Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/23/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, May 23, 2025

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 

Where to Watch:  ESPN, ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Oilers +105, Stars -125; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Oilers +105, Stars -125; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Oilers +105, Stars -125; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Edmonton Oilers:  48-29-5 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Stars:  50-26-6 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Edmonton Oilers:  8-2-0 last 10

Dallas Stars:  7-3-0 last 10

The Oilers are entering the playoffs with 101 points, a 48-29-5 record overall, and they were 23-16-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Stars in their last game, losing that one on the road 6-3. Leon Draisaitl, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, and Evan Bouchard each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid each led the team in assists with 2 while Leon Draisaitl, Connor McDavid, and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 27 shots with 22 saves and a .815 save percentage. Their offense has scored 259 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 236 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The Stars are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 50-26-6 record overall, and they were 28-10-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Edmonton Oilers in their last game, winning that one at home 6-3. Tyler Seguin led the team in goals scored with 2 while Mikael Granlund, Miro Heiskanen, Matt Duchene, and Esa Lindell each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Tyler Seguin, Mikael Granlund, Miro Heiskanen, Roope Hintz, Mason Marchment, Mikko Rantanen, Jason Robertson, and Sam Steel each led the team in assists with 1 while Tyler Seguin led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 29 shots with 26 saves and a .896 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Stars from the Central Division and the 3rd seeded Oilers from the Pacific Division for the Western Conference Finals of the NHL Stanley Cup playoffs. The Stars are leading this series 1-0 after winning game 1 at home. The Stars took a 1-0 series lead with a 6-3 win over the Oilers in the 1st game of this series and it took some time for the Stars to get settled into that game. The Stars started the game really slow and were even trailing 3-1 going into the 3rd period, but they blew up in the 3rd period with 5 unanswered goals and went on to win 6-3. It took them some time to get into that game, but now they have the momentum on their side from the way they won that game and they have been rolling on home ice in the playoffs too. The Oilers have a really good offense that has been scoring a lot of goals in the playoffs, but lately they haven't been finding the net a lot and the Stars do have the offense to match them. The Stars also have the better goaltending in this series as Oettinger has looked great in their last few games while Skinner has been a big liability for the Oilers. Skinner was awful in their first 2 games of the playoffs before he got replaced, and he just followed up back-to-back shutouts with a game which he gave up 5 goals. Skinner has been rattled right from the start of this series and that is going to be key for the Stars in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Oilers Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Friday, May 23, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Stars 4 Oilers 3.

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Edmonton Oilers: 21-13 (+12.3 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 75-41 (+18.2 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 143-91 (+8.9 units) on the moneyline against excellent power play teams- scoring on over 17.5% of their chances. 12-5 OVER when trailing in a playoff series.

Dallas Stars: 48-40 (-10.3 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -200 or less. 16-20 (-16.3 units) on the moneyline off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more. 85-82 (-13 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 20-8 OVER after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game.

Edmonton Oilers:  C. Pickard (G) Out - Undisclosed. M. Ekholm (D) Out - Undisclosed. A. Regula (D) Out - Knee.

Dallas Stars:  N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.

“Going into the series, knew that special teams was going to be a big part of it. Tonight with them getting three [power-play goals] in the third period, obviously that changes some things. Even after they got the first one, you could just see our guys felt really good before and after we just took a step back. They get that one shot through that ends up being a goal, and that changes the momentum. They feel better about their game, they’re only chasing by one, and then it’s another penalty that we can’t kill.” - Kris Knoblauch after his team’s loss against the Stars in game 1 of this series on Wednesday.

“I didn’t feel we had played our best yet and it’s really tough to get to this point and if you are going to lose a game at this point in the year, you want to make sure the other team has to earn it. I didn’t feel through 40 minutes that we had made them earn the position they were in. So, guys responded. We got fortunate. We got some power-play goals. Happy for our power play. It took a lot of heat last year at this point of the year. It was the difference tonight for us, so it’s great.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s win against the Oilers in game 1 of this series on Wednesday.

LW Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

C Connor McDavid

RW Zach Hyman

LD Brett Kulak

RD Evan Bouchard

G Stuart Skinner

LW Mikael Granlund

C Roope Hintz

RW Mikko Rantanen

LD Thomas Harley

RD Miro Heiskanen

G Jake Oettinger

Points: L. Draisaitl (106)

Goals: L. Draisaitl (52)

Assists: C. McDavid (74)

GAA: C. Pickard (2.71)

Points: M. Rantanen (88)

Goals: J. Robertson (35)

Assists: M. Rantanen (56)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.59)

Coaches:

Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (2nd season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)