by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Wednesday, Nov 10, 2021
Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, November 14, 2021
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: NBC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Chiefs -2.5, Raiders +2.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Chiefs -2.5, Raiders +2.5; Over/Under: 52 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Chiefs -2.5, Raiders +2.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Season Record
Kansas City Chiefs: 5-4 (3rd place, AFC West)
Las Vegas Raiders: 5-3 (2nd place, AFC West)
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Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Kansas City Chiefs: won at home on Nov. 7 against the Green Bay Packers 13-7.
Las Vegas Raiders: lost on the road on Nov. 7 against the New York Giants 23-16.
Kansas City Chiefs Analysis
The Chiefs are coming into this game with a 5-4 record overall and they are 2-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. The Chiefs are coming into this divisional matchup with a 0-1 record in their division games this season after losing to the LA Chargers earlier this season. The Chiefs have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. Patrick Mahomes II played alright in their last game as he completed 20/37 passes for 166 yards and 1 touchdown. Darrel Williams led the team in rushing with 70 yards on 19 carries. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 68 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 receptions while Tyreek Hill had 37 yards on 4 receptions. Charvarius Ward led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones while Tyrann Mathieu was right behind with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Mathieu had the only sack in that game for the defense while L'Jarius Sneed came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 221 points in their 9 games this season averaging 24.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 227 points against them allowing 25.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 393.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 381.4 YPG.
Las Vegas Raiders Analysis
The Raiders are coming into this game with a 5-3 record overall and they are 3-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this divisional matchup with a 1-1 record in their division games this season after a loss to the Los Angeles Chargers and a win against the Denver Broncos. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which ended a 2 game winning streak that they were on. Derek Carr struggled in that game as he completed 30/46 passes for 296 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing with 76 yards on 13 carries. Darren Waller led the receivers with 92 yards on 7 receptions while Kenyan Drake had 70 yards on 6 receptions. Hunter Renfrow had 7 catches for 49 yards and the only TD for them in that game. Denzel Perryman led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Yannick Ngakoue led the defense in sacks in that game with 2 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 196 points in their 8 games this season averaging 24.5 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 189 points against them allowing 23.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 394.5 YPG while their defense is allowing 340.4 YPG.
Chiefs vs Raiders Prediction
The Chiefs are coming into this game as a 2.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have not been playing well this season but they are finding ways to win games recently. The Raiders have had a great start to their season so far with some bumps in the road but there has been a lot of distractions off the field for them recently and it is starting to build up for them. The Raiders are coming off of a loss to the Giants and it is only going to get worse as new problems keep popping up each week for them. The Chiefs may not be playing well but their ceiling is always high because of the talent they possess and they are still finding ways to win their games despite the struggles. The best bet to place in this game is on the Chiefs to cover the spread here.
Chiefs Raiders Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 14, 2021 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 27 Raiders 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Kansas City Chiefs: 251-236 ATS in all games. 144-138 ATS as a favorite. 51-44 ATS as a road favorite. 126-114 ATS in road games. 187-183 ATS against conference opponents. 108-87 ATS versus division opponents.
Las Vegas Raiders: 61-90 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 194-228 ATS in all games. 126-136 ATS as an underdog. 39-56 ATS as a home underdog. 89-118 ATS in home games. 147-169 ATS against conference opponents. 78-92 ATS versus division opponents.
Key Injuries
Kansas City Chiefs: K. Saunders (DT) Ques Sun - Knee injury. M. Remmers (OL) Ques Sun - Knee injury. D. Brown (TE) Ques Sun - Acquired injury.
Las Vegas Raiders: K. Nixon (CB) Ques Sun - Ankle injury. N. Kwiatkoski (LB) Ques Sun - Ankle injury. N. Bowers (TE) Out indefinitely - Neck injury.
Notable Quotes
"I thought our defense did a nice job. We didn't hold back. Guys played hard and aggressive, and you've seen things happen when teams are favored. You have to bear down every week the best way you can." - Andy Reid on his team’s win against the Packers in their last game.
"We moved the heck out of the ball. We had things that we wanted. We can't turn the ball over. I can't throw interceptions. The strip at the end, I didn't see the guy. I was throwing the ball to the end zone. We can't turn the ball over." - Derek Carr on their loss to the Giants in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Hill, Tyreek
WR Hardman, Mecole
TE KELCE, TRAVIS
QB Mahomes II, Patrick
RB Williams, Darrel
FB Burton, Mike
Las Vegas Raiders
WR Jones, Zay
WR Edwards, Bryan
WR Renfrow, Hunter
TE Waller, Darren
QB CARR, DEREK
RB Jacobs, Josh
FB Ingold, Alec
Statistical Leaders
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (2534)
Rushing: C. Edwards-Helaire (304)
Receiving: T. Hill (772)
Touchdowns: T. Hill (6)
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: D. Carr (2565)
Rushing: J. Jacobs (280)
Receiving: D. Waller (470)
Touchdowns: J. Jacobs (5)
Coaches:
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (9th season)
Las Vegas Raiders: Rich Bisaccia (1st season Interim)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
