Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/21/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, May 21, 2025

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 

Where to Watch:  ESPN, ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Oilers +105, Stars -125; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Oilers +105, Stars -125; Over/Under:  6 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Oilers +105, Stars -125; Over/Under:  6 goals

Edmonton Oilers:  48-29-5 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Stars:  50-26-6 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Edmonton Oilers:  8-2-0 last 10

Dallas Stars:  6-4-0 last 10

The Oilers are entering the playoffs with 101 points, a 48-29-5 record overall, and they were 23-16-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, winning that one on the road 1-0 in overtime. Kasperi Kapanen scored 1 goal for them in that one. Leon Draisaitl and Darnell Nurse each led the team in assists with 1 while Kasperi Kapanen led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 24 shots with 24 saves and a 1.000 save percentage. Their offense has scored 259 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 236 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The Stars are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 50-26-6 record overall, and they were 28-10-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Winnipeg Jets in their last game, winning that one at home 2-1 in OT. Thomas Harley and Sam Steel each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Thomas Harley, Miro Heiskanen, Mason Marchment, and Tyler Seguin each led the team in assists with 1 while Thomas Harley, Mikael Granlund, and Mikko Rantanen each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 23 shots with 22 saves and a .957 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Stars from the Central Division and the 3rd seeded Oilers from the Pacific Division for the Western Conference Finals of the NHL Stanley Cup playoffs. The Oilers are coming off a 4-1 series win over the Golden Knights in the last round while the Stars are coming off a 4-2 series win over the Jets who did win the Presidents' Trophy this season for having the most points during the regular season. They were the number 1 seed in the NHL this year and the Stars made easy work of them. The Stars won all 3 of their home games in that series, but the Oilers are coming off a series in which they did win all 3 road games they played. The Oilers have been starting to roll in the playoffs too, now 8-2-0 in their last 10 games, but they have a longer layoff from the last series and that could translate to rust having a full week off. The Stars are going to get just enough rest between series to feel fresh but not out of their rhythm. The Oilers have looked a lot better on defense lately and Skinner just played 2 great games to get them through that series, but he hasn't been very consistent in these playoffs and has still lost 2 of the 3 road games he has played in. The Stars have also looked a lot better lately with their defense tightening up and at this point in the playoffs, the Stars have shown they are the more sound defensive team which will be big in this 1st game of the series. The Stars haven't lost a home game in the playoffs since losing their very first game of these playoffs and that isn't going to change here with the way they have been rolling on home ice. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Oilers Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, May 21, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Stars 4 Oilers 2.

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Edmonton Oilers: 21-12 (+13.3 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 75-40 (+19.2 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 42-17 (+12.5 units) on the moneyline after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. 22-9 OVER after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game. 

Dallas Stars: 47-40 (-11.3 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -200 or less. 32-39 (-26.1 units) on the moneyline after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. 84-82 (-14 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 29-16 OVER against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% of shots against or less.

Edmonton Oilers:  C. Pickard (G) Day To Day - Undisclosed. M. Ekholm (D) Out - Undisclosed. A. Regula (D) Out - Knee.

Dallas Stars:  N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.

“He came up big the last two nights. We needed them, especially as the game wore on in the third period. A lot more saves were needed. But not only making the saves but looking confident. If anyone needed to feel good about their game and have a little reward, he definitely deserved it.” - Kris Knoblauch after his team’s win against the Golden Knights in game 5 of this series on Wednesday. 

“I can’t imagine there’s a better-coached team in the League than what that coaching staff did with that group. I’m a little biased because we work in the West, but, won the Presidents’ Trophy. They give you nothing, they play hard, they play as a team, great leadership. But I think they should win the Jack Adams (Award, for NHL coach of the year) running away in my opinion with the job they did this year. So, hats off to those guys too.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s win against the Jets in game 6 of this series on Saturday.

LW Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

C Connor McDavid

RW Zach Hyman

LD Brett Kulak

RD Evan Bouchard

G Stuart Skinner

LW Mikael Granlund

C Roope Hintz

RW Mikko Rantanen

LD Thomas Harley

RD Miro Heiskanen

G Jake Oettinger

Points: L. Draisaitl (106)

Goals: L. Draisaitl (52)

Assists: C. McDavid (74)

GAA: C. Pickard (2.71)

Points: M. Rantanen (88)

Goals: J. Robertson (35)

Assists: M. Rantanen (56)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.59)

Coaches:

Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (2nd season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)