Edmonton Oilers vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/14/2025

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, May 13, 2025
Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Wednesday, May 14, 2025
Venue:  T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Oilers +110, Knights -130; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Oilers +110, Knights -130; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Oilers +105, Knights -125; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Season Record

Edmonton Oilers:  48-29-5 (3rd place, Pacific Division)
Vegas Golden Knights:  50-22-10 (1st place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Edmonton Oilers:  7-3-0 last 10
Vegas Golden Knights:  5-4-1 last 10



Edmonton Oilers vs Vegas Golden Knights Preview and Analysis


The Oilers are entering the playoffs with 101 points, a 48-29-5 record overall, and they were 23-16-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, winning that one at home 3-0. Adam Henrique led the team in goals scored with 2 while Evander Kane scored 1 goal for them in that one. Evander Kane, Evan Bouchard, Connor Brown, Zach Hyman, and Connor McDavid each led the team in assists with 1 while Connor McDavid led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 23 shots with 23 saves and a 1.000 save percentage. Their offense has scored 259 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 236 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


The Golden Knights are entering the playoffs with 110 points, a 50-22-10 record overall, and they were 29-9-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Edmonton Oilers in their last game, losing that one on the road 3-0. No one on the team scored a goal for them or recorded an assist in that one. Reilly Smith led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 32 shots with 29 saves and a .906 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 275 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 219 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.


Oilers vs Golden Knights Prediction

The current betting odds have the Golden Knights listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Golden Knights and the 3rd seeded Oilers from the Pacific Division for the 2nd round of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. The Oilers are leading this series 3-1 after winning game 4 at home. The Oilers took a 3-1 series lead with a 3-0 win over the Golden Knights in the 4th game of this series and this series is starting to look like it is over. The Golden Knights haven't been able to get anything done in this series and were even lucky to win game 3 the way they did, but now they are going back home facing elimination and they are going to be in a desperate situation here. The Golden Knights need an answer in this series badly so they are going to bring their best effort here to keep their season alive and they are going to throw everything they have at the Oilers in this one. The Oilers have looked great in this series so far and have won both road games too, but now they are going on the road with a 2 game lead in the series and the urgency won't be as high for them. Skinner is also coming off a great game which he got a shutout in, but that hasn't been a common theme for him in the playoffs so he is unlikely to string together 2 good games in a row, especially when he was terrible in his first 2 road games to start the playoffs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Golden Knights to win this game. 

Oilers Golden Knights Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, May 14, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Knights 4 Oilers 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Edmonton Oilers: 175-118 (-12.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 90-74 (-7.7 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 49-45 (-6.1 units) on the moneyline versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game. 19-12 UNDER on the road after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. 

Vegas Golden Knights: 170-115 (+17.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 75-41 (+25 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 85-63 (+18 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 25-14 UNDER after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game.

Key Injuries


Edmonton Oilers:  C. Pickard (G) Day To Day - Undisclosed. M. Ekholm (D) Out - Undisclosed. A. Regula (D) Out - Knee.

Vegas Golden Knights:  B. Saad (LW) Day To Day - Lower body.


Notable Quotes


“It felt great. All I can really say is thanks to the guys playing in front of me. They were amazing tonight and made my job easier. They were battling and blocked a lot of shots. The way we played defensively was superb. A lot of credit to the guys. You could just sense the energy. There was a lot going on, fighting and a lot of pushing around. A lot of momentum back and forth. In moments like that you’ve just got to focus your mind and do your job. I felt like all of us as a team really did that in those types of moments.” - Stuart Skinner after their win against the Golden Knights in game 4 of this series on Monday.


“They got an early lead and they’ve been here before. You’ve got to manage the game if you do that, and they did a good job of it. We had some looks but we were kind of one and done. Not a lot of second chances, second-effort plays for us. We need to do a better job getting through the neutral zone, breaking them down if we’re going to get some looks off the rush. At times, we got a few. Not enough. We put ourselves behind the eight ball again early in the game.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s loss against the Oilers in game 4 of this series on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Edmonton Oilers
LW Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
C Connor McDavid
RW Zach Hyman
LD Brett Kulak
RD Evan Bouchard
G Stuart Skinner

Vegas Golden Knights
LW Ivan Barbashev
C Jack Eichel
RW Mark Stone
LD Noah Hanifin
RD Alex Pietrangelo
G Adin Hill

Statistical Leaders


Edmonton Oilers
Points: L. Draisaitl (106)
Goals: L. Draisaitl (52)
Assists: C. McDavid (74)
GAA: C. Pickard (2.71)

Vegas Golden Knights
Points: J. Eichel (94)
Goals: P. Dorofeyev (35)
Assists: J. Eichel (66)
GAA: A. Schmid (1.26)

Coaches:
Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (2nd season)
Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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