Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/01/2025

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jul 31, 2025
Game Time: 6:45 pm ET, Friday, August 1, 2025
Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch:  FDSD, NBCSP


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +124, Phillies -151; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +125, Phillies -150; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +125, Phillies -150; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Detroit Tigers:  64-46 (1st place, AL Central)
Philadelphia Phillies:  61-47 (2nd place, NL East)

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Recent Form
Detroit Tigers:  4-6 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10



Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis


The Tigers are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 64-46 record overall and have a road record of 28-25. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. Chris Paddack was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Jack Flaherty is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 6-10 with a 4.51 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 SO on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-47 record overall and have a home record of 33-19. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Tigers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .739 OPS. Taijuan Walker was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Ranger Suárez is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-4 with a 2.59 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 walk with 8 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5.2 innings pitched against the New York Yankees.


Tigers vs Phillies Prediction

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked really good in their games this season with their 61-47 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 33-19 home record. Meanwhile, the Tigers have looked great in their games this season with their 64-46 record overall which has them right at the top of the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have been a good road team too with their 28-25 road record this season. The Tigers haven't looked great lately though as they are 4-6 in their last 10 games and have fallen into a slump. They looked a lot better in their last series at home, but now they are on the road again against another good team and the Phillies do have the better pitching matchup here to take advantage of. The Tigers are going with Flaherty in this one and he has not looked great this year. He is 6-10 with a 4.51 ERA and has been giving up quite a few runs in his starts. He is coming off a good start in which he gave up no runs, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year and the team has still lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Phillies are going with Suarez in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 8-4 with a 2.59 ERA and has been one of their best starters this year. His team has also lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and that has been a common theme for him all year. The Phillies can take advantage of this better pitching matchup and they have also looked like a completely different team at home this year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Tigers Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 1, 2025 (6:45 pm ET start time) is Phillies 6 Tigers 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Detroit Tigers: 13-22 (-6.9 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 44-69 (-5.4 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +125 to +175. 43-59 (-8.6 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%). 27-14 OVER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better.

Philadelphia Phillies: 144-81 (+22.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 206-125 (+13 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 178-127 (+12.3 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 12-5 OVER after 6 consecutive games versus interleague opponents.

Key Injuries


Detroit Tigers:  R. Olson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. P. Meadows (CF) Ten Day IL - Quad. S. Guenther (RP) Sixty Day IL - Hip. S. Gipson-Long (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Neck. J. Jobe (SP) Sixty Day IL - Flexor. J. Foley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. A. Cobb (SP) Sixty Day IL - Hip. T. Madden (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Urquidy (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Lange (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat.

Philadelphia Phillies:  M. Kepler (LF) Day To Day - Triceps. J. Ross (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. A. Bohm (3B) Ten Day IL - Ribcage. A. Nola (SP) Sixty Day IL - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


“It was seamless. We got on the same page pretty quickly. There were a few shakeoffs that I told him just to be comfortable about taking. That’s kind of how I learn guys, and what they want to do and when they want to go to it. I think we just kind of wanted to use everything and teeter-totter up and in, down and away, use his strengths, but also use other pitches to get them off his strengths. We’ve seen him before, so I’ve seen his starts and how we attack him.” - Jake Rogers on Chris Paddack after their win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Wednesday.


“It’s huge. He has faith in our ability, in this team, to win games. We’ve got a really good chance to win a World Series this year.” - Bryce Harper on the Phillies trading for Jhoan Duran.


Starting Lineups


Detroit Tigers
Colt Keith (L) 3B
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Kerry Carpenter (L) LF
Riley Greene (L) DH
Spencer Torkelson (R) 1B
Wenceel Pérez (S) RF
Zach McKinstry (L) SS
Javier Báez (R) CF
Jake Rogers (R) C

Philadelphia Phillies
Trea Turner (R) SS
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
Bryce Harper (L) 1B
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Brandon Marsh (L) LF
Otto Kemp (R) 3B
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Johan Rojas (R) CF
Rafael Marchán (S) C

Statistical Leaders


Detroit Tigers
Batting Average:  Brewer Hicklen (.667)
Hits:  Riley Greene (115)
Home Runs:  Riley Greene (26)
RBI:  Riley Greene (84)
Stolen Bases:  Zach McKinstry (16)
Wins:  Tarik Skubal (10)
Saves:  Will Vest (16)
ERA:  Dylan Smith (1.38)

Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.289)
Hits:  Trea Turner (127)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (37)
RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (86)
Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (25)
Wins:  Zack Wheeler (9)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)
ERA:  Cristopher Sánchez (2.55)

Managers:
Detroit Tigers: A.J. Hinch (5th season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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