Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, July 15, 2023
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -120, Mets +100; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -120, Mets +100; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -120, Mets +100; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 51-38 (1st place, NL West)
New York Mets: 42-48 (4th place, NL East)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 7-3 last 10
New York Mets: 6-4 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series on a 4 game winning streak and completed the sweep 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Los Angeles Angels in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-38 record overall and have a road record of 22-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .785 OPS. Julio Urías is their starting pitcher on Friday while Tony Gonsolin is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-3 with a 3.86 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 7 hits through 6.2 IP against the Los Angeles Angels.
The Mets are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-48 record overall and have a home record of 20-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .726 OPS. Justin Verlander is their starting pitcher on Friday while Kodai Senga is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-5 with a 3.31 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 12 strikeouts on 4 hits through 8 innings played against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets haven't been having a good season at all with their losing record but they were starting to get hot going into the All-Star break and they will be looking to pick up where they left off here. The Dodgers have also been playing a lot better in their games lately as they have now taken over the lead of the NL West but they have still had an issue with their pitching staff this season and the Mets can definitely take advantage of this better pitching matchup since the Dodgers have also struggled more in their road games. The Dodgers have Gonsolin starting here and he has been good this season but lately he has been giving up more runs in his starts and he is going to get himself into trouble here with the Mets offense hitting the ball a lot better now. The Mets have also been a lot better at home this season as a team and the same goes for their rookie starter Senga here who has been great in his home starts this season. The Dodgers do have a really good offense but Senga has pitched a lot better in his home starts and he will be at his best for one of the strongest teams in the MLB here. The Dodgers were also struggling a lot in road games going into the All-Star break so they won't be at their best here and the Mets will be trying to gain some momentum coming out of the break so they can try to turn things around and make a playoff push. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.
Dodgers Mets Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 15, 2023 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Mets 4 Dodgers 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 28-15 (+8.5 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 40-24 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. TONY GONSOLIN is 9-1 UNDER on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 and 8-2 UNDER against NL East opponents.
New York Mets: 42-48 (-21.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 7-21 (-13.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 10-1 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125. 18-9 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: D. Hudson (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. R. Pepiot (SP) Late July - Oblique. C. Taylor (SS) Late July - Knee. D. May (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Kershaw (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Thompson (LF) Early Aug - Oblique. S. Miller (RP) Late July - Neck. A. Reyes (SP) out for season - Shoulder. N. Syndergaard (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. T. Cyr (RP) Late July - Shoulder. J. Feyereisen (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Buehler (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee. B. Treinen (RP) Early Sept - Shoulder.
New York Mets: J. Quintana (SP) Late July - Ribs. S. Coonrod (RP) Late July - Back. T. Locastro (CF) Late July - Thumb. T. Pham (DH) Ques Fri - Groin. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We wanted to finish strong through the first half. Once we get going again, there's another finish line at the end of October.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the LA Angels in their game on Saturday.
“I’ve got to be better than that. I had a chance to get out of the inning and I didn’t. I’m executing the slider at times and it is good and at times it is bad. That’s the worst thing you can have, an inconsistent pitch. I’m leaving it in the middle part of the plate at the wrong time.’’ - Max Scherzer after their loss against the Padres in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) RF
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Will Smith (R) C
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Max Muncy (L) 3B
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Miguel Vargas (R) 2B
James Outman (L) CF
Jonny Deluca (R) LF
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Jeff McNeil (L) RF
DJ Stewart (L) DH
Francisco Alvarez (R) C
Brett Baty (L) 3B
Luis Guillorme (L) 2B
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Freddie Freeman (.320)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (114)
Home Runs: Mookie Betts (26)
RBI: Mookie Betts (62)
Stolen Bases: Freddie Freeman (12)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (10)
Saves: Evan Phillips (12)
ERA: Tyler Cyr (0.00)
New York Mets
Batting Average: Michael Perez (.571)
Hits: Brandon Nimmo (91)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (26)
RBI: Pete Alonso (61)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (23)
Wins: Max Scherzer (8)
Saves: David Robertson (12)
ERA: Edwin Uceta (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)