by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Jul 15, 2023
Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, July 16, 2023
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +105, Mets -125; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +105, Mets -125; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +105, Mets -125; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 52-38 (1st place, NL West)
New York Mets: 42-49 (4th place, NL East)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 7-3 last 10
New York Mets: 6-4 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series on a 4 game winning streak and completed the sweep 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Los Angeles Angels in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-38 record overall and have a road record of 23-22. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Mets on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .785 OPS. Tony Gonsolin is their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Bobby Miller is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 5-1 with a 4.50 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 5 hits through 5.2 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
The Mets are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-49 record overall and have a home record of 20-20. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .721 OPS. Rookie pitcher Kodai Senga is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Max Scherzer is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 8-3 with a 4.31 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers, and 3 BB with 7 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5 innings played against the San Diego Padres.
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers got off to a slower start this season as they were trailing the Diamondbacks in the NL West for most of the season but now they have taken over 1st place in the division and will be looking to hold onto that. The Dodgers still have one of the best offenses in the MLB too as they have had all season and they are going to put up runs in this game with the Mets bullpen giving up a lot of runs lately. The Mets also have Scherzer starting in this game and he hasn't been his usual self this year since he has been giving up a lot more runs in his starts and even gave up 5 runs in his last start. Scherzer is still a solid starter but he just hasn't been pitching well lately and he is going to struggle to keep one of the hottest offenses in the league off the board here. The Dodgers have rookie Bobby Miller starting in this game and he hasn't been lights out in his starts this year, but he hasn't been getting blown up either and he will do enough to keep the Mets offense at bay here with how badly they have been performing all season. The Dodgers also have the better bullpen right now and their offense will be able to carry them in this game against a Mets team giving up a ton of runs lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game.
Dodgers Mets Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 16, 2023 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 7 Mets 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 64-29 (+14.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 41-24 (+7.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 28-15 OVER in road games. 16-8 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10.
New York Mets: 42-49 (-22.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 20-20 (-9.3 units) on the moneyline in home games. MAX SCHERZER is 5-2 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: D. Hudson (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. R. Pepiot (SP) Late July - Oblique. C. Taylor (SS) Prob Sat - Knee. D. May (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Kershaw (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. T. Thompson (LF) Early Aug - Oblique. S. Miller (RP) Out Indefinitely - Neck. A. Reyes (SP) out for season - Shoulder. N. Syndergaard (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. T. Cyr (RP) Late July - Shoulder. J. Feyereisen (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Buehler (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee. B. Treinen (RP) Early Sept - Shoulder.
New York Mets: J. Quintana (SP) Prob Wed - Ribs. S. Coonrod (RP) Late July - Back. T. Locastro (CF) Late July - Thumb. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“It was great. He said it best: He said his vacation’s over. Just the way he threw the baseball, he was in complete command tonight.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Friday.
“We knew we were getting a pitcher on the uptick. He’s pitched a little better. We all know what his pedigree is.” - Buck Showalter after his team’s loss against the LA Dodgers in their game on Friday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) 2B
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Will Smith (R) C
Max Muncy (L) 3B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
David Peralta (L) LF
Jason Heyward (L) RF
James Outman (L) CF
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Tommy Pham (R) DH
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Starling Marte (R) RF
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Francisco Alvarez (R) C
Brett Baty (L) 3B
Mark Canha (R) LF
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Freddie Freeman (.320)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (115)
Home Runs: Mookie Betts (26)
RBI: Mookie Betts (63)
Stolen Bases: Freddie Freeman (12)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (10)
Saves: Evan Phillips (12)
ERA: Tyler Cyr (0.00)
New York Mets
Batting Average: Michael Perez (.571)
Hits: Brandon Nimmo (92)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (26)
RBI: Pete Alonso (61)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (23)
Wins: Max Scherzer (8)
Saves: David Robertson (12)
ERA: Edwin Uceta (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
