by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 26, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, October 29, 2023
Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bengals +3.5, 49ers -3.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bengals +3.5, 49ers -3.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bengals +3.5, 49ers -3.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Season Record
Cincinnati Bengals: 3-3 (4th place, AFC North)
San Francisco 49ers: 5-2 (1st place, NFC West)
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Recent Form
Cincinnati Bengals: won their last game at home against the Seattle Seahawks 17-13.
San Francisco 49ers: lost their last game on the road against the Minnesota Vikings 22-17.
Cincinnati Bengals vs San Francisco 49ers Preview and Analysis
The Bengals are entering this game with a 3-3 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 17-13. Joe Burrow was the starting QB and he completed 24/35 passes for 185 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing yards with 38. Ja'Marr Chase led the receivers with 80 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Logan Wilson led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Sam Hubbard, Sam Hubbard, and Cameron Sample each led the defense in sacks with 1. Cam Taylor-Britt and Mike Hilton each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
The 49ers are entering this game with a 5-2 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 22-17. Brock Purdy was the starting QB and he completed 21/30 passes for 272 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Christian McCaffrey led the team in rushing yards with 45 and 1 TD. George Kittle led the receivers with 78 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Dre Greenlaw led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Charvarius Ward came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Bengals vs 49ers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bengals listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bengals are only 3-3 this season as they got off to a terrible start this year but they have looked a lot better in their games lately. They have to travel for this game against the 49ers who are 5-2 overall and have looked like one of the best teams in the NFL all season, but now the 49ers will be missing Purdy in this game so it will be their 1st time this season rolling out Sam Darnold to start. The Bengals are going to try and take advantage of the 49ers without their starting QB and the 49ers defense hasn't looked that great in their last 2 games either. Look for the Bengals to exploit the 49ers defense with their offense and their consistency at QB will be what gives them the edge here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bengals to cover the spread in this game.
Bengals 49ers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 29, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Bengals 20 49ers 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Cincinnati Bengals: 30-16 ATS in all games. 14-5 ATS as an underdog. 18-7 ATS in road games. 29-17 UNDER in all games. 16-3 UNDER as an underdog. 18-6 UNDER in road games. 18-8 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders.
San Francisco 49ers: 12-20 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less. 5-13 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses. 10-4 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 8-2 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite. 8-4 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses.
Key Injuries
Cincinnati Bengals: D. Harper (LB) Prob Sun - Hamstring. A. Davis-Gaither (LB) Ques Sun - Knee. O. Brown Jr. (OT) Ques Sun - Groin. C. Jones (WR) Out indefinitely - Thumb. D. Cochran (OT) I-R - Knee. D. Maxwell (DT) I-R - Knee.
San Francisco 49ers: B. Purdy (QB) Doub Sun - Concussion. T. Williams (OT) Ques Sun - Ankle. D. Samuel (WR) Mid Nov - Shoulder. S. Womack III (CB) Out indefinitely - Knee. R. Beal Jr. (DL) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Gray (WR) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Luter Jr. (CB) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Latu (TE) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“It’s better to win ugly than lose pretty. That’s the first thing that hit me when I walked off the field. At times it felt ugly, especially on offense, but again our defense stepped up and made some big plays for us that allowed us to get out of there.” - Zac Taylor after his team’s win against the Seahawks in their last game.
“We came in with the right mindset. We’ve just got to execute better.” - Brock Purdy after their loss against the Vikings in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Cincinnati Bengals
WR Chase, Ja'Marr
WR Higgins, Tee
WR Boyd, Tyler
TE Smith Jr., Irv
QB Burrow, Joe
RB Mixon, Joe
San Francisco 49ers
WR Aiyuk, Brandon
WR Samuel, Deebo
WR Jennings, Jauan
TE Kittle, George
QB Purdy, Brock
RB McCaffrey, Christian
FB JUSZCZYK, KYLE
Statistical Leaders
Cincinnati Bengals
Passing: J. Burrow (1230)
Rushing: J. Mixon (366)
Receiving: J. Chase (556)
Touchdowns: J. Chase (3)
San Francisco 49ers
Passing: B. Purdy (1668)
Rushing: C. McCaffrey (598)
Receiving: B. Aiyuk (511)
Touchdowns: C. McCaffrey (11)
Coaches:
Cincinnati Bengals: Zac Taylor (5th season)
San Francisco 49ers: Kyle Shanahan (7th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
