Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/15/2025

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Thursday, May 15, 2025

Venue:  Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, MB 

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars -105, Jets -115; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars -105, Jets -115; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars -105, Jets -115; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Dallas Stars:  50-26-6 (2nd place, Central Division)

Winnipeg Jets:  56-22-4 (1st place, Central Division)

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Dallas Stars:  7-3-0 last 10

Winnipeg Jets:  4-6-0 last 10

The Stars are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 50-26-6 record overall, and they were 22-16-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Winnipeg Jets in their last game, winning that one at home 3-1. Mikael Granlund led the team in goals scored with 3 as he recorded the hattrick for them in that one. Matt Duchene, Thomas Harley, Miro Heiskanen, Mikko Rantanen, and Jason Robertson each led the team in assists with 1 while Wyatt Johnston led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 32 shots with 31 saves and a .969 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The Jets are entering the playoffs with 116 points, a 56-22-4 record overall, and they were 30-7-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Stars in their last game, losing that one on the road 3-1. Nikolaj Ehlers scored 1 goal for them in that one. Kyle Connor and Josh Morrissey each led the team in assists with 1 while Nikolaj Ehlers led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Connor Hellebuyck was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 24 shots with 21 saves and a .875 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 191 goals against them allowing 2.3 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Jets and the 2nd seeded Stars from the Central Division for the 2nd round of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. The Stars are leading this series 3-1 after winning game 4 at home. The Stars took a 3-1 series lead with a 3-1 win over the Jets in the 4th game of this series and they have really taken control of the series now. The Stars came out strong in this series as they stole the first game which flipped the home advantage and now they have won both home games to put the Jets on the brink of elimination. The Jets struggled to score goals in those 2 road games, but this has been a problem all series too as the Stars have done a very good job of shutting down the Jets offense. The Stars have all the momentum on their side coming into this one and even though the Jets have looked a lot better on home ice in these playoffs, Hellebuyck has still looked shaky in their home games so that is a big advantage for the Stars who have the hotter goaltender right now. The Jets can't fully trust Hellebuyck to keep them in this game and the Stars defense has done a really good job at making it difficult for the Jets to score goals. The Stars are the hotter team right now and they are going to carry that momentum into this series to close it out on the road. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Stars Jets Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, May 15, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Stars 3 Jets 2.

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Dallas Stars: 32-38 (-25.1 units) on the moneyline after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. 83-81 (-14 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 97-84 (-8.1 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 24-16 UNDER in a road game where the total is 5.5.

Winnipeg Jets: 48-22 (+16.4 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -200 or less. 38-29 (+13.1 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 92-64 (+24.7 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 25-15 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses.

Dallas Stars:  N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.

Winnipeg Jets:  None.

“Tonight was the first night we've actually had our full team together, and everyone is still not 100 percent, but a nice feeling to have. I hope we can keep everybody in a healthy place, we can keep this going for a little bit. I got goose bumps when the crowd cheered, when they announced [Heiskanen’s] name. That's a great shot of energy for our group tonight. It's always toughest to win two in a row. You knew [the Jets] were going to push. They pushed hard. I thought they played hard all night. We needed a little bit of a shot of energy, and we got it from Miro, we got it from Granlund, we got it from [Oettinger]." - Pete DeBoer after his team’s win against the Jets in game 4 of this series on Monday.

“I thought we played a good hockey game. We had 70 shot attempts and scored one goal. We're not going to, if we can't find more than one goal, we're not going to win hockey games, especially against this hockey team. I liked a lot of what we did 5-on-5, I liked a lot of the opportunities that we created. I loved our first period. We got off to a great start, had them hemmed in, had some great looks. Oettinger made some big stops. But like I said, we had 70 shot attempts. We've got to get more than that, more than one goal off of those. Maybe [we need to start] driving harder than that, finding those rebounds, screening, whatever it is. We've done it. We've done it in the past and we've got to find a way to do it in the next game." - Scott Arniel after his team’s loss against the Stars in game 4 of this series on Monday.

LW Mikael Granlund

C Roope Hintz

RW Mikko Rantanen

LD Thomas Harley

RD Miro Heiskanen

G Jake Oettinger

LW Kyle Connor

C Mark Scheifele

RW Alex Iafallo

LD Josh Morrissey

RD Dylan Demelo

G Connor Hellebuyck

Points: M. Rantanen (88)

Goals: J. Robertson (35)

Assists: M. Rantanen (56)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.59)

Points: K. Connor (97)

Goals: K. Connor (41)

Assists: K. Connor (56)

GAA: C. Hellebuyck (2.00)

Coaches:

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)

Winnipeg Jets: Scott Arniel (1st season)