Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/01/2023

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 1, 2023

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  BSSE

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +155, Braves -180; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +155, Braves -180; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Marlins +155, Braves -180; Over/Under:  9 runs

Miami Marlins:  48-34 (2nd place, NL East)

Atlanta Braves:  53-27 (1st place, NL East)

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Miami Marlins:  7-3 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  9-1 last 10

The Marlins are entering this series on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-34 record overall and have a road record of 23-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .720 OPS. Bryan Hoeing is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Eury Pérez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-1 with a 1.34 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 9 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Braves are entering this series on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-27 record overall and have a home record of 27-15. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .827 OPS. Michael Soroka is their starting pitcher on Friday while Charlie Morton is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-6 with a 3.81 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 7 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins have been surging up the standings lately with a great record that has put them in 2nd place of the division. This is a big series for them since they are chasing down the Braves in 1st place who have also been rolling in their games lately. The Marlins haven't been as good as the Braves have been offensively but the Marlins have definitely had some better pitching this season and they can take advantage of the pitching matchup in this game. The Braves have been dealing with a lot of injuries to pitchers so their starting rotation and their bullpen has suffered all season. They do have Morton on the mound here but he really hasn't been that great in his starts as he still gives up quite a few runs in his starts. The Marlins have been getting better on offense over the last week and they will take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get here. Meanwhile, the Marlins are starting Perez in this game and he has been really good in his few starts this season. He is only in his rookie year but he hasn't given up many runs in the starts he has pitched in. The Braves offense has been good but they haven't faced Perez before and he will have the advantage here with how well he has been pitching lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game and on the runline to keep it close. 

Marlins Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 1, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Marlins 3 Braves 0.

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Miami Marlins: 83-120 (-16.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 138-161 (-10.7 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 24-18 OVER as an underdog of +175 to +250. 7-4 OVER revenging a 3 game sweep, beaten by 3+ runs in each game. 

Atlanta Braves: 53-27 (+13.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 47-21 (+12.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 39-21 OVER as a home favorite of -175 to -250. 25-16 OVER in home games.

Miami Marlins:  Y. Gurriel (1B) Ques Fri - Nose. G. Cooper (1B) Ques Fri - Illness. T. Rogers (SP) Mid July - Bicep. T. Nance (RP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Cueto (SP) Early July - Bicep. E. Cabrera (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Garcia (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Barnes (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Atlanta Braves:  K. Wright (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Chavez (RP) Early July - Shin. M. Fried (SP) Mid July - Forearm. E. Adrianza (2B) Early July - Shoulder. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“It was incredible to be a part of (the sweep). The team, how we’re playing, the energy in the clubhouse, everyone’s pulling for each other, no “I” guys. It’s just a lot of fun.” - Jesus Luzardo after their win against the Red Sox in their game on Thursday.

“It was a really good job by everybody. Any time you throw a shutout it's a team effort.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Wednesday.

Luis Arraez (L) 1B

Jorge Soler (R) DH

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) CF

Jean Segura (R) 3B

Joey Wendle (L) SS

Jon Berti (R) 2B

Jesus Sanchez (L) RF

Nick Fortes (R) C

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.392)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (114)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (21)

RBI:  Jorge Soler (46)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (14)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (6)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (13)

ERA:  Eury Perez (1.34)

Batting Average:  Ronald Acuna (.331)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (107)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (26)

RBI:  Matt Olson (62)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (36)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (9)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (13)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Managers:

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)