by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Jul 13, 2023
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, July 14, 2023
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch: Apple TV+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -125, Mets +105; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -125, Mets +105; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -125, Mets +105; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 51-38 (1st place, NL West)
New York Mets: 42-48 (4th place, NL East)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 7-3 last 10
New York Mets: 6-4 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series on a 4 game winning streak and completed the sweep 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Los Angeles Angels in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-38 record overall and have a road record of 22-22. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Mets on Friday and they have had the week off for rest due to the All-Star break. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .785 OPS. Alex Vesia was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Julio Urías is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 6-5 with a 4.76 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
The Mets are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-48 record overall and have a home record of 20-19. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Friday and they have had the week off for rest due to the All-Star break. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .726 OPS. Max Scherzer was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Justin Verlander is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-4 with a 3.60 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 2 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the San Diego Padres.
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers got off to a slow start this season but they have finally been getting hot now and right before the All-Star break they caught the Diamondbacks in 1st place of the NL West and have now taken over the lead of the division. They are going to be looking to come out of the break strong now that they have the division lead and have been getting hot lately. They have Urias starting in this game and he hasn't been great this season but he was a lot better in his last start and will be able to shut down a Mets lineup that has not been performing well all year. The Mets haven't had a good offense all season and they haven't really been a good team at all as they are under .500 and in 4th place of their division. Their offense has not been producing runs and it isn't going to be any different here with Urias starting to pitch better now. The Mets also have Verlander starting here and he has not been the solid starter this season that he has been in past years. Verlander has had a few bad starts this year where he gave up a lot of runs and he will struggle to keep this Dodgers lineup off the board as they have still had one of the best offenses in the MLB all season and were extremely hot going into the All-Star break. Look for the Dodgers to continue on their hot run now that they have the division lead and some momentum behind them. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game.
Dodgers Mets Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 14, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 6 Mets 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 28-15 (+8.5 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 40-24 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 27-15 UNDER after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more. 29-16 UNDER after 6 or more consecutive home games.
New York Mets: 42-48 (-21.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 15-25 (-18.5 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 10-1 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125. 18-9 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: D. Hudson (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. R. Pepiot (SP) Late July - Oblique. C. Taylor (SS) Late July - Knee. D. May (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Kershaw (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Thompson (LF) Early Aug - Oblique. S. Miller (RP) Late July - Neck. A. Reyes (SP) out for season - Shoulder. N. Syndergaard (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. T. Cyr (RP) Late July - Shoulder. J. Feyereisen (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Buehler (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee. B. Treinen (RP) Early Sept - Shoulder.
New York Mets: J. Quintana (SP) Late July - Ribs. S. Coonrod (RP) Late July - Back. T. Locastro (CF) Late July - Thumb. T. Pham (DH) Ques Fri - Groin. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We wanted to finish strong through the first half. Once we get going again, there's another finish line at the end of October.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the LA Angels in their game on Saturday.
“I’ve got to be better than that. I had a chance to get out of the inning and I didn’t. I’m executing the slider at times and it is good and at times it is bad. That’s the worst thing you can have, an inconsistent pitch. I’m leaving it in the middle part of the plate at the wrong time.’’ - Max Scherzer after their loss against the Padres in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) RF
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Will Smith (R) C
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Max Muncy (L) 3B
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Miguel Vargas (R) 2B
James Outman (L) CF
Jonny Deluca (R) LF
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Jeff McNeil (L) RF
DJ Stewart (L) DH
Francisco Alvarez (R) C
Brett Baty (L) 3B
Luis Guillorme (L) 2B
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Freddie Freeman (.320)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (114)
Home Runs: Mookie Betts (26)
RBI: Mookie Betts (62)
Stolen Bases: Freddie Freeman (12)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (10)
Saves: Evan Phillips (12)
ERA: Tyler Cyr (0.00)
New York Mets
Batting Average: Michael Perez (.571)
Hits: Brandon Nimmo (91)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (26)
RBI: Pete Alonso (61)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (23)
Wins: Max Scherzer (8)
Saves: David Robertson (12)
ERA: Edwin Uceta (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
