Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/15/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 15, 2025

Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  FDSWI

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers +3.5, Bucks -3.5; Over/Under:  238.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers +3.5, Bucks -3.5; Over/Under:  238.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers +3.5, Bucks -3.5; Over/Under:  238.5 points

Indiana Pacers:  36-28 (3rd place, Central Division)

Milwaukee Bucks:  37-28 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Indiana Pacers:  5-5 last 10

Milwaukee Bucks:  6-4 last 10

The Pacers are entering this game with a 36-28 record overall this season and they are 15-18 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Milwaukee Bucks, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Philadelphia 76ers still to be played on Friday night. In their game against the Bucks, Pascal Siakam led the team in points in that game with 25 while Bennedict Mathurin was next on the team with 17 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Pascal Siakam led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 50.6% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 77.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.4 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 30-32-2 this season and their O/U record is 32-30-2.

The Bucks are entering this game with a 37-28 record overall this season and they are 22-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Los Angeles Lakers. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 24 while Brook Lopez was next on the team with 23 points. Damian Lillard led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 47.7% from the field, 42.5% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.4 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 31-33-2 this season and their O/U record is 33-33.

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked good in their games this season with their 37-28 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They have looked really good on their home court too with their 22-11 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Pacers have looked good in their games this season with their 36-28 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They haven't been a good road team though with their 15-18 road record this season. They are coming off a win over the Bucks in their last one, but they won that game by 1 point in a really tight game. They haven't looked that great lately as they are only 5-5 in their last 10 games, and they aren't in a good situation here since they are playing this game on a back-to-back, playing the 76ers on Friday. The Bucks are going to be rested for this game and they have been the slightly hotter team lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games. They are also coming off a feel good win over the Lakers in their last one so they are going to bring their best effort to get that tight loss back against the Pacers the other night. The Bucks will have a bit of momentum with that win over the Lakers and now they are going to have the home advantage here, catching the Pacers in a terrible situation. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Pacers Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, March 15, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 127 Pacers 120.

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Indiana Pacers: 82-50 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 16-9 1H ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders. 52-33 OVER as an underdog  of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 22-15 OVER when playing on back-to-back days.

Milwaukee Bucks: 5-14 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite. 28-18 OVER as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 14-6 OVER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite. 21-13 OVER in March games.

Indiana Pacers:  I. Jackson (C) Out For Season - Calf.

Milwaukee Bucks:  T. Smith (PF) Day To Day - Back.

“An amazing sequence of events. What a play and Reggie (Miller) was in the building. They’ll be talking about Tyrese’s shot for a lot of years.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the Bucks in their game on Tuesday.

"He's an elite player. He makes threes off the bounce; he's drawing fouls. I think that's what makes it even more difficult. You want to be physical you don't want to let him go where he want to go. Each bump and each reach, he's manipulating the game and kind of putting pressure on the referees to make those calls. He's taking that physicality away from the defense, drawing fouls, he's shooting threes. You gotta give him a lot of attention. I think without Bron out there that was to be expected. It was gonna be pretty much how he played in Dallas, and that was how he came out." - Damian Lillard on Luka Doncic after their win against the LA Lakers in their game on Thursday.

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith

PF Pascal Siakam

C Myles Turner

PG Damian Lillard

SG Taurean Prince

SF Kyle Kuzma

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PPG: P. Siakam (20.8)

APG: T. Haliburton (8.9)

Reb/G: P. Siakam (7.2)

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.5)

APG: D. Lillard (7.2)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (12.1)

Coaches:

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (4th season)

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (2nd season)