Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/27/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, May 26, 2025
 
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, May 27, 2025
Venue:  Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
Where to Watch:  ESPN, ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars +140, Oilers -166; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars +140, Oilers -165; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars +140, Oilers -165; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Season Record

Dallas Stars:  50-26-6 (2nd place, Central Division)
Edmonton Oilers:  48-29-5 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Stars:  6-4-0 last 10
Edmonton Oilers:  8-2-0 last 10



Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Preview and Analysis


The Stars are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 50-26-6 record overall, and they were 22-16-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Edmonton Oilers in their last game, losing that one on the road 6-1. Jason Robertson scored 1 goal for them in that one. Lian Bichsel and Mikko Rantanen each led the team in assists with 1 while Jason Robertson and Colin Blackwell each led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 6 goals on 24 shots with 18 saves and a .750 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.


The Oilers are entering the playoffs with 101 points, a 48-29-5 record overall, and they were 25-13-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Stars in their last game, winning that one at home 6-1. Zach Hyman and Connor McDavid each led the team in goals scored with 2 while Evan Bouchard and John Klingberg each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Evander Kane and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins each led the team in assists with 3 while Zach Hyman and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 34 shots with 33 saves and a .971 save percentage. Their offense has scored 259 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 236 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


Stars vs Oilers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Oilers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Stars from the Central Division and the 3rd seeded Oilers from the Pacific Division for the Western Conference Finals of the NHL Stanley Cup playoffs. The Oilers are leading this series 2-1 after winning game 3 at home. The Oilers took a 2-1 series lead with a 6-1 win over the Stars in the 3rd game of this series and the Stars have now played back-to-back games where they couldn't get anything done. They have only scored 1 goal in the last 2 games of this series and the Oilers have looked like the better team in all 3 games, even the game they lost 6-3. The Oilers have been rolling over teams going back to the first round against the LA Kings and they haven't slowed down in this round. Their offense has been very hot lately with the goals they have been scoring, but now their defense has also been playing great and that is going to make it very tough for the Stars to come back in this series. The Stars haven't looked good at all in the last 2 games and they have struggled a lot more in their road games in these playoffs too. The Oilers started this series with a bad loss after a great 2 periods of hockey got derailed in the 3rd, but they have bounced back nicely in the last 2 games and look like the same team that went to the Stanley Cup Finals just a year ago. The best way to place a bet here is on the Oilers to win this game. 

Stars Oilers Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, May 27, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Oilers 4 Stars 1.
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NHL Betting Trends


Dallas Stars: 40-20 (+12.1 units) on the moneyline off a road loss. 13-4 (+7.8 units) on the moneyline after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game. 38-24 (+7.9 units) on the moneyline revenging a road loss versus opponent. 11-6 OVER after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game.

Edmonton Oilers: 178-119 (-10.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 50-38 (-8.8 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -200 or less. 42-38 (-6.8 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 28-16 OVER after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game.

Key Injuries


Dallas Stars:  R. Hintz (C) Day To Day - Lower Leg. N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.

Edmonton Oilers:  C. Pickard (G) Out - Undisclosed. M. Ekholm (D) Day To Day - Undisclosed. A. Regula (D) Out - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“Tonight, we were without our No. 1 center, we were on the road here in a tough environment. I thought we played a really good hockey game for a good stretch of that game. So, there’s nothing to get emotional or upset about. I think you have to be realistic with your group. I liked our compete tonight, I liked a lot of parts of our game, and we’ve got to build on that and hopefully get Roope Hintz back and get back in this series.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s loss against the Oilers in game 3 of this series on Sunday.


“You have to win games different ways. You have to have dominant nights, you have to have nights where maybe your goalie is better than theirs. You have to have nights where your special teams gets it done. That wasn’t tonight, although I thought the kill was good. Five-on-five has been really good. It’s been our strength all playoffs long, which is maybe new for this group. We’ve relied on the power play for a long time, and for whatever reason it hasn’t been clicking. You have to find ways to win different games different ways, and we did again tonight.” - Connor McDavid after their win against the Stars in game 3 of this series on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Stars
LW Jason Robertson
C Mikael Granlund
RW Mikko Rantanen
LD Miro Heiskanen
RD Esa Lindell
G Jake Oettinger

Edmonton Oilers
LW Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
C Connor McDavid
RW Zach Hyman
LD Brett Kulak
RD Evan Bouchard
G Stuart Skinner

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Stars
Points: M. Rantanen (88)
Goals: J. Robertson (35)
Assists: M. Rantanen (56)
GAA: J. Oettinger (2.59)

Edmonton Oilers
Points: L. Draisaitl (106)
Goals: L. Draisaitl (52)
Assists: C. McDavid (74)
GAA: C. Pickard (2.71)

Coaches:
Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)
Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (2nd season)

 

Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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