Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction Spread and Trends to Watch - 11/19/2021
Game Time: 10:00 PM ET, Friday, November 19th, 2021
Venue: Footprint Center, Phoenix, Arizona
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening NCAAF Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Spread:
BetMGM: Spread:
VegasInsider: Spread:
Only the opening line is available. Suns -8.5 … That is a big spread for an NBA game.
Season Record
Dallas Mavericks: 9-5, 4th place, Western Conference
Phoenix Suns: 11-3, 2nd place, Western Conference
The Mavericks started the season with a loss to the Atlanta Hawks way back in October. They played so out of sorts that a feeling of gloom and doom set in in Dallas. However they soon righted the ship behind the solid play of new Perennial MVP runner up Luka Doncic.. Who has finally been showing flashes of being able to play with Kristaps Porzingas. Also Kristaps is a pretty great player. They are in for a very tough stretch of games since Luka Doncic went down Tuesday night with ankle and knee sprains… he will miss an undetermined amount of time… you can bet that the Mavericks will lose a few games while he is gone.
The Phoenix Suns were thought Lucky to have gotten to their NBA Finals appearance last season. They were a young squad with unproven stars and had just added an aging, all-star Point Guard from the Oklahoma City Thunder… It seemed as if the Thunder didn’t want him at all. Chris Paul took over the lead of this team and they haven’t looked back since. A finals appearance last year, finishing the first two months of the season in 2nd place in the Western Conference.
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The Mavericks have gone 9-5 on the season, but 6-8 ATS. They have logged 4 Overs - 9 Unders - 1 Push. They have a 3-4 record on the road… and this will be the road game of the back to back with the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns are 11-3 on the season, but 8-6 ATS. They have notched 4 Overs and 10 Unders. They are a sparkling 6-2 at home.
Offensive Analysis
The Mavericks are tied for 7th in the league in offensive rating with a score of 106.9. They boast a 1.85 assist-to turnover ratio. Both will suffer with every game that Luke misses… Kristaps will get a boatload of stats in his absence. The Mavs rank 22nd in points with 104.5 per, 12th in rebounds with 45.9 per, 24th in blocks with 4.4 per.
The Suns are tied for 2nd in the league in offensive rating with a score of 108.3. They boast a better assist-to turnover ratio of 2.00. Chris Paul has that effect on teams. The assists pile up and the ball gets shared. The Suns rank 5th in the league in points with 110.6 per game, 10th in rebounds with 46 a game, and 2nd in ast/to ratio (which we already discussed).
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction
Our prediction for Friday, November 19th is… Phoenix 106 - Mavericks 99
The Suns beat the Mavs last game… that’s right, because of a quirk in the scheduling the Suns play the Mavs twice in 3 days. Because of a sprain to Luka’s knee… the Mavs will be missing Luka for both games. The result from game 1 will repeat in game two. Suns win.
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NBA Betting Trends
Dallas is 2-1 ATS versus Phoenix in Phoenix over the last 3 seasons.
2 of these 3 games have gone Under.
Phoenix is 6-2 ATS versus Dallas over the last 3 seasons.
Injury list
Dallas: SF Luka Doncic (Ankle) Out Indefinitely ** PF Maxi Kleber (oblique) Out
Starting Lineups
Dallas: PG Jalen Brunson, SG Tim Hardaway Jr., SF Dorian Finney-Smith, PF Kristaps Porzingas, C Dwight Powell
Phoenix: PG Chris Paul, SG Devin Booker, SF Mikal Bridges, PF Jae Crowder, C DeAndre Ayton
Statistical Leaders
Mavs:
Points: Luka Doncic 24.9
Rebounds: Luka Doncic 8.3
Assists: Luka Doncic 7.9
Steals: Dorian Finney-Smith 1.4
Blocks: Dwight Powell 0.9
Suns:
Points: Devin Booker 23
Rebounds: JaVale McGee 6.9
Assists: Chris Paul 10.5
Steals: Chris Paul 2.4
Blocks: JaVale McGee 1.1
Coaches
Mavericks: Jason Kidd. Coach Kidd took over the Mavs this season in hopes of inspiring Luka Doncic to new heights of performance and loyalty. He is a legitimate NBA Hall of Famer.
Suns: Monty Williams. Coach Williams started coaching this group in 2019. He has quality NBA coaching experience from previous stints with the New Orleans Pelicans (when they were called the Hornets) 2010-2015. His point guard during that time was a young Chris Paul. They have come full circle and are together again.