Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/10/2025

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Apr 09, 2025
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Thursday, April 10, 2025
Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN 
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers +8.5, Pacers -8.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers +8.5, Pacers -8.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers +8.5, Pacers -8.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Season Record

Cleveland Cavaliers:  63-16 (1st place, Central Division)
Indiana Pacers:  48-31 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Cleveland Cavaliers:  7-3 last 10
Indiana Pacers:  8-2 last 10


Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Preview and Analysis


The Cavaliers are entering this game with a 63-16 record overall this season and they are 29-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Chicago Bulls. Darius Garland led the team in points in that game with 28 while Evan Mobley was next on the team with 21 points. Evan Mobley led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Evan Mobley led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 51% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 61.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.4 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 46-32-1 this season and their O/U record is 50-29.



The Pacers are entering this game with a 48-31 record overall this season and they are 28-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Sacramento Kings, the Charlotte Hornets, the Utah Jazz, the Denver Nuggets, and the Washington Wizards. Pascal Siakam led the team in points in that game with 24 while Tyrese Haliburton was next on the team with 22 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Myles Turner led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 37.9% from the field, 25.7% from 3-point range, and 78.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 35-41-3 this season and their O/U record is 41-36-2.


Cavaliers vs Pacers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Pacers listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pacers have looked good in their games this season with their 48-31 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 28-10 home record. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have looked great in their games this season with their 63-16 record overall which has them right at the top of the East with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also been a great road team with their 29-10 road record this season. They have looked great lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games and they are coming off a win over the Bulls in their last one, but that win clinched the number 1 seed in the East for them so they don't need to go hard in these last few games of the regular season and will likely use this opportunity to rest players as they prepare for a playoff run. The Pacers have also been hot lately and they are actually the hotter team coming into this one. The Pacers are 8-2 in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 5 wins in a row now. The Pacers have already clinched a playoff spot this season, but they are only 2 games behind the Knicks for 3rd place and could get a much easier first round matchup so look for them to bring their best effort as they try to climb another spot in the standings before the season ends. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pacers to cover the spread in this game. 

Cavaliers Pacers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, April 10, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Pacers 127 Cavaliers 113.
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NBA Betting Trends


Cleveland Cavaliers: 24-15 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 45-25 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 69-43 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 12-6 OVER off a home win against a division rival. 24-11 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%).

Indiana Pacers: 16-27 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 29-50 1H ATS off a home win. 22-9 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 30-23 OVER revenging a home loss vs opponent. 15-5 OVER in April games.

Key Injuries


Cleveland Cavaliers:  D. Mitchell (SG) Day To Day - Ankle.

Indiana Pacers:  B. Sheppard (SG) Day To Day - Toe. I. Jackson (C) Out For Season - Calf.


Notable Quotes


"You celebrate these moments. I think the guys are super happy in that locker room. We've had some ups and downs this past month, but I'm really proud of the guys. It's hard to win 63 games in this league, and it's hard to be the first seed. So, great accomplishment. We're hungry for more." - Kenny Atkinson after his team’s win against the Bulls in their game on Tuesday.


"I've got to give them credit. They've been a difficult team to play all year. The last game at Washington where we made every shot, I mean, that's an outlier." - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the Wizards in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Cleveland Cavaliers
PG Darius Garland
SG Donovan Mitchell
SF Max Strus
PF Evan Mobley
C Jarrett Allen

Indiana Pacers
PG Tyrese Haliburton
SG Andrew Nembhard
SF Aaron Nesmith
PF Pascal Siakam
C Myles Turner

Statistical Leaders


Cleveland Cavaliers
PPG: D. Mitchell (24)
APG: D. Garland (6.7)
Reb/G: J. Allen (9.8)

Indiana Pacers
PPG: P. Siakam (20.4)
APG: T. Haliburton (9.2)
Reb/G: P. Siakam (6.9)

Coaches:
Cleveland Cavaliers: Kenny Atkinson (1st season)
Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (4th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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