Cleveland Guardians vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/15/2023

Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, July 15, 2023

Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +155, Rangers -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +155, Rangers -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +155, Rangers -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Cleveland Guardians:  45-45 (1st place, AL Central)

Texas Rangers:  52-39 (1st place, AL West)

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Cleveland Guardians:  6-4 last 10

Texas Rangers:  3-7 last 10

The Guardians are entering this series off of a loss but won their 4-game series against the Kansas City Royals 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-45 record overall and have a road record of 21-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .689 OPS. Aaron Civale is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Gavin Williams is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 1-1 with a 4.01 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 8 hits through 5.2 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Rangers are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-39 record overall and have a home record of 27-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .801 OPS. Jon Gray is their starting pitcher on Friday while Andrew Heaney is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-6 with a 4.71 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 7 earned runs, 3 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 8 hits through 3 innings played against the Washington Nationals.

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a big underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians haven't been having a great season as they are just barely over .500 but they have taken over the lead of the AL Central and will be looking to hold that down now. The Rangers have been doing the opposite as they have been having a great season with one of the best offenses in the entire MLB and one of the best records in the AL West too, but they have actually been slipping in their games lately while the Guardians have been playing a lot better. The Guardians are going to have Williams starting here and he hasn't made many starts this season since he is in his rookie year still but he hasn't been giving up many runs in the few starts he has had. This Rangers offense hasn't been great in their games lately either so Williams will have an easier time trying to shut them down here. The Rangers also have Heaney starting in this game and he has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts all season. The Guardians may not have a great offense this year but they have been getting a lot better lately and they will be able to take advantage of the way Heaney has been pitching lately along with the Rangers bullpen too which has been terrible all season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game and on the runline.

Guardians Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 15, 2023 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Guardians 3 Rangers 1.

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Cleveland Guardians: 45-45 (-7.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 17-22 (-7.4 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 12-5 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175. 24-17 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Texas Rangers: 31-19 (+10.5 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 52-39 (+4.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 6-3 UNDER in July games. ANDREW HEANEY is 4-1 UNDER after getting rocked for 7 or more runs last outing.

Cleveland Guardians:  T. McKenzie (SP) Mid Sept - Elbow. C. Quantrill (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. P. Battenfield (RP) Late July - Shoulder.

Texas Rangers:  J. deGrom (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Odorizzi (SP) out for season - Shoulder. B. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“Honestly, it’s awesome to get my first win out of the way. Even though I just got here, being in first place, that’s where everyone wants to be. I feel like we’re going to keep doing well.” - Gavin Williams after their win against the Royals in their game on Saturday.

“You take where we're at at the break. Do we like how it's gone the last couple weeks? No, this is not how we want to finish. There's challenges during the course of a season and every club goes through them. ... I will say I think the break is coming at a good time. This has been a tough part of the schedule.” - Bruce Bochy after his team’s loss against the Nationals in their game on Sunday.

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Amed Rosario (R) SS

Jose Ramirez (S) DH

Josh Naylor (L) 1B

Andres Gimenez (L) 2B

Tyler Freeman (R) 3B

Will Brennan (L) RF

Myles Straw (R) CF

Cam Gallagher (R) C

Marcus Semien (R) 2B

Corey Seager (L) SS

Josh Jung (R) 3B

Adolis Garcia (R) DH

Nathaniel Lowe (L) 1B

Mitch Garver (R) C

Robbie Grossman (S) RF

Ezequiel Duran (R) LF

Leody Taveras (S) CF

Batting Average:  Tyler Freeman (.308)

Hits:  Jose Ramirez (97)

Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (14)

RBI:  Josh Naylor (64)

Stolen Bases:  Andres Gimenez (15)

Wins:  Shane Bieber (5)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (25)

ERA:  Konnor Pilkington (0.00)

Batting Average:  Corey Seager (.353)

Hits:  Marcus Semien (104)

Home Runs:  Adolis Garcia (23)

RBI:  Adolis Garcia (75)

Stolen Bases:  Travis Jankowski (11)

Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (10)

Saves:  Will Smith (15)

ERA:  Aroldis Chapman (0.00)

Managers:

Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (11th season)

Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (1st season)