Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/11/2023

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 11, 2023

Venue:  Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

Where to Watch:  BSDET

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers -5.5, Pistons +5.5; Over/Under:  NL points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers -5.5, Pistons +5.5; Over/Under:  NL points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers -5.5, Pistons +5.5; Over/Under:  NL points

Indiana Pacers:  30-37 (4th place, Central Division)

Detroit Pistons:  15-52 (5th place, Central Division)

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Indiana Pacers:  5-5 last 10

Detroit Pistons:  0-10 last 10

The Pacers are coming into this game with a 30-37 record overall and they are 11-21 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Houston Rockets in their last game. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in points in that game with 29 while Myles Turner was next on the team with 21 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 19 while Aaron Nesmith led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 48% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 95.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 36-31 this season and their O/U record is 33-33-1.

The Pistons are coming into this game with a 15-52 record overall and they are 8-26 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 10 game losing streak with losses coming against the Toronto Raptors, the Boston Celtics, the Orlando Magic, the Raptors again, the Charlotte Hornets, the Chicago Bulls, the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Portland Trail Blazers, the Washington Wizards, and the Hornets again in their last game. Cory Joseph led the team in points in that game with 17 while James Wiseman and Jaden Ivey each were next on the team with 16 points. Jaden Ivey led the team in assists in that game with 6 while James Wiseman led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 44.9% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 111.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.9 PPG against them. The Pistons have an ATS record of 29-35-3 this season and their O/U record is 34-32-1.

The current betting odds have the Pacers listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pacers haven't been great this season with their losing 30-37 record overall but they have gone through some good stretches this season as they do have some talent on their team and they have been playing a lot better in their games lately. They haven't been great in their road games with an 11-21 road record but they just pulled off a huge win over the Rockets in their last game and will use that momentum in this game against another bad team. The Pistons have been terrible this season with their 15-52 record overall making them one of the worst teams in the East this season and the entire NBA too. They haven't even been good in their home games with their 8-26 home record and they have been in a huge slump lately with 10 losses in a row now. They are also battling a lot of injuries to a lot of their key starting players so they have been playing these games shorthanded too. The Pacers have a much better team than the Pistons and have not been struggling nearly as much lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pacers to cover the spread in this game. 

Pacers Pistons Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, March 11, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Pacers 114 Pistons 98.

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Indiana Pacers: 10-3 ATS after allowing 120 points or more 3 straight games. 13-7 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games. 29-19 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Detroit Pistons: 2-8 ATS vs. division opponents. 6-22 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 20-14 OVER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

Indiana Pacers:  B. Mathurin (SG) Doub Sat - Ankle. K. Brown (SG) out for season - Shin.

Detroit Pistons:  B. Bogdanovic (SF) Ques Sat - Achilles. A. Burks (SG) Ques Sat - Foot. I. Stewart (PF) Early April - Shoulder. H. Diallo (PG) out for season - Ankle. C. Cunningham (PG) out for season - Shin.

“He took over the game in overtime. He certainly has demonstrated that is what he's about. He loves those moments, very much the way (Hall of Famer) Reggie Miller loved those moments.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the Rockets in their game on Thursday.

“I thought our approach was disappointing tonight. I don't know if it is just all the games we've played in a short time, but I didn't feel like we came out with the kind of energy we needed.” - Dwane Casey after his team’s loss against the Hornets in their game on Thursday.

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard 

SF Buddy Hield

PF Aaron Nesmith

C Myles Turner

PG Killian Hayes 

SG Jaden Ivey

SF Isaiah Livers

PF Marvin Bagley III

C James Wiseman

PPG: T. Haliburton (20.8)

APG: T. Haliburton (10.4)

Reb/G: M. Turner (7.6)

PPG: B. Bogdanovic (21.6)

APG: C. Cunningham (6)

Reb/G: J. Duren (8.7)

Coaches:

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (2nd season)

Detroit Pistons: Dwane Casey (5th season)