Los Angeles Clippers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/05/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Jan 04, 2023
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Thursday, January 5, 2023
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  TNT

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Clippers +4.5, Nuggets -4.5; Over/Under:  225 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Clippers +6, Nuggets -6; Over/Under:  224.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Clippers +4.5, Nuggets -4.5; Over/Under:  225 points
 

Season Record

Los Angeles Clippers:  21-18 (2nd place, Pacific Division)
Denver Nuggets:  24-13 (1st place, Northwest Division)
 
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Clippers:  5-5 last 10
Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10

 

Los Angeles Clippers vs Denver Nuggets Preview and Analysis

 
The Clippers are coming into this game with a 21-18 record overall and they are 10-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Boston Celtics, the Indiana Pacers, and the Miami Heat in their last game. Paul George led the team in points in that game with 25 while Marcus Morris Sr. was next on the team with 14 points. Paul George led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Marcus Morris Sr. and Ivica Zubac each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 43.3% from the field, 41.4% from 3-point range, and 88.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.4 PPG against them. The Clippers have an ATS record of 20-19 this season and their O/U record is 16-23.
 
 
 
The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 24-13 record overall and they are 14-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 24 while Michael Porter Jr. and Nah'Shon Hyland each were next on the team with 18 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Aaron Gordon led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 46.2% from the field, 37.9% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.5 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 18-19 this season and their O/U record is 19-18.

 

Clippers vs Nuggets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have been having a great season so far as they are in a battle for 1st place in the West with a few teams that have similar records, but right now the Nuggets are holding down that spot. They have been a very good team at home too with a 14-3 record there and they also have a big advantage with the altitude as a factor too. The Nuggets just lost their last game but they will be looking to bounce back with a win back at home here and they are getting the Clippers who happen to be struggling lately with 3 losses in a row now. The Clippers could also be without 2 of their key players as they have an illness running through their team right now and may not bring their best effort on the road here in the altitude which can be tough to play in. The Clippers have already been a mediocre team on the road this year with a 10-10 record in their road games, but a healthy Nuggets team at home is very dangerous and will be able to handle the banged up Clippers here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game.
 
Clippers Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, January 5, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 126 Clippers 113.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Los Angeles Clippers: 12-4 ATS after a non-conference game. 27-19 ATS after scoring 100 points or less. 13-7 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points.
Denver Nuggets: 7-12 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 18-35 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 62-34 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Los Angeles Clippers:  P. George (SF) Ques Thurs - Hamstring. K. Leonard (SF) Ques Thurs - Illness.
Denver Nuggets:  K. Caldwell-Pope (SG) Ques Thurs - Wrist. C. Gillespie (PG) Mid Jan - Leg. J. Green (SF) Late Jan - Hand.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
“We've just got to keep people off the offensive glass, and our costly open-court turnovers are giving teams easy baskets.” - Reggie Jackson after their loss against the Heat in their game on Monday.
 
 
“What I saw was just a team that was more urgent, was more desperate and wanted it more. Usually that team is going to win the game. Disappointing. Great win last night, but who cares. You just gave it right back tonight.” - Michael Malone after his team’s loss against the Timberwolves in their game on Monday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Los Angeles Clippers
PG Reggie Jackson
SG Paul George 
SF Kawhi Leonard
PF Marcus Morris Sr.
C Ivica Zubac
 
Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray 
SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Los Angeles Clippers
PPG: P. George (24.4)
APG: P. George (5.3)
Reb/G: I. Zubac (10.8)
 
Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (25.6)
APG: N. Jokic (9.5)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (10.8)
 
Coaches:
Los Angeles Clippers: Tyronn Lue (4th season)
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (8th season)
 


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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