by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jul 03, 2023
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, July 4, 2023
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch: TBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Angels -105, Padres -115; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Angels -105, Padres -115; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Angels -105, Padres -115; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Angels: 45-41 (3rd place, AL West)
San Diego Padres: 38-46 (4th place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Angels: 4-6 last 10
San Diego Padres: 3-7 last 10
Los Angeles Angels vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis
The Angels are entering this series off of a win but lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-41 record overall and have a road record of 22-21. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .774 OPS. Jaime Barria is their starting pitcher on Monday while Shohei Ohtani is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-3 with a 3.02 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 10 Ks on 4 hits through 6.1 IP against the Chicago White Sox.
The Padres are entering this series off of a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-46 record overall and have a home record of 20-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the LA Angels on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .719 OPS. Blake Snell is their starting pitcher on Monday while Joe Musgrove is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-2 with a 3.80 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6 innings played against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Angels vs Padres Prediction
The current betting odds have the Angels listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Angels have been having a good season with their winning record and one of the best offenses in the league but they need to start going on big runs now to get themselves into a playoff position. The Angels will have some momentum coming into this series and they will be looking to take advantage of this opportunity with Ohtani on the mound. Ohtani has been having a great year on the mound and hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts lately. The Padres offense hasn't been good this season so Ohtani will be able to put up another good outing in this game since the Padres are under .500 right now and have been struggling in a lot of areas lately. Their offense has been bad but their pitching hasn't been good lately either and even though they have Musgrove starting here, the bullpen will find a way to blow this game late like they have been doing lately. The Padres have been slumping for a while now and this is a great opportunity for the Angels to take advantage and try to start a big run now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Angels to win this game.
Angels Padres Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 4, 2023 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Angels 8 Padres 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Angels: 37-26 (+9.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 23-19 (+4 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 16-6 UNDER in an inter-league game. 7-1 UNDER against NL West opponents.
San Diego Padres: 38-46 (-23.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 18-22 (-15.2 units) on the moneyline in home games. 13-7 UNDER in an inter-league game. 31-20 UNDER against right-handed starters.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Angels: B. Drury (3B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. M. Moore (RP) Mid July - Oblique. Z. Neto (SS) Mid July - Oblique. S. Ohtani (SP) Prob Tues - Finger. G. Urshela (3B) out for season - Pelvis. J. Suarez (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Joyce (RP) Mid July - Hand. M. Stassi (C) Out indefinitely - Hip. A. Warren (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Quijada (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. O'Hoppe (C) Late Aug - Shoulder. C. Rodriguez (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
San Diego Padres: Y. Darvish (SP) day-to-day - Illness. D. Carlton (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Knehr (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Wilson (SP) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. R. Suarez (SP) Mid July - Arm. L. Campusano (C) Late July - Thumb. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. E. Rosario (3B) Mid July - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“When he (Ohtani) gets into one, it's fun to watch. It was nice to jump out to a lead. It was nice to see Mike get into one. Mickey’s at-bat was tremendous. Seeing him get into a breaking ball there and a big home run.” - Phil Nevin after his team’s win against the D-Backs in their game on Sunday.
“We hit two home runs, and momentum is back in our dugout. They had one more big swing than us. Two swings, all their runs.” - Bob Melvin after his team’s loss against the Reds in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Angels
Mickey Moniak (L) RF
Mike Trout (R) CF
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Anthony Rendon (R) 3B
Mike Moustakas (L) 1B
Taylor Ward (R) LF
Matt Thaiss (L) C
Eduardo Escobar (S) 2B
David Fletcher (R) SS
San Diego Padres
Ha-Seong Kim (R) 2B
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Juan Soto (L) LF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Gary Sanchez (R) C
Jake Cronenworth (L) 1B
Nelson Cruz (R) DH
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Angels
Batting Average: Jo Adell (.333)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (99)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (31)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (68)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (11)
Wins: Shohei Ohtani (7)
Saves: Carlos Estevez (21)
ERA: Matt Moore (1.44)
San Diego Padres
Batting Average: Alfonso Rivas (.286)
Hits: Juan Soto (80)
Home Runs: Fernando Tatis (16)
RBI: Juan Soto (46)
Stolen Bases: Fernando Tatis (14)
Wins: Michael Wacha (8)
Saves: Josh Hader (18)
ERA: Pedro Avila (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Angels: Phil Nevin (2nd season)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
