by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, May 23, 2023
Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Wednesday, May 24, 2023
Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -120, Braves +100; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -120, Braves +100; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -120, Braves +100; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 30-19 (1st place, NL West)
Atlanta Braves: 29-18 (1st place, NL East)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 6-4 last 10
Atlanta Braves: 4-6 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 4-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-19 record overall and have a road record of 13-12. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .775 OPS. Rookie pitcher Bobby Miller is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Tony Gonsolin is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-1 with a 1.13 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 3 Ks on 1 hit through 5 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.
The Braves are entering this game off of a loss in their last game but won their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 29-18 record overall and have a home record of 12-11. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Wednesday with the 2nd game of the series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .796 OPS. Spencer Strider is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Bryce Elder is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 3-0 with a 2.06 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6 innings played against the Seattle Mariners.
Dodgers vs Braves Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams started the season off very strong as they both have 2 of the best records in the entire MLB, but the Braves got off to a much hotter start and are starting to cool down now while the Dodgers started much slower and have been getting really hot over the last few weeks. The Braves haven't been playing their best baseball lately while the Dodgers are rolling over teams and their offense is starting to pick up a lot more too. Gonsolin is starting in this game and he has been a solid starter for them this year while Elder is up for the Braves and he has been a bit shaky this season, also being really young and inexperienced in only his 2nd MLB season. The Dodgers will be able to take advantage of the way Elder has been slipping up lately while the Braves have been cooling off lately and now face a hot pitcher in Gonsolin here. The Braves are also a really strong team in the NL that the Dodgers have had to deal with for years now so the Dodgers will step up here to win this series and send a message to the Braves that the NL is still for the Dodgers to dominate. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game.
Dodgers Braves Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, May 24, 2023 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 5 Braves 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 22-8 (+11.2 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 57-20 (+21.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 16-8 OVER in road games. 13-6 OVER as a road favorite of -110 or higher.
Atlanta Braves: 35-31 (-11.7 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 9 to 9.5. 1-5 (-4.6 units) on the moneyline at home when the money line is +125 to -125. 28-18 OVER in all games. 16-7 OVER in home games.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: C. Kershaw (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. D. Hudson (RP) Early June - Knee. M. Grove (SP) Early June - Groin. J. Urias (SP) Early June - Hamstring. R. Pepiot (SP) Mid July - Oblique. D. May (SP) Late June - Elbow. J. Nelson (RP) Mid July - Elbow. W. Buehler (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Reyes (SP) Early June - Shoulder. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee. B. Treinen (RP) Early Sept - Shoulder.
Atlanta Braves: D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. E. Adrianza (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Wright (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. M. Fried (SP) Early July - Forearm. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. K. Allard (SP) Mid June - Oblique. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“I'm more proud Gavin was able to settle down after the first inning. That was a learning experience.” - Freddie Freeman on Gavin Lux after their win against the Braves in their game on Monday.
“It looks to me like it's what everybody is having to do. Nobody is immune to it. You see a lot of guys making their major league debuts.” - Brian Snitker on rookie pitchers after his team’s loss against the LA Dodgers in their game on Monday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) RF
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Will Smith (R) C
Max Muncy (L) 3B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
David Peralta (L) LF
Miguel Vargas (R) 2B
James Outman (L) CF
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Sean Murphy (R) C
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Eddie Rosario (L) LF
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Orlando Arcia (R) SS
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Freddie Freeman (.328)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (64)
Home Runs: Max Muncy (15)
RBI: Max Muncy (34)
Stolen Bases: Freddie Freeman (6)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (6)
Saves: Evan Phillips (7)
ERA: Tyler Cyr (0.00)
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average: Ronald Acuna (.342)
Hits: Ronald Acuna (63)
Home Runs: Matt Olson (13)
RBI: Sean Murphy (36)
Stolen Bases: Ronald Acuna (19)
Wins: Charlie Morton (5)
Saves: A.J. Minter (7)
ERA: Danny Young (1.08)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
