Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 14, 2023
Venue: Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: LSU +15.5, Alabama -15.5; Over/Under: 147 points
Bet365: Point Spread: LSU +15.5, Alabama -15.5; Over/Under: 147 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: LSU +15.5, Alabama -15.5; Over/Under: 147 points
Season Record
LSU Tigers: 12-4 (1-3) (11th place, SEC)
Alabama Crimson Tide: 14-2 (4-0) (1st place, SEC)
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Recent Form
LSU Tigers: 2-3 last 5
Alabama Crimson Tide: 5-0 last 5
LSU Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide Preview and Analysis
LSU is coming into this game with a 12-4 record overall and they are 0-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 1-3 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Kentucky Wildcats, the Texas A&M Aggies, and the Florida Gators in their last game. KJ Williams led the team in points in that game with 23 while Derek Fountain and Adam Miller each were next on the team with 8 points. Justice Hill led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Trae Hannibal led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 32.2% from the field, 17.9% from 3-point range, and 81.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 69.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 64.6 PPG against them. LSU has an ATS record of 6-10 this season and their O/U record is 5-10-1.
Alabama is coming into this game with a 14-2 record overall and they are 8-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 4-0 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Jackson State Tigers, the Mississippi State Bulldogs, the Ole Miss Rebels, the Kentucky Wildcats, and the Arkansas Razorbacks in their last game. Mark Sears led the team in points in that game with 26 while Noah Clowney was next on the team with 15 points. Mark Sears and Jaden Bradley each led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Charles Bediako and Noah Gurley each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 46.3% from the field, 45% from 3-point range, and 69.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.7 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 9-6-1 this season and their O/U record is 8-7-1.
LSU vs Alabama Prediction
The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 15.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama has been having a great year with their 14-2 record overall and they are even ranked as a top 4 team in the country right now. They have been great at home with a perfect 8-0 record there and are even perfect in their 4 conference games too. LSU has also been having a good season overall as they are 12-4, but they have been terrible since hitting conference play as they have been losing a lot now. They are just 1-3 in their conference games this season and have been just as bad on the road with a 0-2 road record. They have also been getting blown out in a few of these conference losses while Alabama has been doing the opposite as of late with a lot of their wins coming by double digits and even over 20 points. Alabama has been on a roll lately and they are trying to prove themselves as the best team in the country so they are going to continue to roll teams at home here and beat up on this struggling LSU team. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game.
LSU Alabama Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, January 14, 2023 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 88 LSU 68.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
LSU Tigers: 21-12 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 31-21 ATS after a combined score of 125 points or less 2 straight games. 27-16 OVER as a road underdog of 10 or more points.
Alabama Crimson Tide: 2-9 ATS after playing a game as an underdog. 18-35 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins. 21-12 OVER after 1 or more consecutive unders.
Key Injuries
LSU Tigers: M. Wilkinson (F) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Hayes (G) Ques Sat - Ankle. C. Williams (F) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
Alabama Crimson Tide: N. Burnett (G) Early Feb - Wrist.
Notable Quotes
“A lot to cover. I’ll leave some of it to your questions. Obviously, I’ll start off by giving Florida great credit for coming in here and getting a big road win. I think for us, you have opportunities to win games. We got to find ways to eliminate self-inflicted wounds. You look at 16 turnovers that go to 23 points on the other end. Our inefficiency on the offensive end from a shooting standpoint. I though there were a couple stretches that really hurt us.” - Matt McMahon after his team’s loss against Florida in their last game.
“That’s a tough road win. Our guys showed that they’ve got some toughness, some character, some grit, can handle some runs and still stay in there. After we beat Houston at Houston, I think guys had some confidence that we could win anywhere. I think we snapped a 17-game home winning streak. I think it’s been 30 years since they lost to a ranked team as a ranked team. So there’s a lot of things that hadn’t been done in this building for a while that guys did well. We’ve got a talented group.” - Nate Oats after his team’s win against Arkansas in their last game.
Starting Lineups
LSU Tigers
J. Hill
A. Miller
J. Reed
M. Wilkinson
K. Williams
Alabama Crimson Tide
C. Bediako
N. Burnett
N. Clowney
B. Miller
M. Sears
Statistical Leaders
LSU Tigers
PPG: K. Williams (18.5)
APG: J. Hill (3.7)
Reb/G: K. Williams (7.6)
Alabama Crimson Tide
PPG: B. Miller (18.8)
APG: J. Bradley (3.7)
Reb/G: N. Clowney (8.3)
Coaches:
LSU Tigers: Matt McMahon (1st season)
Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (4th season)