Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/07/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jul 06, 2023
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, July 7, 2023
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  YES


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Cubs +140, Yankees -165; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Cubs +140, Yankees -165; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Cubs +140, Yankees -165; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Chicago Cubs:  40-45 (3rd place, NL Central)
New York Yankees:  48-39 (3rd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Chicago Cubs:  3-7 last 10
New York Yankees:  6-4 last 10



Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Cubs entered their last series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1. They enter this game with a 40-45 record overall and have a road record of 19-23. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Milwaukee Brewers still to be played on Thursday. They also lost the series opener of that series on Monday but won the 2nd game and the 3rd game on Tuesday and Wednesday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .725 OPS. Marcus Stroman is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Jameson Taillon is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 2-6 with a 6.93 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Cleveland Guardians.

The Yankees entered their last series off of a loss and lost their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1. They enter this game with a 48-39 record overall and have a home record of 27-20. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Baltimore Orioles still to be played on Thursday. They also won the 1st game and the 2nd game of that series on Monday and Tuesday but lost the 3rd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .713 OPS. Luis Severino is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Carlos Rodón is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. He has missed the whole season with an injury so far so this will be his season debut for this MLB season.


Cubs vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have been playing a lot better in their games lately and they are trying to make a move now in the division and chase down the Rays who have been starting to slip lately. The Cubs have been a really up and down team this season and they do have 1 constant with Taillon on the mound here, but not in a good way. Taillon has been terrible in almost every start this season since he has been giving up a ton of runs. He is pitching against his old team here but the Yankees will get after him here at home with how bad he has been. The Yankees have Rodon on the mound here and he will be making his 1st start of the season after coming back from an injury but he was a very solid starter last year and will be looking to continue that this season. The Yankees have a chance to gain some momentum at home here going into the All-Star break and they will be looking to take advantage of the way this familiar face has been pitching for the Cubs this season. The Yankees offense will have a big night at home here while Rodon looks to pitch lights out in his return, along with some help from one of the best bullpens in the MLB. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.

Cubs Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 7, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Cubs 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Chicago Cubs: 40-45 (-5.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 10-15 (-5.2 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10. 13-6 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. 40-24 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175.

New York Yankees: 16-3 (+11.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. 13-7 (+6 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 18-9 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175. 12-7 UNDER in an inter-league game.

Key Injuries


Chicago Cubs:  N. Madrigal (2B) Mid Aug - Hamstring. B. Boxberger (RP) Mid July - Forearm. B. Hughes (RP) out for season - Knee. A. Sampson (SP) Late July - Knee. C. Heuer (RP) out for season - Elbow. N. Burdi (RP) Late July - Appendix. E. Roberts (RP) out for season - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  J. Cordero (RP) out for season - Suspension. A. Judge (RF) Early Aug - Toe. C. Rodon (SP) Prob Fri - Elbow. F. Montas (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. W. Calhoun (DH) Mid July - Quadricep. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. G. Allen (CF) Early Aug - Hip. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Gil (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“I thought Rucker did a nice job of keeping it where it was, 3-1, give us a chance to win. And then Adbert threw phenomenal.” - David Ross after his team’s win against the Brewers in their game on Wednesday.


“That's probably as good as I've seen him. He had a little presence with everything." - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Orioles in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Chicago Cubs
Mike Tauchman (L) DH
Nico Hoerner (R) 2B
Seiya Suzuki (R) RF
Ian Happ (S) LF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Cody Bellinger (L) CF
Christopher Morel (R) 3B
Jared Young (L) 1B
Tucker Barnhart (L) C

New York Yankees
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Gleyber Torres (R) DH
Giancarlo Stanton (R) RF
Jake Bauers (L) LF
Josh Donaldson (R) 3B
DJ LeMahieu (R) 2B
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) CF
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Kyle Higashioka (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Chicago Cubs
Batting Average:  Cody Bellinger (.284)
Hits:  Nico Hoerner (91)
Home Runs:  Christopher Morel (15)
RBI:  Nico Hoerner (43)
Stolen Bases:  Nico Hoerner (19)
Wins:  Marcus Stroman (9)
Saves:  Adbert Alzolay (5)
ERA:  Daniel Palencia (0.00)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.291)
Hits:  Gleyber Torres (78)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (19)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (40)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (16)
Wins:  Gerrit Cole (8)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (10)
ERA:  Tommy Kahnle (0.00)

Managers:
Chicago Cubs: David Ross (4th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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