Kentucky Wildcats vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/15/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 15, 2025

Venue:  Moody Center, Austin, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kentucky +1.5, Texas -1.5; Over/Under:  160.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kentucky +1.5, Texas -1.5; Over/Under:  160.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kentucky +1.5, Texas -1.5; Over/Under:  160.5 points

Kentucky Wildcats:  17-7 (6-5) (8th place, SEC)

Texas Longhorns:  15-10 (4-8) (13th place, SEC)

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Kentucky Wildcats:  3-2  last 5

Texas Longhorns:  1-4  last 5

Kentucky is entering this game with a 17-7 record overall, a 6-5 record in conference games, and they are 2-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Tennessee Volunteers in their last game. Ansley Almonor and Otega Oweh each led the team in points per game in that game with 13 while Koby Brea and Trent Noah each were next on the team with 11. Lamont Butler led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Otega Oweh led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 50% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 86.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 76 PPG against them. Kentucky has an ATS record of 12-12 this season and their O/U record is 13-11.

Texas is entering this game with a 15-10 record overall, a 4-8 conference record, and they are 10-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Alabama Crimson Tide in their last game. Tre Johnson led the team in points in that game with 24 while Jayson Kent was next on the team with 19. Tre Johnson led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Kadin Shedrick led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 42% from the field, 36.4% from 3-point range, and 73.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.9 PPG against them. Texas has an ATS record of 13-11-1 this season and their O/U record is 13-10-2.

The current betting odds have Kentucky listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kentucky has looked good in their games this season with their 17-7 record overall and their 6-5 conference record which has them right in the middle of the SEC. They haven't been a good road team so far with their 2-4 road record, but this is the point in the season where they need to start separating themselves from the pack. Meanwhile, Texas has looked good in their games this season with their 15-10 record overall, but their 4-8 conference record has them in the bottom half of the SEC. They have looked good on their home court this year with their 10-5 home record, but they have also lost a lot of important games there this season. They are coming off one of those losses in their last one, getting blown out at home by double digits against Alabama, and they have looked terrible lately as they are 1-4 in their last 5 games. Kentucky is coming off a win over Tennessee in their last one though and they are going to have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now. They have also looked better lately as they are 3-2 in their last 5 games, and these are the types of games they need to win on the road to show they still have the potential to be an elite team in the SEC and deserved to be ranked inside the top 25. They did lose their last road game to Ole Miss, but they also have some impressive road wins this season. Texas has entered into a big slump lately with a few blowout losses now so look for Kentucky to continue their streak with another win here. The best way to place a bet here is on Kentucky to cover the spread in this game. 

Kentucky Texas Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 15, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Kentucky 78 Texas 73.

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Kentucky Wildcats: 2-5 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3. 15-25 ATS off a home win. 5-10 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 8-4 OVER as a road underdog or pick. 13-7 OVER when the total is 160 to 169.5. 8-4 OVER off an upset win as an underdog.

Texas Longhorns: 6-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 17-6 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 6-3 ATS after allowing 85 points or more. 28-18 OVER in all home games. 7-2 OVER off a home loss. 30-19 OVER versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game.

Kentucky Wildcats:  L. Butler (G) Questionable - Shoulder. J. Robinson (G) Questionable - Wrist. K. Kriisa (G) Out - Foot.

Texas Longhorns:  D. Pryor (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Weaver (G) Questionable - Hip.

“There are so many variables. You get to know your team. You get to understand your team. And then you get to know your team in different environments, against different styles of play, against different opponents, against different matchups, all those things.” - Mark Pope on his team’s injuries coming into this game against Texas.

“I always say that from the start of the season, and as we work our way through the season, every game we play is an NCAA Tournament game in terms of building your resume. In this league, every night, you’re playing a quality opponent. That’s the No. 2 team in the country right now, and we’re going to get a team on Saturday that’s always been in the top 10 at some point during this season as well.” - Rodney Terry on playing in the SEC this season. 

L. Butler 

A. Carr 

O. Oweh 

J. Robinson 

A. Williams

T. Johnson 

A. Kaluma 

T. Mark 

J. Pope 

K. Shedrick

PPG: O. Oweh (15.9)

APG: L. Butler (4.6)

Reb/G: A. Williams (8.7)

PPG: T. Johnson (19.3)

APG: J. Larry (3.6)

Reb/G: A. Kaluma (7.9)

Coaches:

Kentucky Wildcats: Mark Pope (1st season)

Texas Longhorns: Rodney Terry (3rd season)