by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Wednesday, Nov 10, 2021
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 13, 2021
Venue: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, TN
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: ECU +4.5, Memphis -4.5; Over/Under: 59 points
Bet365: Point Spread: ECU +5.5, Memphis -5.5; Over/Under: 59 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: ECU +6, Memphis -6; Over/Under: 59 points
Season Record
East Carolina Pirates: 5-4 (5th place, AAC)
Memphis Tigers: 5-4 (7th place, AAC)
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East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
East Carolina Pirates: won at home on Nov. 6 against the Temple Owls 45-3.
Memphis Tigers: won at home on Nov. 6 against the SMU Mustangs 28-25.
East Carolina Pirates Analysis
ECU is coming into this college football game with a 5-4 record overall and they are 1-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 6th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 3-2 in their conference games this season. They are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Holton Ahlers played well in that game as he completed 16/24 passes for 197 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception. Keaton Mitchell had a very nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 146 yards and 2 touchdowns on 18 carries. Ahlers also ran in 1 TD himself in that one. Ryan Jones also had a nice day as he led the receivers with 102 yards and 2 touchdowns on 6 receptions. Shane Calhoun caught the other TD pass in that one. Myles Berry led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Elijah Morris recorded the only sack for them in that game while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 275 points in their 9 games this season averaging 30.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 216 points against them allowing 24 PPG. Their offense is averaging 427.2 YPG while their defense is allowing 395.6 YPG.
Memphis Tigers Analysis
Memphis is coming into this game with a 5-4 record overall and they are 4-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 6th conference matchup on their football schedule this year and they are currently 2-3 in their conference games this season. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Seth Henigan played well in that game as he completed 34/53 passes for 392 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Rodrigues Clark also completed 1/1 pass for 40 yards and 1 touchdown in that one. Marquavius Weaver led the team in rushing with 17 yards on 10 carries while Asa Martin ran in the only TD on the ground for them. They did not really have much of a run game in that one. Calvin Austin III led the receivers with 88 yards on 8 receptions. Javon Ivory, Sean Dykes, and Eddie Lewis all caught touchdown passes in that game with 1 each. Quindell Johnson led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles. JJ Russell, Rodney Owens, Maurice White, Morris Joseph Jr., and Jaylon Allen all led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 each while Rodney Owens came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 286 points in their 9 games this season averaging 31.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 262 points against them allowing 29.1 PPG. Their offense is averaging 463.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 400.7 YPG.
East Carolina vs Memphis Prediction
ECU is coming into this game as a 4.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. ECU is coming off of a massive win where they only allowed 3 points while scoring 45 in that game. They are getting a Memphis side that is coming off of a big win against SMU which handed them their 2nd loss of the season and put a big dent in their title hopes. This is going to be a let down game for Memphis and ECU has been playing very well this season. The best bet to place in this game is on ECU to cover the spread here and another good play is on ECU to win this game straight up on the moneyline.
East Carolina Memphis Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 13, 2021 (12:00 pm ET start time) is ECU 31 Memphis 27.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
East Carolina Pirates: 123-119 O/U in all games. 31-29 O/U when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 75-66 O/U as an underdog. 40-36 O/U as a road underdog. 77-74 O/U after playing a conference game.
Memphis Tigers: 22-39 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 159-173 ATS in all games. 72-80 ATS as a favorite. 45-56 ATS as a home favorite. 82-87 ATS in home games. 100-115 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
East Carolina Pirates: J. Powell (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. D. Ford (S) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. B. Malovic (OL) out for season - Lower Body injury.
Memphis Tigers: B. Thomas (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. J. Cartwright (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. K. Watkins (RB) out for season - Undisclosed injury.
Notable Quotes
“This is the first win at home over Temple since I think 96. Some of the older kids talked about how badly Temple beat them their freshman and sophomore years. Just embarrassing performances. To see our group of older kids go out there and play that way against that program, at home. Just a really impressive performance by those kids.” - Mike Houston on their win against Temple in their last game.
“We know we have a tough opponent in East Carolina coming here. I think everybody knows the game for us versus Temple was a tough one. They beat the brakes off Temple, 45-3. We understand East Carolina also has gotten a takeaway in 17 straight games, at least one takeaway, and they also have their prolific quarterback who’s second all-time in history at East Carolina in passing. We’ve got a tough challenge ahead. I understand what we have to get done. Our players do, too.” - Ryan Silverfield on ECU ahead of this game.
Starting Lineups
East Carolina Pirates
WR Omotosho, Audie
WR Johnson, C.J
WR Tyler Snead
TE Calhoun, Shane
QB Ahlers, Holton
RB Mitchell, Keaton
Memphis Tigers
WR Austin III, Calvin
WR Rogers, Gabriel
WR Ivory, Javon
TE Sean Dykes
QB Henigan, Seth
RB Brandon Thomas
TB Fleming, Cameron
Statistical Leaders
East Carolina Pirates
Passing: H. Ahlers (2179)
Rushing: K. Mitchell (902)
Receiving: T. Snead (519)
Touchdowns: K. Mitchell (7)
Memphis Tigers
Passing: S. Henigan (2545)
Rushing: B. Thomas (661)
Receiving: C. Austin III (989)
Touchdowns: C. Austin III (8)
Coaches:
East Carolina Pirates: Mike Houston (3rd season)
Memphis Tigers: Ryan Silverfield (2nd season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
