Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/02/2025

Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, August 2, 2025

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  FDSD, NBCS-P

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers -108, Phillies -112; Over/Under:  7 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers -110, Phillies -110; Over/Under:  7 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers -110, Phillies -110; Over/Under:  7 runs

Detroit Tigers:  64-46 (1st place, AL Central)

Philadelphia Phillies:  61-47 (2nd place, NL East)

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Detroit Tigers:  4-6 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

The Tigers are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 64-46 record overall and have a road record of 28-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. Jack Flaherty is their starting pitcher on Friday while Tarik Skubal is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 10-3 with a 2.09 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 7 SO on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-47 record overall and have a home record of 33-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Tigers on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .739 OPS. Ranger Suárez is their starting pitcher on Friday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 9-4 with a 2.56 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 walks with 8 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5.2 innings pitched against the New York Yankees.

The current betting odds have the Tigers listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked really good in their games this season with their 61-47 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 33-19 home record. Meanwhile, the Tigers have looked great in their games this season with their 64-46 record overall which has them right at the top of the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have been a good road team too with their 28-25 road record this season. Both of these teams are going to have solid starters on the mound here and neither team has really been hot lately, but the Tigers do have the slightly better starter here and that gives them the edge. The Tigers are going with Skubal in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 10-3 with a 2.09 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately. His team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he still gave up no runs in his last start and that has been a common theme for him all year. The Phillies are going with Wheeler in this one and he has also looked great this season. He is 9-4 with a 2.56 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs this year either. His team has started to struggle with him lately though, losing 2 games in a row now with him starting, and he is also coming off a bad start in which he gave up 4 earned runs. The Tigers don't have a big advantage here, but they still have more of an edge in this game with Skubal and the better bullpen. The best way to place a bet here is on the Tigers to win this game. 

Tigers Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, August 2, 2025 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Tigers 2 Phillies 1.

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Detroit Tigers: 13-22 (-6.9 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 15-29 (-10.1 units) on the moneyline vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better. 43-59 (-8.6 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%). 27-14 OVER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better.

Philadelphia Phillies: 144-81 (+22.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 206-125 (+13 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 78-67 (-9.1 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 6-2 OVER at home when the total is 7 or less.

Detroit Tigers:  P. Sewald (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. R. Olson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. P. Meadows (CF) Ten Day IL - Quad. S. Guenther (RP) Sixty Day IL - Hip. S. Gipson-Long (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Neck. J. Jobe (SP) Sixty Day IL - Flexor. J. Foley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. A. Cobb (SP) Sixty Day IL - Hip. T. Madden (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Urquidy (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Lange (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat.

Philadelphia Phillies:  M. Kepler (LF) Day To Day - Triceps. J. Ross (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. A. Bohm (3B) Ten Day IL - Ribcage. A. Nola (SP) Sixty Day IL - Ankle.

“It was seamless. We got on the same page pretty quickly. There were a few shakeoffs that I told him just to be comfortable about taking. That’s kind of how I learn guys, and what they want to do and when they want to go to it. I think we just kind of wanted to use everything and teeter-totter up and in, down and away, use his strengths, but also use other pitches to get them off his strengths. We’ve seen him before, so I’ve seen his starts and how we attack him.” - Jake Rogers on Chris Paddack after their win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Wednesday.

“It’s huge. He has faith in our ability, in this team, to win games. We’ve got a really good chance to win a World Series this year.” - Bryce Harper on the Phillies trading for Jhoan Duran.

Colt Keith (L) 3B

Gleyber Torres (R) 2B

Kerry Carpenter (L) LF

Riley Greene (L) DH

Spencer Torkelson (R) 1B

Wenceel Pérez (S) RF

Zach McKinstry (L) SS

Javier Báez (R) CF

Jake Rogers (R) C

Trea Turner (R) SS

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Brandon Marsh (L) LF

Otto Kemp (R) 3B

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Johan Rojas (R) CF

Rafael Marchán (S) C

Batting Average:  Brewer Hicklen (.667)

Hits:  Riley Greene (115)

Home Runs:  Riley Greene (26)

RBI:  Riley Greene (84)

Stolen Bases:  Zach McKinstry (16)

Wins:  Tarik Skubal (10)

Saves:  Will Vest (16)

ERA:  Dylan Smith (1.38)

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.289)

Hits:  Trea Turner (127)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (37)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (86)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (25)

Wins:  Zack Wheeler (9)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)

ERA:  Cristopher Sánchez (2.55)

Managers:

Detroit Tigers: A.J. Hinch (5th season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)