Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/03/2023

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, March 3, 2023

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +5.5, Nuggets -5.5; Over/Under:  232.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +5.5, Nuggets -5.5; Over/Under:  232.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +5.5, Nuggets -5.5; Over/Under:  232.5 points

Memphis Grizzlies:  38-23 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Denver Nuggets:  44-19 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Memphis Grizzlies:  6-4 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10

The Grizzlies are coming into this game with a 38-23 record overall and they are 12-18 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets, the Los Angeles Lakers, and the Houston Rockets in their last game. Desmond Bane led the team in points in that game with 30 while Ja Morant was next on the team with 20 points. Ja Morant led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Desmond Bane led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 48.2% from the field, 41.5% from 3-point range, and 84.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.6 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 29-30-2 this season and their O/U record is 26-33-2.

The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 44-19 record overall and they are 28-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Clippers and the Houston Rockets in their last game. Jamal Murray led the team in points in that game with 32 while Michael Porter Jr. was next on the team with 17 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 57.6% from the field, 43.2% from 3-point range, and 68.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.8 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 35-27-1 this season and their O/U record is 32-31.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have been a really good team all year with their 44-19 record overall and they have been one of the best teams in the entire NBA this season. They have been a really good home team too with their 28-4 home record and they also have the advantage of the altitude when playing there. They have some momentum on their side too with 2 wins in a row now and they are still fighting for the number 1 seed in the West as the Grizzlies are right on their tail. The Grizzlies have also been having a great season with their 38-23 record overall but they have not been nearly as good as the Nuggets have been and the Grizzlies have also struggled in their road games this year with a 12-18 road record. They do have some momentum on their side too with 3 wins in a row now but this 3 game winning streak started with a home win over the Nuggets and they are going to be looking to repay that loss now that they are the team at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Grizzlies Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 3, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 124 Grizzlies 114.

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Memphis Grizzlies: 1-9 ATS as a road underdog. 5-11 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 24-10 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230.

Denver Nuggets: 20-10 ATS as a home favorite. 14-5 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 7-1 UNDER after a blowout win by 20 points or more.

Memphis Grizzlies:  S. Adams (C) Early April - Knee.

Denver Nuggets:  Z. Nnaji (PF) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Gillespie (PG) Early March - Leg.

“Our focus was just trying to right the ship. And any time you can start a road trip with a victory, it just gives you a different mentality for the rest.” - Taylor Jenkins after his team’s win against the Rockets in their game on Wednesday.

“He is a unique person who doesn’t want any of the attention or credit. He just wants to go about his business and help this team win its first championship.” - Michael Malone on Nikola Jokic after his team’s win against the Rockets in their game on Tuesday. 

PG Ja Morant

SG Desmond Bane

SF Dillon Brooks

PF Jaren Jackson Jr.

C Xavier Tillman

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: J. Morant (27.1)

APG: J. Morant (8.2)

Reb/G: S. Adams (11.5)

PPG: N. Jokic (24.6)

APG: N. Jokic (10)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (11.7)

Coaches:

Memphis Grizzlies: Taylor Jenkins (4th season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (8th season)