Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/11/2023

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 11, 2023

Venue:  Amway Center, Orlando, FL

Where to Watch:  BSFL

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat -3, Magic +3; Over/Under:  NL points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat -3, Magic +3; Over/Under:  NL points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat -3, Magic +3; Over/Under:  NL points

Miami Heat:  35-32 (1st place, Southeast Division)

Orlando Magic:  27-40 (4th place, Southeast Division)

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Miami Heat:  3-7 last 10

Orlando Magic:  4-6 last 10

The Heat are coming into this game with a 35-32 record overall and they are 14-19 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They still have a game against the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday night that needs to be played first as this is the 2nd leg of a back-to-back for them on Saturday. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game. Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 28 while Tyler Herro was next on the team with 22 points. Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Kevin Love led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 50% from the field, 27.6% from 3-point range, and 75.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 108.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.1 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 23-41-3 this season and their O/U record is 30-37.

The Magic are coming into this game with a 27-40 record overall and they are 15-19 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Portland Trail Blazers, the Milwaukee Bucks, and the Utah Jazz in their last game. Paolo Banchero led the team in points in that game with 26 while Markelle Fultz was next on the team with 25 points. Markelle Fultz and Jalen Suggs each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Paolo Banchero led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 46.8% from the field, 47.1% from 3-point range, and 64.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 111.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.3 PPG against them. The Magic have an ATS record of 35-31-1 this season and their O/U record is 32-33-2.

The current betting odds have the Magic listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Magic have been terrible this season with their 27-40 record overall but they have been playing their best in their home games this year and are 15-19 in their home games. They haven't been playing great lately with 3 losses in a row now but they have an advantage here as they are at home with some rest and they are always going to play Miami tough. The Heat haven't been that great this year either with just a 35-32 record overall but they haven't been great in their road games with a 14-19 road record. The Heat are also in a bad situation here playing with no rest in this game and they haven't been great in their games lately either, even losing their last game played before the back-to-back. The Magic will be motivated to bring their best effort here and snap their losing streak against their Florida rival here at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Magic to cover the spread in this game. 

Heat Magic Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, March 11, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Magic 110 Heat 102.

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Miami Heat: 23-42 ATS in all games. 13-30 ATS as a favorite. 12-4 UNDER as a road favorite.

Orlando Magic: 15-5 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 8-2 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games. 21-9 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

Miami Heat:  K. Love (PF) Prob Fri - Ribs. N. Jovic (SF) Mid March - Back. K. Lowry (PG) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Orlando Magic:  W. Carter Jr. (C) Ques Sat - Hip. J. Isaac (PF) out for season - Groin.

“It is extremely tough to win in this league when you have 24 turnovers. You have to credit them. The last six weeks, they’ve really turned up that disruptiveness.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s loss against the Cavaliers in their game on Wednesday.

“We made a lot of 3s (16) but we missed a lot of free throws (11). A lot of teams are just trying to stop us from getting into the paint and stop us from driving. So the 3-ball is there a lot of times and you’ve just got to take it with confidence.” - Paolo Banchero after their loss against the Jazz in their game on Thursday.

PG Gabe Vincent

SG Tyler Herro

SF Jimmy Butler 

PF Kevin Love

C Bam Adebayo

PG Markelle Fultz

SG Gary Harris

SF Franz Wagner

PF Paolo Banchero

C Moritz Wagner

PPG: J. Butler (22.1)

APG: K. Lowry (5.3)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.5)

PPG: P. Banchero (20.1)

APG: M. Fultz (5.5)

Reb/G: W. Carter Jr. (8.8)

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (15th season)

Orlando Magic: Jamahl Mosley (2nd season)