Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/02/2023

Game Time: 1:37 pm ET, Sunday, July 2, 2023

Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +150, Blue Jays -175; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +150, Blue Jays -175; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +150, Blue Jays -175; Over/Under:  8 runs

Boston Red Sox:  41-42 (5th place, AL East)

Toronto Blue Jays:  45-38 (4th place, AL East)

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Boston Red Sox:  3-7 last 10

Toronto Blue Jays:  6-4 last 10

The Red Sox are entering this series on a 5 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-42 record overall and have a road record of 20-21. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .749 OPS. Kutter Crawford is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Garrett Whitlock is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 4-3 with a 5.15 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 2 HR, and 0 BB with 7 Ks on 11 hits through 4.2 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Blue Jays are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-38 record overall and have a home record of 23-16. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Yusei Kikuchi is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Kevin Gausman is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-4 with a 3.01 ERA this season. His team won 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 12 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6 innings played against the San Francisco Giants.

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays have been a really mediocre team this season as they do have a winning record but they have been struggling to climb the teams in their own division as they are only in 4th. The Red Sox haven't been any better this season as they are at the bottom of the division and have been struggling just to stay over .500. Both of these teams have had some good offenses this season too but the Red Sox have been a lot worse with their pitching and the Blue Jays will be able to take advantage of that with this pitching matchup. The Blue Jays have Gausman on the mound and he has pretty much been their ace this season since he hasn't given up a lot of runs in any of his starts and hasn't really had many bad starts either. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are starting Whitlock in this game and he is coming off a bad start in his last one where he allowed 6 runs, but this has also been a common theme for him in his starts this season. The Blue Jays have a really good offense that will be able to put up a lot of runs in this game at home while Gausman keeps the Red Sox offense at bay and leads his team to another win with his solid pitching. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game and on the runline. 

Red Sox Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 2, 2023 (1:37 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 5 Red Sox 1.

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Boston Red Sox: 13-11 (+8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +125 to +175. 14-11 (+5.4 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 11-2 UNDER when playing on Sunday.

Toronto Blue Jays: 31-26 (-8.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 7-18 (-16.8 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 9-4 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175. 23-13 UNDER in home games.

Boston Red Sox:  P. Reyes (3B) Out indefinitely - Abdominal. J. Schreiber (RP) Early July - Back. R. McGuire (C) Mid July - Oblique. Y. Chang (3B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. J. Rodriguez (RP) Early July - Shoulder. C. Kluber (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Houck (SP) Out indefinitely - Face. W. Mills (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Sale (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. T. Story (2B) Late July - Elbow. R. Bleier (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Toronto Blue Jays:  K. Kiermaier (CF) Ques Sat - Back. A. Cimber (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. Z. Pop (RP) Early July - Hamstring. C. Green (RP) Mid July - Elbow. H. Ryu (SP) Mid July - Elbow.

“It was a good night. We did some good things. We needed this one.” - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Friday.

“I don’t know why we don’t play so well against the American League East.” - Jose Berrios after their loss against the Red Sox in their game on Friday.

Jarren Duran (L) CF

Alex Verdugo (L) RF

Masataka Yoshida (L) LF

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Justin Turner (R) DH

Triston Casas (L) 1B

Christian Arroyo (R) 2B

David Hamilton (L) SS

Connor Wong (R) C

George Springer (R) RF

Bo Bichette (R) SS

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B

Matt Chapman (R) 3B

Alejandro Kirk (R) DH

Danny Jansen (R) C

Whit Merrifield (R) LF

Daulton Varsho (L) CF

Santiago Espinal (R) 2B

Batting Average:  Pablo Reyes (.303)

Hits:  Alex Verdugo (90)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (19)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (61)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (15)

Wins:  Chris Sale (5)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (16)

ERA:  Chris Murphy (1.80)

Batting Average:  Ernie Clement (.429)

Hits:  Bo Bichette (110)

Home Runs:  Bo Bichette (14)

RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (51)

Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (18)

Wins:  Jose Berrios (8)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (24)

ERA:  Thomas Hatch (0.00)

Managers:

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)

Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)