Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/30/2025

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jul 29, 2025
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 30, 2025
Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Where to Watch:  MLBN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers -180, Reds +147; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers -175, Reds +145; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers -175, Reds +145; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Season Record

Los Angeles Dodgers:  62-45 (1st place, NL West)
Cincinnati Reds:  56-51 (3rd place, NL Central)

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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers:  4-6 last 10
Cincinnati Reds:  6-4 last 10



Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds Preview and Analysis


The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 62-45 record overall and have a road record of 27-24. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Reds on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. The Dodgers won the series opener on Monday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .773 OPS. Tyler Glasnow is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Shohei Ohtani is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-0 with a 1.50 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 3 SO on 4 hits through 3 IP against the Minnesota Twins.

The Reds are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-51 record overall and have a home record of 31-23. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Reds lost the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .712 OPS. Nick Lodolo is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Nick Martinez is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 9-9 with a 4.69 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 walks with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays.


Dodgers vs Reds Prediction

The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 62-45 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have been a good road team too with their 27-24 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Reds have looked good in their games this season with their 56-51 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL Central. They have looked a lot better in their own ballpark too with their 31-23 home record this season. The Reds have been the hotter team lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games while the Dodgers are only 4-6, but the Dodgers are starting to pull themselves out of their slump and can take advantage of this pitching matchup. Ohtani is on the mound for the Dodgers here and he has looked great in his few starts this season. He is 0-0 with a 1.50 ERA and hasn't been going deep into starts as he is still coming back from an injury, but lately he has been pitching more innings and should have a deeper outing here. The team has also won 2 games in a row now with him starting and he hasn't really given up any runs in his starts. The Reds are going with Martinez in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 9-9 with a 4.69 ERA and has looked really good lately, but he has still had a few bad starts this year and has the potential to give up a lot of runs here against one of the best offenses in the MLB. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team has had success with him lately, winning 3 games in a row with him starting, but that good fortune could come to an end here as he is due for some regression. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game. 

Dodgers Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 30, 2025 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 6 Reds 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


Los Angeles Dodgers: 44-42 (-22.4 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. 145-87 (-25.9 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. 120-101 (-13.7 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 126-87 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Cincinnati Reds: 46-37 (+13.7 units) on the moneyline against NL West opponents. 214-216 (+11.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 118-135 (+22.4 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 19-8 OVER at home vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season.

Key Injuries


Los Angeles Dodgers:  T. Scott (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. M. Kopech (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. E. Hernandez (1B) Ten Day IL - Elbow. M. Muncy (3B) Ten Day IL - Knee. R. Sasaki (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. E. Phillips (RP) Sixty Day IL - forearm. B. Snell (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. K. Hurt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. M. Grove (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. R. Ryan (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Stone (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

Cincinnati Reds:  I. Gibaut (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. W. Miley (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Flexor. H. Greene (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Groin. R. Lowder (SP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. C. Spiers (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. T. Callihan (LF) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. B. Williamson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Aguiar (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


"I think that it wasn't perfect. But I think overall, it's kind of what I envision from our ballclub." - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Reds in their game on Monday.


“We’re trying to build for the future with him and win now with him. I think the kid is doing a really good job. I really do. I think his future is so bright because there’s going to be things he does better. But in the meantime, we’ll take it.” - Terry Francona after his team’s loss against the LA Dodgers in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) SS
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Teoscar Hernández (R) RF
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Andy Pages (R) CF
Michael Conforto (L) LF
Hyeseong Kim (L) 2B
Miguel Rojas (R) 3B
Dalton Rushing (L) C

Cincinnati Reds
TJ Friedl (L) CF
Matt McLain (R) 2B
Elly De La Cruz (S) SS
Austin Hays (R) LF
Gavin Lux (L) DH
Spencer Steer (R) 1B
Tyler Stephenson (R) C
Will Benson (L) RF
Noelvi Marte (R) 3B

Statistical Leaders


Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average:  Will Smith (.324)
Hits:  Shohei Ohtani (113)
Home Runs:  Shohei Ohtani (38)
RBI:  Shohei Ohtani (73)
Stolen Bases:  Shohei Ohtani (13)
Wins:  Yoshinobu Yamamoto (9)
Saves:  Tanner Scott (19)
ERA:  Evan Phillips (0.00)

Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average:  Austin Wynns (.400)
Hits:  Elly De La Cruz (115)
Home Runs:  Elly De La Cruz (18)
RBI:  Elly De La Cruz (67)
Stolen Bases:  Elly De La Cruz (29)
Wins:  Nick Martinez (9)
Saves:  Emilio Pagán (22)
ERA:  Andrew Abbott (2.09)

Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (10th season)
Cincinnati Reds: Terry Francona (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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