Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/28/2023

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 28, 2023

Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX 

Where to Watch:  ALT

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -10, Rockets +10; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -10, Rockets +10; Over/Under:  232 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -10, Rockets +10; Over/Under:  232.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  43-19 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Houston Rockets:  13-47 (5th place, Southwest Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10

Houston Rockets:  1-9 last 10

The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 43-19 record overall and they are 15-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Los Angeles Clippers in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 40 while Michael Porter Jr. was next on the team with 29 points. Jamal Murray led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 51% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 74.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.8 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 34-27-1 this season and their O/U record is 31-31.

The Rockets are coming into this game with a 13-47 record overall and they are 8-20 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 9 game losing streak with losses coming against the Toronto Raptors, the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Sacramento Kings twice in a row, the Miami Heat, the Philadelphia 76ers, the Thunder again, the Golden State Warriors, and the Portland Trail Blazers in their last game. Alperen Şengün and Jae'Sean Tate led the team in points in that game with 17 while Daishen Nix was next on the team with 16 points. Alperen Şengün led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Alperen Şengün and Tari Eason each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 45% from the field, 26.9% from 3-point range, and 68% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.3 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 23-35-2 this season and their O/U record is 29-30-1.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 10 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have been one of the best teams in the NBA all season with their 43-19 record overall and they are also one of the best teams in the West. They are only 15-15 in their road games this year and haven't been great since coming out of the All-Star break, but they just pulled off a big OT win in their last game and have been getting a lot healthier with every game they play. The Rockets have been the complete opposite this season as they are one of the worst teams in the NBA with their 13-47 record overall and being at home hasn't even helped them much as they are only 8-20 in their home games. They have also been in a huge slump over the last few weeks as they have 9 losses in a row now but this has been a consistent pattern for them all year with their long losing streaks. The Nuggets are a much better team and they are going to be fighting the rest of the season to keep their number 1 seed in the West so they will take advantage of every game against a bad team like this. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, February 28, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 137 Rockets 112.

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Denver Nuggets: 17-10 ATS after one or more consecutive overs. 12-5 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more. 9-4 UNDER against Southwest division opponents.

Houston Rockets: 83-125 ATS in all games. 38-64 ATS in home games. 100-65 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230.

Denver Nuggets:  Z. Nnaji (PF) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Gillespie (PG) Early March - Leg.

Houston Rockets:  J. Green (SG) Ques Tues - Groin. K. Porter Jr. (SG) Out indefinitely - Foot.

“If you’re looking for a super athlete to win MVP, he’s not your candidate. If you’re looking for a great player that impacts winning in every possible way, whose team is first place in the Western Conference, then he’s your man. Frankly, I don’t give a damn what people think. I know he’s the MVP and his teammates know that and all the fans here in Denver and back home in Serbia know that.” - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the Clippers in their game on Sunday.

“It's not like we didn't give effort, he made some really tough shots. But we need everyone to give effort on the defensive end.” - Stephen Silas after his team’s loss against the Trail Blazers in their game on Sunday.

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG TyTy Washington Jr.

SG Josh Christopher

SF Kenyon Martin Jr.

PF Jabari Smith Jr. 

C Alperen Sengun

PPG: N. Jokic (24.8)

APG: N. Jokic (10)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (11.7)

PPG: J. Green (21.8)

APG: K. Porter Jr. (5.6)

Reb/G: A. Sengun (8.8)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (8th season)

Houston Rockets: Stephen Silas (3rd season)