place, NL East)

Atlanta Braves:  54-27 (1st place, NL East)

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Miami Marlins:  6-4 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  9-1 last 10

The Marlins are entering this series on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-35 record overall and have a road record of 23-19. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Braves on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .720 OPS. Rookie pitcher Eury Pérez is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Sandy Alcantara is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 3-6 with a 4.82 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 7 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Braves are entering this series on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-27 record overall and have a home record of 28-15. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .836 OPS. Charlie Morton is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Spencer Strider is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 9-2 with a 3.73 ERA this season. His team won their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 10 strikeouts on 3 hits through 7 innings played against the Minnesota Twins.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a big underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins have been great in their games lately as they now find themselves in 2nd place of the division and they are going to be looking to gain some ground in the standings here against the NL East leading Braves. The Braves have also been rolling in their games lately with the best offense in the league but their pitching has definitely been more vulnerable and has been an area to take advantage of in their games lately. The Braves do have Strider starting this game and he has been a solid starter all season since he hasn't given up many runs at all, but the Marlins offense has been a lot better lately and they also have their own solid starter in this game. The Marlins have Alcantara starting here and he hasn't been the same starter he was last season but he is coming off a really good start in his last one and will be looking to continue pitching well now that he has found a groove. He has the potential to shut lineups down with how well he was pitching last season and playing against one of the best teams in the league will surely bring out his best throws in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game and on the runline to keep it close.

Marlins Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 2, 2023 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Marlins 2 Braves 1.

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Miami Marlins: 83-121 (-17.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 138-162 (-11.7 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 24-18 OVER as an underdog of +175 to +250. 14-8 OVER against division opponents.

Atlanta Braves: 54-27 (+14.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 48-21 (+13.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 40-21 OVER as a home favorite of -175 to -250. 26-16 OVER in home games.

Miami Marlins:  Y. Gurriel (1B) Ques Sat - Nose. T. Rogers (SP) Mid July - Bicep. T. Nance (RP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Cueto (SP) Early July - Bicep. E. Cabrera (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Garcia (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Barnes (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Atlanta Braves:  K. Wright (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Chavez (RP) Early July - Shin. M. Fried (SP) Mid July - Forearm. E. Adrianza (2B) Early July - Shoulder. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“That is a really deep lineup, and they can make you pay if you leave stuff over the middle, especially up. They did a really good job against some of our guys tonight." - Skip Schumaker after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Friday.

“I thought back to what I put up in 2019, and that was being fearless and letting it go. I think they appreciated that because every game I went out there I laid it all on the line and showed that, so that was my goal tonight, and I did a good job of doing that for them.” - Michael Soroka after their win against the Marlins in their game on Friday.

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Jorge Soler (R) DH

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) CF

Garrett Cooper (R) 1B

Joey Wendle (L) SS

Jon Berti (R) 3B

Jesus Sanchez (L) RF

Jacob Stallings (R) C

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Sean Murphy (R) C

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.390)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (115)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (22)

RBI:  Jorge Soler (47)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (14)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (6)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (13)

ERA:  Eury Perez (1.34)

Batting Average:  Ronald Acuna (.334)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (109)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (28)

RBI:  Matt Olson (67)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (37)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (9)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (13)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)