Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/08/2023

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 8, 2023

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +105, Brewers -125; Over/Under:  10 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +105, Brewers -125; Over/Under:  10 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Reds +105, Brewers -125; Over/Under:  10 runs

Cincinnati Reds:  49-39 (1st place, NL Central)

Milwaukee Brewers:  47-41 (2nd place, NL Central)

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Cincinnati Reds:  8-2 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  6-4 last 10

The Reds are entering this series on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 4-0 in their 4-game series against the Washington Nationals in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-39 record overall and have a road record of 26-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .757 OPS. Rookie pitcher Andrew Abbott is their starting pitcher on Friday while Luke Weaver is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-2 with a 6.72 ERA this season. His team won their last 7 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Washington Nationals.

The Brewers are entering this series off of a win and split their 4-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 47-41 record overall and have a home record of 24-20. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .683 OPS. Corbin Burnes is their starting pitcher on Friday while Colin Rea is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-4 with a 4.40 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6.2 innings played against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have been playing better lately as they are winning more games and staying right on the tail of the Reds for 1st place in the NL Central. The Reds have been rolling lately as they are now 10 games over .500 and their offense has been very strong putting up a ton of runs in their games, but their pitching has not been good as they have been giving up a ton of runs in their games too and the Brewers will take advantage of this better pitching matchup to get a win at home here and try to close the gap between them and the Reds. The Reds have Weaver starting in this game and he has been terrible in almost every start this season with the number of runs he has been giving up. The Brewers don't have the best offense this season but they have been getting a lot better lately and put up quite a few runs at home in their last series. They are going to get their scoring opportunities in this game and they will take advantage of them as this is a very important series for the lead of the division. The Brewers are going with Rea in this game and he has been a solid starter for them lately as he was good in his last start and hasn't been giving up a ton of runs in his starts lately. This is a game that the Brewers offense is going to get plenty of scoring opportunities in and their pitching staff should be able to hold the Reds at bay here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.

Reds Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 8, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 6 Reds 3.

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Cincinnati Reds: 49-39 (+20.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 26-18 (+15.4 units) on the moneyline in road games. 40-23 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher. 26-18 OVER in road games.

Milwaukee Brewers: 23-20 (-5.6 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 20-22 (-12.4 units) on the moneyline after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals. 21-12 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150. COLIN REA is 17-6 OVER in home games.

Cincinnati Reds:  H. Greene (SP) Early Aug - Hip. B. Lively (RP) Prob Sun - Pectoral. R. Sanmartin (SP) Mid July - Elbow. J. Dunn (SP) Mid Sept - Shoulder. C. Legumina (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. N. Lodolo (SP) Early Aug - Calf. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow. V. Gutierrez (SP) Mid July - Elbow. T. Antone (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

Milwaukee Brewers:  R. Tellez (1B) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Alexander (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. B. Sousa (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. B. Woodruff (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. T. Taylor (CF) Mid July - Elbow. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. J. Wilson (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

“It's one of the best plays I've ever seen, for that ball to be able to stick in his glove like that. He has great hands wherever he is on the field. With the game on the line, that's the game right there.” - David Bell after his team’s win against the Nationals in their game on Thursday.

“It was a huge swing. It was a crazy series. Both teams came back, scored late, often. A good one for the fans.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the Cubs in their game on Thursday.

Kevin Newman (R) 1B

Matt McLain (R) SS

Jonathan India (R) 2B

Elly De La Cruz (S) 3B

Spencer Steer (R) LF

Tyler Stephenson (R) DH

Nick Senzel (R) CF

Will Benson (L) RF

Luke Maile (R) C

Christian Yelich (L) LF

Willy Adames (R) SS

Jesse Winker (L) DH

Owen Miller (R) 1B

Raimel Tapia (L) RF

Brian Anderson (R) 3B

Victor Caratini (S) C

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Batting Average:  Elly De La Cruz (.325)

Hits:  Spencer Steer (90)

Home Runs:  Spencer Steer (14)

RBI:  Jake Fraley (51)

Stolen Bases:  Jake Fraley (16)

Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)

Saves:  Alexis Diaz (25)

ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (90)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (13)

RBI:  Christian Yelich (45)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (21)

Wins:  Corbin Burnes (6)

Saves:  Devin Williams (18)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Managers:

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)