by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Wednesday, Nov 10, 2021
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 14, 2021
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bills -12.5, Jets +12.5; Over/Under: 47.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bills -13, Jets +13; Over/Under: 47.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bills -13, Jets +13; Over/Under: 47.5 points
Season Record
Buffalo Bills: 5-3 (1st place, AFC East)
New York Jets: 2-6 (3rd place, AFC East)
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Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Buffalo Bills: lost on the road on Nov. 7 against the Jacksonville Jaguars 9-6.
New York Jets: lost on the road on Nov. 4 against the Indianapolis Colts 45-30.
Buffalo Bills Analysis
The Bills are coming into this game with a 5-3 record overall and they are 2-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. The Bills are coming into this divisional matchup with a 2-0 record in their division games this season after 2 wins against the Miami Dolphins. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Josh Allen struggled a lot in their last game as he completed 31/47 passes for 264 yards and 2 interceptions. He also led the team in rushing with 50 yards on 5 carries while Devin Singletary led the team in carries with 6 for 16 yards. Stefon Diggs led the receivers with 85 yards on 6 receptions while Emmanuel Sanders had 65 yards on 4 receptions. Cole Beasley led the team in receptions with 8 for 33 yards. Levi Wallace led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Mario Addison led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 235 points in their 8 games this season averaging 29.4 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 118 points against them allowing 14.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 390.1 YPG while their defense is allowing 262.6 YPG.
New York Jets Analysis
The Jets are coming into this game with a 2-6 record overall and they are 2-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this divisional matchup with a 0-2 record in their division games this season after losing 2 games to the New England Patriots. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Mike White played well in that game for about 10 minutes as he completed 7/11 passes for 95 yards and 1 touchdown before leaving the game with an injury. Josh Jackson came in to replace him and completed 27/41 passes for 317 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception. Michael Carter led the team in rushing with 49 yards on 13 carries. Elijah Moore led the receivers with 84 yards and 2 touchdowns on 7 receptions while Keelan Cole had 66 yards on 5 receptions. Ty Johnson and Ryan Griffin both caught the other touchdown passes with 1 each. Ashtyn Davis led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones while Quinnen Williams was right behind him with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. John Franklin-Myers recorded the only sack in that game for them while no one on the defense was able to come away with an interception in that one. They have scored 144 points in their 8 games this season averaging 18 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 251 points against them allowing 31.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 328.9 YPG while their defense is allowing 408.1 YPG.
Bills vs Jets Prediction
The Jets are coming into this game as a 12.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jets have looked much better on offense in their recent games with Mike White at the quarterback position. He will be able to keep them in the game if he is the starter, and the Jets actually have a winning record at home this season. The Bills are coming into this one off of a 9-6 loss to the Jaguars and that is just a pathetic loss for a team that could end up going to the Super Bowl this season. The Bills have not been playing well on offense recently and if those problems are not fixed they could struggle to win this game. The best bet to place in this game is on the Jets to cover the spread here IF MIKE WHITE IS THE STARTER.
Bills Jets Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 14, 2021 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bills 35 Jets 27.
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NFL Betting Trends
Buffalo Bills: 13-7 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points. 241-229 ATS in all games. 113-106 ATS as a favorite. 167-155 ATS in games played on turf. 58-51 ATS in November games.
New York Jets: 11-14 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points. 219-240 ATS in all games. 108-119 ATS in home games. 111-121 ATS in games played on turf. 93-121 ATS off 1 or more straight overs.
Key Injuries
Buffalo Bills: J. Kumerow (WR) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Zimmer (DT) Ques Sun - Foot injury. S. Brown (T) Ques Sun - Back injury.
New York Jets: D. Mims WR Out indefinitely - Finger injury. M. Maye S I-R - Achilles injury. T. Kroft TE Out indefinitely - Chest injury. M. White QB Prob Sun - Forearm injury. Z. Wilson (QB) Late Nov - Knee injury.
Notable Quotes
"We played like (crap) and it starts with me. This loss stings, but we will be better because of it." - Josh Allen on their loss to the Jaguars in their last game.
"Josh, thought he did an awesome job coming in, running the offense exactly the way it's supposed to be played — hitting the open receiver, just moving the chains. We just need to be able to match their defensive intensity." - Robert Saleh on his team’s loss to the Colts in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Buffalo Bills
WR SANDERS, EMMANUEL
WR Diggs, Stefon
WR BEASLEY, COLE
TE Knox, Dawson
QB Allen, Josh
RB Singletary, Devin
FB Gilliam, Reggie
New York Jets
WR Davis, Corey
WR Crowder, Jamison
WR Cole, Keelan
TE Kroft, Tyler
QB White, Mike
RB Carter, Michael
Statistical Leaders
Buffalo Bills
Passing: J. Allen (2236)
Rushing: D. Singletary (355)
Receiving: S. Diggs (588)
Touchdowns: D. Knox (5)
New York Jets
Passing: Z. Wilson (1168)
Rushing: M. Carter (328)
Receiving: C. Davis (349)
Touchdowns: C. Davis (4)
Coaches:
Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (5th season)
New York Jets: Robert Saleh (1st season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
