Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/20/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jan 19, 2023
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, January 20, 2023
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  ALT2


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers +11, Nuggets -11; Over/Under:  240.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers +11, Nuggets -11; Over/Under:  240.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers +11, Nuggets -11; Over/Under:  240.5 points

Season Record

Indiana Pacers:  23-23 (3rd place, Central Division)
Denver Nuggets:  32-13 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
Indiana Pacers:  4-6 last 10
Denver Nuggets:  9-1 last 10


Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Preview and Analysis


The Pacers are coming into this game with a 23-23 record overall and they are 8-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game losing streak with losses coming against the New York Knicks, the Atlanta Hawks, the Memphis Grizzlies, the Milwaukee Bucks, and the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game. Andrew Nembhard led the team in points in that game with 18 while Bennedict Mathurin and Trevelin Queen each were next on the team with 13 points. Andrew Nembhard led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Trevelin Queen led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 41.5% from the field, 36.4% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.5 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 26-20 this season and their O/U record is 22-23-1.



The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 32-13 record overall and they are 21-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on an 8 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Clippers, the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Los Angeles Lakers, the Phoenix Suns, the LA Clippers again, the Orlando Magic, the Portland Trail Blazers, and the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 31 while Jamal Murray was next on the team with 28 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 52.9% from the field, 38.1% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.2 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 23-21-1 this season and their O/U record is 21-24.


Pacers vs Nuggets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Pacers listed as an 11 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pacers haven't been bad this year with a 23-23 record overall but they have fallen into a slump lately losing 5 games in a row. This slump started when they lost one of their best players Haliburton to an injury but now they have lost 5 games in a row and haven't really been good in road games already with an 8-14 road record. The Nuggets have been great lately with one of the best records in the NBA at 32-13 overall and an even better home record at 21-3. They have also been very hot lately winning 8 games in a row as they enter this one, but they are starting to slow down in their games lately and this is a huge number for them to cover against a team that is going to be very hungry for a win after losing 5 in a row. The Pacers are still a good team even without their best player and they will fight to keep this a close game even if they don't win it. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pacers to cover the spread in this game.

Pacers Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, January 20, 2023 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 124 Pacers 116.
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NBA Betting Trends


Indiana Pacers: 13-5 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points. 19-10 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230. 47-26 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 230.
Denver Nuggets: 15-24 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 6-12 ATS after 8 or more consecutive wins. 12-3 OVER off a home win against a division rival.

Key Injuries


Indiana Pacers:  K. Brown (SG) Late Jan - Leg. T. Haliburton (PG) Late Jan - Knee. D. Theis (PF) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Denver Nuggets:  C. Gillespie (PG) Late Jan - Leg. P. Watson (SG) Late Jan - Thigh. J. Green (SF) Late Jan - Hand.


Notable Quotes


“The beginning of the game was ugly. And most of the rest of it was ugly other than the fourth quarter.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s loss against the Thunder in their game on Wednesday.


“When you have a lot of assists, it just shows that you’re a good team player. That’s something I want to be. I want everybody to remember me as a guy who was a really good team player.” - Nikola Jokic on breaking the all-time assists record in the NBA in their win against the Timberwolves on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Indiana Pacers
PG T.J. McConnell
SG Andrew Nembhard 
SF Buddy Hield
PF Aaron Nesmith
C Myles Turner

Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray 
SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic

Statistical Leaders


Indiana Pacers
PPG: T. Haliburton (20.2)
APG: T. Haliburton (10.2)
Reb/G: M. Turner (7.8)

Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (25.1)
APG: N. Jokic (9.9)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (11)

Coaches:
Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (2nd season)
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (8th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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