Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/09/2025

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Apr 08, 2025
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, April 9, 2025
Venue:  Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -1.5, Kings +1.5; Over/Under:  232.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -1.5, Kings +1.5; Over/Under:  232.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -1.5, Kings +1.5; Over/Under:  232.5 points

Season Record

Denver Nuggets:  47-32 (2nd place, Northwest Division)
Sacramento Kings:  39-40 (4th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Denver Nuggets:  3-7 last 10
Sacramento Kings:  4-6 last 10


Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Preview and Analysis


The Nuggets are entering this game with a 47-32 record overall this season and they are 22-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game losing streak with losses coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves, the San Antonio Spurs, the Golden State Warriors, and the Indiana Pacers. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 41 while Christian Braun was next on the team with 30 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 53.8% from the field, 25.8% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.1 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 35-43-1 this season and their O/U record is 47-32.



The Kings are entering this game with a 39-40 record overall this season and they are 19-19 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Charlotte Hornets, the Cleveland Cavaliers, and the Detroit Pistons. Zach LaVine led the team in points in that game with 43 while DeMar DeRozan was next on the team with 37 points. Domantas Sabonis led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 51.6% from the field, 40.7% from 3-point range, and 81.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.5 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 33-42-4 this season and their O/U record is 41-36-2.


Nuggets vs Kings Prediction

The current betting odds have the Kings listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Kings haven't looked good in their games this season with their 39-40 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West, but that record does have them in a play-in spot at the moment. They haven't looked great on their home court though with their 19-19 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 47-32 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They have been a good road team too with their 22-17 road record. The Nuggets haven't looked good lately though and they just fired their head coach to try and figure things out before the playoffs start. They have looked terrible lately as they are 3-7 in their last 10 games and they have lost 4 games in a row now too. The Kings haven't looked any better lately as they are 4-6 in their last 10 games and have struggled to stay above .500 all season, but they have some momentum on their side with 3 wins in a row now and they are still fighting to clinch their spot in the play-in tournament. A win for the Kings here would guarantee them a spot in the play-in game too so they are going to bring their best effort to lock that spot up and then focus on getting ready to try and make a playoff run. The best way to place a bet here is on the Kings to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Kings Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, April 9, 2025 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Kings 119 Nuggets 116.
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NBA Betting Trends


Denver Nuggets: 19-11 ATS off a home loss. 10-5 ATS on the road off an upset loss as a home favorite. 18-10 OVER after 2 or more consecutive losses. 19-10 1H OVER off an upset loss as a home favorite. 60-33 1H OVER when playing against a team with a losing record. 

Sacramento Kings: 19-26 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games. 16-25 ATS on the road versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game. 3-10 ATS on the road off an upset win as a road underdog. 17-8 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 30-16 OVER after playing 3 consecutive road games.

Key Injuries


Denver Nuggets:  J. Murray (PG) Day To Day - Hamstring. D. Holmes II (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.

Sacramento Kings:  M. Monk (SG) Day To Day - Calf. K. Murray (PF) Day To Day - Back. J. LaRavia (PF) Day To Day - Thumb.


Notable Quotes


“We have a problem. It’s not fixed the last two years—on and off. Hopefully we can do a much better job in our last four games.” - Nikola Jokic on the turnovers this season. 


"When he gets the heater going, it's a different type of heater. You just want him to touch the ball every time." - Doug Christie on Zach LaVine after his team’s win against the Pistons in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Denver Nuggets
PG Russell Westbrook
SG Christian Braun
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic

Sacramento Kings
PG Keon Ellis
SG Zach LaVine
SF DeMar DeRozan
PF Keegan Murray
C Domantas Sabonis

Statistical Leaders


Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokić (30)
APG: N. Jokić (10.2)
Reb/G: N. Jokić (12.8)

Sacramento Kings
PPG: Z. LaVine (23.3)
APG: D. Sabonis (6.1)
Reb/G: D. Sabonis (13.9)

Coaches:
Denver Nuggets: David Adelman (Interim)
Sacramento Kings: Doug Christie (Interim)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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