Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/25/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, April 25, 2025

Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI

Where to Watch:  ESPNU, NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers +4.5, Bucks -4.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers +4.5, Bucks -4.5; Over/Under:  230 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers +4.5, Bucks -4.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Indiana Pacers:  50-32 (2nd place, Central Division)

Milwaukee Bucks:  48-34 (3rd place, Central Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Jim Feist is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA on a 25-9 NBA RUN for +$15,070 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Indiana Pacers:  9-1 last 10

Milwaukee Bucks:  8-2 last 10

The Pacers are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 20-20 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Milwaukee Bucks twice in a row. Pascal Siakam led the team in points in that game with 24 while Tyrese Haliburton was next on the team with 21 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Pascal Siakam led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 48.9% from the field, 44.4% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.1 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 38-43-3 this season and their O/U record is 44-38-2.

The Bucks are entering the playoffs with a 48-34 record overall this season and they were 27-14 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Indiana Pacers twice in a row. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 34 while Bobby Portis Jr. was next on the team with 28 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard each led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 18. They were 50.6% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 68.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 43-40-2 this season and their O/U record is 44-41.

The current betting odds have the Pacers listed as a 4.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 4th seeded Pacers and the 5th seeded Bucks from the Eastern Conference for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Pacers are leading this series 2-0 after winning game 2 at home. The Pacers took a 2-0 series lead with a 123-115 win over the Bucks in the 2nd game of this series, but they have looked great in both games so far. They crushed the Bucks in the 1st game, winning that game by double digits, but they had no answer for that crushing loss in game 2. The Bucks only lost game 2 by 8 points, but they were trailing by double digits for most of the night and only made a comeback very late in the last 5 minutes of the game, eventually making it a 4 point game just to let it slip away again. Lillard was back for the Bucks and they looked better, but he still didn't have a huge impact on the game as the Bucks were never really in it. Now the Bucks are coming back home and they are going to be desperate to win this game, but they haven't shown any signs of being able to hang with this Pacers team. The Bucks did have the better record against the Pacers during the regular season and they also looked a lot better on their home court this year, but Giannis hasn't had any help in this series so far and that isn't going to change with the home advantage. Even if the Bucks manage to keep a lead in this game, the Pacers have the talent to keep themselves in the game and it definitely won't be a blowout if the Bucks get the win. Look for the Pacers to stay competitive in this game so take the points with the team that has looked a lot better in the first 2 games of this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pacers to cover the spread in this game. 

Pacers Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 25, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 123 Pacers 121.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Indiana Pacers Milwaukee Bucks prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

Indiana Pacers: 18-11 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 88-54 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 42-21 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. 81-54 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record. 22-12 OVER when playing with 2 days rest.

Milwaukee Bucks: 4-9 ATS in the first round of the playoffs. 24-36 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 15-26 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 31-18 OVER as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 35-21 OVER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5.

Indiana Pacers:  Q. Jackson (PG) Out For Season - Calf.

Milwaukee Bucks:  T. Smith (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. 

“He's been a steady presence for us all year, so glad that he's on our team. I think he could be the most underrated player in the NBA to be honest. I think what he does on a nightly basis is amazing. So consistent, so steady.” - Tyrese Haliburton on Pascal Siakam after their win against the Bucks in game 2 of this series on Tuesday.

“It's kind of hard to play from behind. We need to be more urgent. Both games, both halves they were really able to set the tone, get that feel. Need to play with more urgency at the start of the game, start of the half.” - Giannis Antetokounmpo after their loss against the Pacers in game 2 of this series on Tuesday.

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith

PF Pascal Siakam

C Myles Turner

PG Damian Lillard

SG Taurean Prince

SF Kyle Kuzma

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PPG: P. Siakam (20.2)

APG: T. Haliburton (9.2)

Reb/G: P. Siakam (6.9)

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.4)

APG: D. Lillard (7.1)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.9)

Coaches:

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (4th season)

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (2nd season)