Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/10/2023

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, February 10, 2023

Venue:  FTX Arena, Miami, FL 

Where to Watch:  BSSUN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Rockets +9.5, Heat -9.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Rockets +9.5, Heat -9.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Rockets +9.5, Heat -9.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Houston Rockets:  13-42 (5th place, Southwest Division)

Miami Heat:  30-25 (1st place, Southeast Division)

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Houston Rockets:  3-7 last 10

Miami Heat:  6-4 last 10

The Rockets are coming into this game with a 13-42 record overall and they are 5-22 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game losing streak with losses coming against the Toronto Raptors, the Oklahoma City Thunder, and the Sacramento Kings twice in their last 2 games. Jalen Green led the team in points in that game with 41 while Alperen Şengün was next on the team with 18 points. Alperen Şengün led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Bruno Fernando led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 54.7% from the field, 45.5% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.2 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 22-31-2 this season and their O/U record is 28-27.

The Heat are coming into this game with a 30-25 record overall and they are 18-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Indiana Pacers in their last game. Bam Adebayo led the team in points in that game with 38 while Jimmy Butler was next on the team with 25 points. Jimmy Butler led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Caleb Martin led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 46.8% from the field, 31.6% from 3-point range, and 92.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 108.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.4 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 20-32-3 this season and their O/U record is 25-30.

The current betting odds have the Heat listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Heat haven't been great this season but they have been playing a lot better over the last month as they are now 30-25 overall, struggling to get above .500 just over a month ago. They have been playing a lot better though and have been great at home with their 18-9 home record. They also beat the Pacers in their last game and will have some momentum entering this one as the Rockets are one of the worst teams in the NBA this season and have lost 5 games in a row now. The Rockets are only 13-42 overall this season and they have been terrible in their road games with a 5-22 road record. The Heat were the number 1 seed in the East last year and they are far from it right now so they need to start making a run in this 2nd half of the season and they have been a lot better lately anyway, winning a lot more games at home too. They will be able to pull away in this game and beat up on one of the worst teams in the West and the entire NBA. The best way to place a bet here is on the Heat to cover the spread in this game.

Rockets Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, February 10, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Heat 112 Rockets 97.

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Houston Rockets: 16-10 ATS off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog. 29-12 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 15-8 OVER after allowing 120 points or more 3 straight games.

Miami Heat: 11-25 ATS as a favorite. 8-20 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 13-4 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points.

Houston Rockets:  G. Mathews (SG) Ques Fri - Toe. K. Porter Jr. (SG) Out indefinitely - Foot.

Miami Heat:  K. Lowry (PG) Mid Feb - Knee. V. Oladipo (SG) Out indefinitely - Ankle. D. Robinson (SF) Mid Feb - Finger. N. Jovic (SF) Mid Feb - Back. O. Yurtseven (C) Mid Feb - Ankle.

“We played with much more conviction, physicality, ball pressure, all those things. We should have won that game.” - Stephen Silas after his team’s loss against the Kings in their game on Wednesday.

“He's found a great balance. If you've got the hot hand, you've got to keep feeding that individual. And a lot of nights, it's Bam. You've got to ride that wave sometimes." - Jimmy Butler on Bam Adebayo after their win against the Pacers in their game on Wednesday. 

PG Jae'Sean Tate

SG Jalen Green

SF Eric Gordon

PF Jabari Smith Jr. 

C Alperen Sengun

PG Gabe Vincent

SG Tyler Herro

SF Caleb Martin

PF Jimmy Butler 

C Bam Adebayo

PPG: J. Green (22)

APG: K. Porter Jr. (5.6)

Reb/G: A. Sengun (8.8)

PPG: J. Butler (22)

APG: K. Lowry (5.3)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10)

Coaches:

Houston Rockets: Stephen Silas (3rd season)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (15th season)