by Rod Pearson
Friday, Jul 25, 2025
Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, July 26, 2025
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +112, Red Sox -137; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +115, Red Sox -135; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +115, Red Sox -135; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 60-43 (1st place, NL West)
Boston Red Sox: 55-49 (3rd place, AL East)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 4-6 last 10
Boston Red Sox: 6-4 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 60-43 record overall and have a road record of 25-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .773 OPS. Emmet Sheehan is their starting pitcher on Friday while Clayton Kershaw is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-1 with a 3.27 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 2 SO on 5 hits through 4.1 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.
The Red Sox are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-49 record overall and have a home record of 32-20. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .749 OPS. Brayan Bello is their starting pitcher on Friday while Garrett Crochet is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 11-4 with a 2.19 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 walks with 5 strikeouts on 8 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Chicago Cubs.
Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction
The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox have looked good in their games this season with their 55-49 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL East. They have also looked a lot better in their own ballpark with their 32-20 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 60-43 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also been a good road team this year with their 25-22 road record. The Dodgers haven't looked good lately though, going 4-6 in their last 10 games while the Red Sox are 6-4 in their last 10, and the Red Sox also have the better pitching matchup in this one too. The Red Sox are going with Crochet in this one and he has been their ace this season. He is 11-4 with a 2.19 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs all season. He is coming off another great start in which he only gave up 1 earned run and the team has won 4 games in a row now with him starting too. The Dodgers are going with Kershaw in this one and he has also been good this season. He is 4-1 with a 3.27 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs either. He is coming off another good start in which he only gave up 1 earned run, but his team has lost 2 games in a row now with him starting and they are still trying to pull themselves out of a slump. The Dodgers do have one of the best offenses in the MLB, but this isn't the matchup to rely on their offense with Crochet starting, and the Red Sox have an offense that has been just as good this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game.
Dodgers Red Sox Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 26, 2025 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 3 Dodgers 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 24-14 (+6.1 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 83-45 (+13.2 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 47-24 (+11.2 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better. 25-11 OVER against AL East opponents.
Boston Red Sox: 15-21 (-10 units) on the moneyline against NL West opponents. 213-214 (-17.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 108-105 (-21.1 units) on the moneyline in home games. 7-3 OVER vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: B. Casparius (RP) Day To Day - Calf. T. Scott (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. M. Kopech (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. E. Hernandez (1B) Ten Day IL - Elbow. M. Muncy (3B) Ten Day IL - Knee. R. Sasaki (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. E. Phillips (RP) Sixty Day IL - forearm. B. Snell (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Treinen (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. K. Hurt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. M. Grove (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. R. Ryan (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Stone (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.
Boston Red Sox: M. Mayer (3B) Day To Day - Wrist. H. Dobbins (SP) Fifteen Day IL - ACL. N. Burdi (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. L. Hendriks (RP) Sixty Day IL - Hip. Z. Kelly (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. L. Guerrero (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. J. Slaten (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Winckowski (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Casas (1B) Sixty Day IL - Knee. K. Crawford (SP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. T. Houck (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Flexor. P. Sandoval (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
"I don't know that answer. I do know that if he has the same approach that he's had the last week, that Green Monster is very short. So any fly ball that he hits will be a homer. So he's just got to continue to have that same approach when we go to Boston, and then we'll see what happens." - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Wednesday.
“It was good. We’re going to fight, we’re going to play good, we’re going to struggle, but we have a good baseball team.” - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) SS
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Teoscar Hernández (R) RF
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Andy Pages (R) LF
Dalton Rushing (L) C
Hyeseong Kim (L) 2B
Tommy Edman (S) 3B
James Outman (L) CF
Boston Red Sox
Rob Refsnyder (R) LF
Jarren Duran (L) CF
Romy Gonzalez (R) 1B
Trevor Story (R) SS
Masataka Yoshida (L) DH
Ceddanne Rafaela (R) 2B
Wilyer Abreu (L) RF
Carlos Narváez (R) C
Marcelo Mayer (L) 3B
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Will Smith (.323)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (108)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (37)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (70)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (13)
Wins: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (8)
Saves: Tanner Scott (19)
ERA: Evan Phillips (0.00)
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average: Romy Gonzalez (.297)
Hits: Jarren Duran (105)
Home Runs: Wilyer Abreu (20)
RBI: Trevor Story (60)
Stolen Bases: Trevor Story (17)
Wins: Garrett Crochet (11)
Saves: Aroldis Chapman (17)
ERA: Nick Burdi (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (10th season)
Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
