Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/25/2025

 

Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Sunday, May 25, 2025

Venue:  Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB

Where to Watch:  ABC, ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars +130, Oilers -155; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars +130, Oilers -155; Over/Under:  6 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars +130, Oilers -155; Over/Under:  6 goals

Dallas Stars:  50-26-6 (2nd place, Central Division)

Edmonton Oilers:  48-29-5 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

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Dallas Stars:  6-4-0 last 10

Edmonton Oilers:  8-2-0 last 10

The Stars are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 50-26-6 record overall, and they were 22-16-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Edmonton Oilers in their last game, losing that one at home 3-0. No one on the team scored a goal for them or recorded an assist in that one. Mikael Granlund, Thomas Harley, Roope Hintz, and Wyatt Johnston each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 25 shots with 22 saves and a .880 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The Oilers are entering the playoffs with 101 points, a 48-29-5 record overall, and they were 25-13-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Stars in their last game, winning that one on the road 3-0. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Connor Brown, and Brett Kulak each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Evan Bouchard led the team in assists with 2 while Connor McDavid led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 25 shots with 25 saves and a 1.000 save percentage. Their offense has scored 259 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 236 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Oilers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Stars from the Central Division and the 3rd seeded Oilers from the Pacific Division for the Western Conference Finals of the NHL Stanley Cup playoffs. This series is all tied up 1-1 after the Oilers won game 2 on the road. The Oilers made it a 1-1 series with a 3-0 win over the Stars in the 2nd game of this series and they have now flipped the home advantage in this series in their favor. The Oilers have looked like the better teams in both games of this series, even though they lost the 1st game 6-3. They had a 3-1 lead going into the 3rd period of game 1 before giving up 5 goals in that 3rd period and losing 6-3, but they bounced back in game 2 and played a full 60 minutes the way they should have played in game 1. Now the Oilers have the momentum on their side going back home and the Stars definitely weren't as good in road games this season as they were in home games. The Stars have also struggled more in their road games in these playoffs, losing 2 of their 3 road games in the last series against the Jets, and their offense hasn't been nearly as good in those games either. Skinner has looked great for the Oilers too with 3 shutouts in their last 4 games. Skinner has had a few duds in the playoffs this year too, but he has looked a lot better lately with another bounce back performance in game 2, and he has also been a lot better in their home games. The Oilers have the momentum on their side right now and they can take advantage of this much weaker Stars offense in road games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Oilers to win this game. 

Stars Oilers Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Sunday, May 25, 2025 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Oilers 5 Stars 2.

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Dallas Stars: 85-83 (-14.1 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 99-86 (-8.3 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 90-88 (-21.6 units) on the moneyline against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game. 30-17 OVER against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% of shots against or less.

Edmonton Oilers: 42-18 (+11.5 units) on the moneyline after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. 29-13 (+8.2 units) on the moneyline after playing 3 consecutive road games. 144-91 (+9.9 units) on the moneyline against excellent power play teams- scoring on over 17.5% of their chances. 24-11 OVER at home when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 

Dallas Stars:  R. Hintz (C) Day To Day - Lower Leg. N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.

Edmonton Oilers:  C. Pickard (G) Out - Undisclosed. M. Ekholm (D) Out - Undisclosed. A. Regula (D) Out - Knee.

“I liked our game better tonight than I did Game 1 and we won Game 1. I thought we give up that power-play goal, first goal is important in this series. We take a penalty and they score on the first power play, so we’re playing from behind. Then it’s a pretty even game for a big chunk of the game. Their second goal, we block a shot and it bounces right on their stick and they stick it into the net. The third goal is a tip at the front of the net. We had some looks too where [Skinner] made some saves. Sure, when you get shut out, you can do a better job in front of their goalie. But I don’t think the score was as dramatically reflective of the game as [perceived], but that’s just my opinion." - Pete DeBoer after his team’s loss against the Oilers in game 2 of this series on Friday.

“Scoring goals, it’s all around the blue paint. You need bodies there. Very rarely are you going to beat a goalie from distance and if you do, someone usually has to be right in front of him. I think we did a pretty good job of that in Game 1 and tonight also. But to beat any good goaltender in the NHL, and this is a good goaltender, you need to have traffic around there and you need to pay a price to be around the net.” - Kris Knoblauch after his team’s win against the Stars in game 2 of this series on Friday.

LW Mikael Granlund

C Roope Hintz

RW Mikko Rantanen

LD Thomas Harley

RD Miro Heiskanen

G Jake Oettinger

LW Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

C Connor McDavid

RW Zach Hyman

LD Brett Kulak

RD Evan Bouchard

G Stuart Skinner

Points: M. Rantanen (88)

Goals: J. Robertson (35)

Assists: M. Rantanen (56)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.59)

Points: L. Draisaitl (106)

Goals: L. Draisaitl (52)

Assists: C. McDavid (74)

GAA: C. Pickard (2.71)

Coaches:

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)

Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (2nd season)