Game Time: 6:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 5, 2022
Venue: Ferrell Center, Waco, TX
Where to Watch: ESPN2
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: ISU +12, Baylor -12; Over/Under: 132 points
Bet365: Point Spread: ISU +12.5, Baylor -12.5; Over/Under: 131.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: ISU +12.5, Baylor -12.5; Over/Under: 131.5 points
Season Record
Iowa State Cyclones: 20-10 (6th place, Big 12)
Baylor Bears: 25-5 (1st place, Big 12)
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Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears Preview and Analysis
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Iowa State Cyclones: 4-1 last 5
Baylor Bears: 4-1 last 5
Iowa State Cyclones Analysis
ISU is coming into this game with a 20-10 record overall and they are 4-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their last conference matchup of the year and they are currently 7-10 in their conference games this season. They have won 4 of their last 5 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 4 game winning streak that they were on. Their 4 wins in that span were against the TCU Horned Frogs, the Oklahoma Sooners, the West Virginia Mountaineers, and the Kansas State Wildcats while their win came against the Oklahoma State Cowboys in their last game. Izaiah Brockington led the team in points in that game with 13 while Tyrese Hunter was next on the team with 12 points. Hunter and Gabe Kalscheur both led the team in assists in that game with 3 each while Aljaz Kunc and Caleb Grill off the bench both led the team in rebounds with 7 each. They were 28.3% from the field, 11.8% from 3-point range, and 40% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 67.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 62.3 PPG against them. ISU has an ATS record of 16-14 this season and their O/U record is 14-16.
Baylor Bears Analysis
Baylor is coming into this game with a 25-5 record overall and they are 14-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the last conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 13-4 in their conference games this season. They have won 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one on a 4 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Texas Tech Red Raiders while their 4 wins since then have come against the TCU Horned Frogs, the Oklahoma State Cowboys, the Kansas Jayhawks, and the Texas Longhorns in their last game. James Akinjo and Adam Flagler both led the team in points in that game with 19 each while Kendall Brown was next on the team with 13 points. Akinjo led the team in assists in that game with 7 and he also led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 40.7% from the field, 40.9% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 63.2 PPG against them. Baylor has an ATS record of 16-13-1 this season and their O/U record is 15-14-1.
Iowa State vs Baylor Prediction
ISU is coming into this game playing very well recently as they have won 4 straight games but are coming off of a loss in their last game. That loss was at home against Oklahoma State and that was a very bad loss for them as they only scored 36 points in that game. They will be eager to have a much better performance in this game but they have also struggled on the road this season with a 4-5 record. They even have a losing record against conference opponents this season with a 7-10 record and they are going up against a Baylor side that is currently leading the Big 12 with a 13-4 record against conference opponents this season. They have been great at home as well as they are 14-2 and they are coming into this game winning 4 straight. ISU is no match for Baylor here, Baylor is one of the top teams in the country and the defending March Madness Champions. They will be ramping up now as the tournament is right around the corner and they also play great defense at home. ISU is a team that already does not score a lot and when met with this Baylor defense, they will likely not score a lot in this game. Baylor should close out their last home match here with a big win by double digits.
Iowa State Baylor Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 5, 2022 (6:00 pm ET start time) is Baylor 71 ISU 53.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Iowa State Cyclones: 12-19 ATS as a road underdog or pick. 12-19 ATS in road games. 162-112 OVER as an underdog.
Baylor Bears: 53-36 ATS in all games. 27-18 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5. 33-24 OVER after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite.
Key Injuries
Iowa State Cyclones: None.
Baylor Bears: L. Cryer (G) Mid March - Foot injury. J. Tchamwa Tchatchoua (F) out for season - Knee injury. L. Love (G) out for season - Knee injury.
Notable Quotes
"Certain shots didn't fall early." - T.J. Otzelberger on his team’s loss against Oklahoma State.
"They were the aggressor in the first game and in the first six minutes this time. But we matched their mentality and their strength and just beat them." - Jeremy Sochan after their win against Kansas.
Starting Lineups
Iowa State Cyclones
I. Brockington
G. Conditt IV
T. Enaruna
T. Hunter
Gabe Kalscheur
Baylor Bears
J. Akinjo
K. Brown
A. Flagler
M. Mayer
F. Thamba
Statistical Leaders
Iowa State Cyclones
PPG: I. Brockington (17.8)
APG: T. Hunter (4.7)
Reb/G: I. Brockington (7.3)
Baylor Bears
PPG: A. Flagler (13.9)
APG: J. Akinjo (5.8)
Reb/G: J. Tchamwa Tchatchoua (6.8)
Coaches:
Iowa State Cyclones: T.J. Otzelberger (1st season)
Baylor Bears: Scott Drew (19th season)