by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Friday, Nov 12, 2021
Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 13, 2021
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: TBD
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Hawaii -3.5, UNLV +3.5; Over/Under: 56 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Hawaii -3.5, UNLV +3.5; Over/Under: 56 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Hawaii -3, UNLV +3; Over/Under: 56.5 points
Season Record
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: 4-6 (5th place, MW West)
UNLV Rebels: 1-8 (6th place, MW West)
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Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs UNLV Rebels Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: lost at home on Nov. 6 against the San Diego State Aztecs 17-10.
UNLV Rebels: won on the road on Nov. 6 against the New Mexico Lobos 31-17.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Analysis
Hawaii is coming into this college football game with a 4-6 record overall and they are 1-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 6th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 1-4 in their conference games this season. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Quarterback Chevan Cordeiro did not play his best in their last game as he completed 19/34 passes for 175 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Dedrick Parson led the team in rushing with 51 yards on 11 carries. Parson also led the receivers with 38 yards on 5 receptions while Calvin Turner Jr. had 37 yards and 1 touchdown on 6 receptions. Khoury Bethley led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Darius Muasau and Isaiah Tufaga both recorded the only sacks in that game for them with 1 each while no one on the defense was able to come away with an interception in that one. They have scored 273 points in their 10 games this season averaging 27.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 322 points against them allowing 32.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 400 YPG while their defense is allowing 437.8 YPG.
UNLV Rebels Analysis
UNLV is coming into this game with a 1-8 record overall and they are 0-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 6th conference matchup on their MWC schedule this year and they are currently 1-4 in their conference games this season. They were on an 8 game losing streak before winning their first game of the season in their last game. Quarterback Cameron Friel played alright in that game but still struggled at times as he completed 20/33 passes for 227 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Charles Williams led the team in rushing with 72 yards and 2 touchdowns on 22 carries. Kyle Williams had a nice day as he led the receivers with 137 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 receptions while Marcus Phillips Jr. caught the other touchdown pass in that one. Jacoby Windmon led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Brennon Scott led the defense in sacks in that game with 2 while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 188 points in their 9 games this season averaging 20.9 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 305 points against them allowing 33.9 PPG. Their offense is averaging 297.1 YPG while their defense is allowing 430.7 YPG.
Hawaii vs UNLV Prediction
Hawaii is coming into this game as a 3.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Hawaii has not been good on the road this season but they are getting a UNLV team that has been awful all season and has not won a game all year. UNLV just got their first win in their last game only 9 games into the season. Hawaii is a much better team and they have to be able to pull off a win against a team like this. The best bet to place in this game is on Hawaii to cover the spread here.
Hawaii UNLV Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 13, 2021 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Hawaii 27 UNLV 20.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: 135-115 O/U in all games. 54-47 O/U as a favorite. 82-72 O/U against conference opponents. 85-65 O/U after playing a conference game. 43-33 O/U in November games.
UNLV Rebels: 128-106 O/U in all games. 46-34 O/U when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 91-80 O/U as an underdog. 40-30 O/U as a home underdog. 67-48 O/U in home games. 85-69 O/U against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: D. Hunter (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
UNLV Rebels: J. Wilson (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. D. Brumfield (QB) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. T. Collins (WR) out for season - Undisclosed injury. G. Fauolo Sr. (TE) out for season - Knee injury.
Notable Quotes
“We have not played to our potential, no doubt about that. In my opinion, we’ve got to do a better job than that.” - Todd Graham on his team’s performance in their games this season.
“I told these guys, we’re going to celebrate after the game. Winning a football game is really hard. You’ve got to enjoy it and savor it. … You can’t just be relieved you didn’t lose, you have to celebrate the fact that you won the game and you found a way to get it done. You put in all this work and you’ve got to have that excitement and fun and emotion.” - Marcus Arroyo on his team winning their first game of the season in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
WR Nick Mardner
WR Jared Smart
RB/WR Turner Jr., Calvin
TE Phillips, Caleb
QB Cordeiro, Chevan
RB Dae Dae Hunter
UNLV Rebels
WR Steve Jenkins
WR Griffin, Zyell
WR Williams, Kyle
TE Fauolo Sr., Giovanni
QB Friel, Cameron
RB Williams, Charles
Statistical Leaders
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Passing: C. Cordeiro (1881)
Rushing: D. Hunter (558)
Receiving: C. Turner (661)
Touchdowns: C. Turner (7)
UNLV Rebels
Passing: C. Friel (1369)
Rushing: C. Williams (818)
Receiving: K. Williams (521)
Touchdowns: C. Williams (10)
Coaches:
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: Todd Graham (2nd season)
UNLV Rebels: Marcus Arroyo (2nd season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
