by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Thursday, Nov 11, 2021
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 13, 2021
Venue: DKR Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
Where to Watch: ESPNU
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Kansas +30.5, Texas -30.5; Over/Under: 62 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Kansas +30.5, Texas -30.5; Over/Under: 62 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Kansas +30.5, Texas -30.5; Over/Under: 61.5 points
Season Record
Kansas Jayhawks: 1-8 (10th place, Big 12)
Texas Longhorns: 4-5 (6th place, Big 12)
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Kansas Jayhawks vs Texas Longhorns Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Kansas Jayhawks: lost at home on Nov. 6 against the Kansas State Wildcats 35-10.
Texas Longhorns: lost on the road on Nov. 6 against the Iowa State Cyclones 30-7.
Kansas Jayhawks Analysis
Kansas is coming into this game with a 1-8 record overall and they are 0-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 7th conference matchup this season and they are currently 0-6 in their conference games this season. They won their first game of the season this year and have lost 8 games straight coming into this one off of another loss in their last game. Jalon Daniels played alright in their last game but was nothing special as he completed 13/19 passes for 105 yards and 1 touchdown while Jason Bean completed 5/9 passes for 64 yards. Devin Neal led the team in rushing with 62 yards on 19 carries. Kwamie Lassiter II led the receivers with 82 yards and 1 touchdown on 6 receptions while Trevor Wilson had 53 yards on 4 receptions. Rich Miller led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles. Malcolm Lee led the defense in sacks in that game with the only sack for them while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 136 points in their 9 games this season averaging 15.1 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 385 points against them allowing 42.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 309.1 YPG while their defense is allowing 482.9 YPG.
Texas Longhorns Analysis
Texas is coming into this game with a 4-5 record overall and they are 3-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 7th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 2-4 in their conference games this season. They are coming into this one on a 4 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Hudson Card did not play well in their last game as he completed 14/23 passes for 101 yards and 1 touchdown. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing with 90 yards on 18 carries. Robinson also led the receivers with 36 yards on 8 receptions while Xavier Worthy caught the only touchdown pass for them in that one. Brenden Schooler led the defense in that game with 12 solo tackles. Byron Murphy II recorded the only sack in that game for them while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 322 points in their 9 games this season averaging 35.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 268 points against them allowing 29.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 420.8 YPG while their defense is allowing 438.9 YPG.
Kansas vs Texas Prediction
Texas is coming into this game as a 30.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kansas has not played well in any games this season but they have been especially bad on the road this year. They have been blown out in quite a few games and against conference opponents as well. Texas is on a 4 game losing streak and will be using this game as a pick-me-up at home against an easy opponent. Texas has the offense to bury this Kansas team early so the best bet in this game is on Texas to cover the spread here.
Kansas Texas Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 13, 2021 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Texas 52 Kansas 7.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Kansas Jayhawks: 20-34 ATS as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points. 139-187 ATS in all games. 21-30 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 90-134 ATS as an underdog. 42-74 ATS as a road underdog. 54-90 ATS in road games. 100-139 ATS against conference opponents.
Texas Longhorns: 25-13 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points. 189-175 ATS in all games. 40-37 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 135-129 ATS as a favorite. 76-69 ATS as a home favorite. 88-82 ATS in home games. 127-116 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Kansas Jayhawks: W. Huggins (TE) out for season - Undisclosed injury. S. Roe (FB) out for season - Undisclosed injury. K. Logan Jr. (S) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Texas Longhorns: C. Thompson (QB) Quest Sat - Thumb injury. R. Johnson (RB) Ques Sat - Toe injury. B. Robinson (RB) Ques Sat - Neck injury.
Notable Quotes
"Jason was shaken up, tried to go back. Miles was hurt. I think those injuries and having them carted off the field took a little bit of wind out of us. I don't want to take away anything from Coach Klieman and his program, I think we just lost a little intensity." - Lance Leipold on his team’s loss against Kansas State in their last game.
"The plan is for Josh to go into the portal. That's his option and opportunity to do that; that's what college football provides, and we wish him the best of luck." - Steve Sarkisian on Joshua Moore entering the transfer portal.
Starting Lineups
Kansas Jayhawks
WR Grimm, Luke
WR Arnold, Lawrence
WR Lassiter II, Kwamie
TE Fairchild, Mason
QB Bean, Jason
RB Neal, Devin
Texas Longhorns
WR Worthy, Xavier
WR Dixon, Kelvontay
WR Washington, Marcus
TE Brewer, Cade
QB Thompson, Casey
RB Robinson, Bijan
Statistical Leaders
Kansas Jayhawks
Passing: J. Bean (1252)
Rushing: D. Neal (505)
Receiving: K. Lassiter II (439)
Touchdowns: D. Neal (4)
Texas Longhorns
Passing: C. Thompson (1556)
Rushing: B. Robinson (1057)
Receiving: X. Worthy (696)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (11)
Coaches:
Kansas Jayhawks: Lance Leipold (1st season)
Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (1st season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
