by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Nov 14, 2024
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 16, 2024
Venue: CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, CA
Where to Watch: CBS Sports
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: BSU -13.5, SJSU +13.5; Over/Under: 61.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: BSU -13.5, SJSU +13.5; Over/Under: 61.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: BSU -13.5, SJSU +13.5; Over/Under: 61.5 points
Season Record
Boise State Broncos: 8-1 (5-0) (1st place, MWC)
San Jose State Spartans: 6-3 (3-2) (4th place, MWC)
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Recent Form
Boise State Broncos: won their last game at home against the Nevada Wolf Pack 28-21.
San Jose State Spartans: won their last game on the road against the Oregon State Beavers 24-13.
Boise State Broncos vs San Jose State Spartans Preview and Analysis
Boise State is entering this game with an 8-1 record overall and they have a 5-0 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Nevada 28-21. Maddux Madsen was the starting QB and he completed 9/20 passes for 119 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Ashton Jeanty led the team in rushing yards with 209 and 3 TDs. Matt Lauter led the receivers with 61 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Ty Benefield led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Jayden Virgin and Max Stege each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
San Jose State is entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Oregon State 24-13. Walker Eget was the starting QB and he completed 18/35 passes for 395 passing yards, 1 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Floyd Chalk IV led the team in rushing yards with 45 and 1 TD. Nick Nash led the receivers with 161 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Isiah Revis led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while DJ Harvey, Justin Stearns, and Soane Toia each led the defense in sacks with 1. DJ Harvey and Michael Dansby each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Boise State vs San Jose State Prediction
The current betting odds have Boise State listed as a 13.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Boise State has looked great in their games this season with their 8-1 record overall and their 5-0 conference record which has them leading the Mountain West Conference with one of the best records in the nation. Their only loss this season was against Oregon who is one of the best teams in the nation, and they only lost that game by 3 points on the road. Meanwhile, San Jose State has looked good in their games this season with their 6-3 record overall and their 3-2 conference record which has them near the top of the MWC, but they haven't been having the season that Boise State has had. Boise State is a ranked team that has made a good case for themselves to make the CFP this season and they also have a potential Heisman Trophy running back, Ashton Jeanty. San Jose State is coming off a win against Oregon State in their last one and they haven't been getting blown out by many teams this season, but their defense hasn't looked great either with a lot of points given up this season. Boise State is going to be a tough offense for them to stop and they won't be able to compete. San Jose State has had a few high scoring games this year, but they haven't put up a ton of points in a majority of their games and this will be a game that Boise State can pull away in. The best way to place a bet here is on Boise State to cover the spread in this game.
Boise State San Jose State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 16, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Boise State 45 San Jose State 24.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Boise State Broncos: 3-6 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 23-14 OVER in all lined games. 9-4 OVER when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 7-4 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game.
San Jose State Spartans: 4-1 ATS off a road win. 6-3 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 8-4 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 5-1 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 4-1 OVER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 7-3 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.
Key Injuries
Boise State Broncos: R. Carreon (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Gaines (RB) Questionable - Knee. C. Marshall (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Steele (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Reed (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Randolph (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Anderson (TE) Out - Knee.
San Jose State Spartans: M. Miller (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“This is the compete month. What we did prior, it does not matter. It’s all about going 1-0 each week. … But we found a way to win. That’s a testament to our players. And we will build more from this game than we would with a big blow out.” - Spencer Danielson after his team’s win against Nevada in their last game.
“I’ve been doing this a long time, and that was tough because we felt like we were playing more than 11 people out there. Some of the calls at the end, I don’t have any words for them.” - Ken Niumatalolo after his team’s win against Oregon State in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Boise State Broncos
WR Strachan, Prince
WR Camper, Cameron
WR Caples, Latrell
TE Lauter, Matt
QB Madsen, Maddux
RB Jeanty, Ashton
FB Crowe, Tyler
San Jose State Spartans
WR Lockhart, Justin
WR Hurry, TreyShun
WR Nash, Nick
TE Stewart, Jacob
QB Brown, Emmett
RB Bates, Jabari
Statistical Leaders
Boise State Broncos
Passing: M. Madsen (1908)
Rushing: A. Jeanty (1734)
Receiving: C. Camper (573)
Touchdowns: A. Jeanty (24)
San Jose State Spartans
Passing: E. Brown (1621)
Rushing: F. Chalk (559)
Receiving: N. Nash (1156)
Touchdowns: N. Nash (13)
Coaches:
Boise State Broncos: Spencer Danielson (2nd season)
San Jose State Spartans: Ken Niumatalolo (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
