by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jul 04, 2023
Game Time: 8:40 pm ET, Wednesday, July 5, 2023
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch: SDPA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Angels +145, Padres -170; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Angels +150, Padres -170; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Angels +145, Padres -170; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Angels: 45-42 (3rd place, AL West)
San Diego Padres: 39-46 (4th place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Angels: 4-6 last 10
San Diego Padres: 3-7 last 10
Los Angeles Angels vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis
The Angels are entering this series off of a win but lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-42 record overall and have a road record of 22-22. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Padres on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .776 OPS. Shohei Ohtani is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Patrick Sandoval is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-7 with a 4.57 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 7 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 8 Ks on 8 hits through 5 IP against the Chicago White Sox.
The Padres are entering this series off of a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-46 record overall and have a home record of 21-22. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the LA Angels on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .722 OPS. Joe Musgrove is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Seth Lugo is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 3-4 with a 3.59 ERA this season. His team lost their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 6 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.
Angels vs Padres Prediction
The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Padres have been having a terrible season with their losing record overall but they have the better pitching matchup in this game and need to try and go on a run now or they are going to be in serious trouble as a team. The Angels have been good this season but even they have been struggling in their games lately and the Padres can take advantage of the recent slump they have been in. The Padres haven't had a great offense but their pitching has been good for most of the season and they are going to need to lean on it here with Lugo on the mound. Lugo has been pitching well in his starts lately as he hasn't been giving up many runs and he will be able to shut down this Angels lineup at home. The Angels are going with Sandoval on the mound and he hasn't been great this season, coming off a start where he just gave up 7 runs. He has been giving up quite a few runs in his starts lately and as bad as the Padres offense has been, they will get a spark in this home game and capitalize on the scoring opportunities they get. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game and on the runline.
Angels Padres Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 5, 2023 (8:40 pm ET start time) is Padres 4 Angels 0.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Angels: 37-26 (+9.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 18-17 (+5.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 7-2 UNDER against NL West opponents. 16-7 UNDER in an inter-league game.
San Diego Padres: 39-46 (-22.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 19-22 (-14.2 units) on the moneyline in home games. 31-15 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. 11-6 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Angels: M. Trout (CF) Ques Tues - Hand. B. Drury (3B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. M. Moore (RP) Mid July - Oblique. Z. Neto (SS) Mid July - Oblique. G. Urshela (3B) out for season - Pelvis. J. Suarez (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Joyce (RP) Mid July - Hand. M. Stassi (C) Out indefinitely - Hip. A. Warren (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Quijada (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. O'Hoppe (C) Late Aug - Shoulder. C. Rodriguez (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
San Diego Padres: D. Carlton (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Knehr (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Wilson (SP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. R. Suarez (SP) Mid July - Arm. L. Campusano (C) Late July - Thumb. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. E. Rosario (3B) Mid July - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“Didn't get a big hit when we needed it. The game should have been a lot different.” - Phil Nevin after his team’s loss against the Padres in their game on Monday.
“From a guy that we didn’t know a ton about, even in spring training, to get in here, kind of sparingly using him, feeling him out a little bit, now he's an invaluable guy.” - Bob Melvin after his team’s win against the LA Angels in their game on Monday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Angels
Taylor Ward (R) LF
Mike Trout (R) CF
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Anthony Rendon (R) 3B
Hunter Renfroe (R) 1B
Eduardo Escobar (S) 2B
Luis Rengifo (S) RF
Chad Wallach (R) C
David Fletcher (R) SS
San Diego Padres
Ha-Seong Kim (R) 2B
Juan Soto (L) LF
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Jake Cronenworth (L) 1B
Gary Sanchez (R) C
Matt Carpenter (L) DH
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Angels
Batting Average: Jo Adell (.333)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (99)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (31)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (68)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (11)
Wins: Shohei Ohtani (7)
Saves: Carlos Estevez (21)
ERA: Matt Moore (1.44)
San Diego Padres
Batting Average: Alfonso Rivas (.286)
Hits: Juan Soto (81)
Home Runs: Fernando Tatis (16)
RBI: Juan Soto (46)
Stolen Bases: Fernando Tatis (14)
Wins: Michael Wacha (8)
Saves: Josh Hader (18)
ERA: Pedro Avila (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Angels: Phil Nevin (2nd season)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
