Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/29/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, May 29, 2025

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 

Where to Watch:  ESPN, ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Oilers +110, Stars -130; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Oilers +105, Stars -125; Over/Under:  6 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Oilers +105, Stars -125; Over/Under:  6 goals

Edmonton Oilers:  48-29-5 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Stars:  50-26-6 (2nd place, Central Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Doc’s Sports is on a HOT STREAK in the NHL on a 16-10 NHL RUN for +$5,900 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Edmonton Oilers:  8-2-0 last 10

Dallas Stars:  5-5-0 last 10

The Oilers are entering the playoffs with 101 points, a 48-29-5 record overall, and they were 23-16-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Stars in their last game, winning that one at home 4-1. Leon Draisaitl, Corey Perry, Adam Henrique, and Kasperi Kapanen each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Connor McDavid and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins each led the team in assists with 2 while Adam Henrique led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 29 shots with 28 saves and a .966 save percentage. Their offense has scored 259 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 236 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The Stars are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 50-26-6 record overall, and they were 28-10-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Edmonton Oilers in their last game, losing that one on the road 4-1. Jason Robertson scored 1 goal for them in that one. Mikael Granlund and Thomas Harley each led the team in assists with 1 while Mason Marchment led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 31 shots with 29 saves and a .935 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Stars from the Central Division and the 3rd seeded Oilers from the Pacific Division for the Western Conference Finals of the NHL Stanley Cup playoffs. The Oilers are leading this series 3-1 after winning game 4 at home. The Oilers took a 3-1 series lead with a 4-1 win over the Stars in the 4th game of this series and the Stars didn't look good in both of those road games. They are coming off that 4-1 loss in their last game and even lost 6-1 in game 3. They haven't looked good in their road games lately, even going back to the last round against the Jets, but they have looked a lot better on home ice throughout the entire playoffs and they are going to bring their best effort here. The Stars are facing elimination at home so they are going to be in a desperate situation here and will throw everything they have at the Oilers in this one. The Oilers have been rolling over their opponents lately and have been a really tough team to stop in general, but they have definitely struggled more in their road games in these playoffs so the Stars can take advantage of that here. The Stars have a much better chance of beating the Oilers at home where their defense has looked a lot better so expect them to have some pride in this game on home ice and keep their season alive. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Oilers Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, May 29, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Stars 4 Oilers 3.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert hockey picks today. And if you enjoyed this Edmonton Oilers Dallas Stars prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NHL predictions and previews.

Edmonton Oilers: 21-13 (+12.3 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 44-18 (+13.5 units) on the moneyline after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. 146-91 (+11.9 units) on the moneyline against excellent power play teams- scoring on over 17.5% of their chances. 4-1 UNDER on the road in the conference finals. 23-12 UNDER on the road after a 3 game winning streak. 

Dallas Stars: 48-41 (-11.4 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -200 or less. 85-85 (-16.1 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 99-88 (-10.3 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 10-4 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive losses. 6-2 UNDER at home in the conference finals. 

Edmonton Oilers:  Z. Hyman (LW) Day To Day - Upper Body. C. Brown (RW) Day To Day - Undisclosed. M. Ekholm (D) Day To Day - Undisclosed. A. Regula (D) Out - Knee.

Dallas Stars:  N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.

“You guys ask us about our checking and defensive play all the time. Those guys can defend. They’re good at it and good when it matters most, in the third period holding the lead. There’s a lot of older guys with playoff experience, they know what it takes to win hockey games. We’re getting a lot of saves out of Stu, and when a goalie makes a lot of saves, you often forget about what happened for that scoring chance. There were some mistakes, and there will always be some mistakes, but when the goalie is playing at the top of his game, it alleviates your memory of those mistakes.” - Kris Knoblauch after his team’s win against the Stars in game 4 of this series on Tuesday.

“A little bit of the same story, just can’t get that lead. I loved our first period even though we had, I think, 15 missed shots. So, we’ve got to make it a little bit tougher and make sure we’re hitting nets in those situations. But really, to play a period like that and not get out even or up, you’re actually down a goal, is a tough spot. And the other story is obviously the penalty kill. We’ve got to get a kill tonight, that’s the difference in the game. First period, not capitalizing, and then not stopping their power play.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s loss against the Oilers in game 4 of this series on Tuesday.

LW Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

C Connor McDavid

RW Corey Perry

LD Brett Kulak

RD Evan Bouchard

G Stuart Skinner

LW Jason Robertson

C Roope Hintz

RW Mikko Rantanen

LD Miro Heiskanen

RD Esa Lindell

G Jake Oettinger

Points: L. Draisaitl (106)

Goals: L. Draisaitl (52)

Assists: C. McDavid (74)

GAA: C. Pickard (2.71)

Points: M. Rantanen (88)

Goals: J. Robertson (35)

Assists: M. Rantanen (56)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.59)

Coaches:

Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (2nd season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)