Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/18/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, April 18, 2025

Venue:  State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat -1, Hawks +1; Over/Under:  219 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat -1, Hawks +1; Over/Under:  219 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat -1.5, Hawks +1.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

Miami Heat:  37-45 (3rd place, Southeast Division)

Atlanta Hawks:  40-42 (2nd place, Southeast Division)

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Miami Heat:  6-4 last 10

Atlanta Hawks:  5-5 last 10

The Heat are entering this game with a 37-45 record overall this season and they are 17-23 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Chicago Bulls. Tyler Herro led the team in points in that game with 38 while Andrew Wiggins was next on the team with 20 points. Davion Mitchell led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 49.4% from the field, 37.1% from 3-point range, and 63.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 39-43-1 this season and their O/U record is 44-39.

The Hawks are entering this game with a 40-42 record overall this season and they are 21-19 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Orlando Magic. Trae Young led the team in points in that game with 28 while Georges Niang was next on the team with 15 points. Dyson Daniels led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Dyson Daniels led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 38.1% from the field, 19% from 3-point range, and 79.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 119.3 PPG against them. The Hawks have an ATS record of 41-42 this season and their O/U record is 50-32-1.

The current betting odds have the Heat listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Heat haven't looked good in their games this season with their 37-45 record overall, but that record was enough for them to slip into the last play-in spot. They haven't been a good road team either with their 17-23 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Hawks haven't looked great in their games this season with their 40-42 record overall which was enough to get them into the play-in tournament as the 8th seed. They have looked better on their home court too with their 21-19 home record this year. The Hawks aren't a good team though and they really showed it in their first play-in game. They were on the road for that one, but they weren't even in the game with the Magic for most of the time, losing by 25 points in the end. Trae Young was also ejected in that game as he could not keep his cool. The Heat also had to go on the road for their first play-in game, but they were very impressive to win that one over the Bulls by double digits. The Bulls were never in that game either as the Heat took an early lead in the game and never looked back. The Hawks will be more competitive in this game since they have the home advantage now and their season is actually on the line here, but the Heat have shown that they can win on the road in this tournament. The Heat have also had a lot of success against the Hawks in their recent meetings, and with their win over the Bulls in their last one, they have the momentum coming into this one too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Heat to cover the spread in this game. 

Heat Hawks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 18, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Heat 114 Hawks 101.

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Miami Heat: 20-13 ATS in all playoff games. 12-6 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 26-15 1H ATS in road games. 60-32 1H OVER when the line is +3 to -3. 23-17 1H OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%).

Atlanta Hawks: 13-27 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 3-14 ATS off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more. 6-11 ATS after scoring 100 points or less. 9-3 OVER off a road loss against a division rival. 12-5 OVER off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more.

Miami Heat:  K. Love (PF) Day To Day - Personal. N. Jovic (PF) Day To Day - Hand. D. Smith (PG) Out For Season - Achilles.

Atlanta Hawks:  C. Capela (C) Day To Day - Hand. L. Nance Jr. (PF) Out For Season - Knee. J. Johnson (SF) Out For Season - Shoulder. K. Bufkin (SG) Out For Season - Shoulder.

“We're only halfway there. We didn't have the luxury of having the one game and then you're automatically in. Guys feel great about this win and really put a lot into this. This is not something that could just happen overnight. I feel like there's been some good things happening the last several weeks.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s win against the Bulls in the play-in tournament on Wednesday.

“I thought we did a good job on Paolo and Franz (Wagner), and they had some other players who really stepped up and made plays.” - Quin Snyder after his team’s loss against the Magic in the play-in tournament on Tuesday.

PG Tyler Herro 

SG Alec Burks

SF Andrew Wiggins

PF Bam Adebayo

C Kel'el Ware

PG Trae Young

SG Dyson Daniels

SF Zaccharie Risacher 

PF Mouhamed Gueye

C Onyeka Okongwu

PPG: T. Herro (23.9)

APG: T. Herro (5.5)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.6)

PPG: T. Young (24.2)

APG: T. Young (11.6)

Reb/G: J. Johnson (10)

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (17th season)

Atlanta Hawks: Quin Snyder (3rd season)